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Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
fan-in(3)→buy
rejected: only 1.1x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 35% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
+0.0%
n=0 out-of-sample
Hit rate
35%
20 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
-2.1% → +1.1%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.714
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-12.7% … +8.6%
Support20
OOS support0
MDL bits20
Case / control38949 / 87004
Motif size5n · 4e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 15125
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | 9e6b4a0ed504f61b3207b03cb38cd022e7fb7808f4a0e645e7ba35e15a517dc1 | 100% | 20 |
| w1 | wallet | 55773ddfb2ef23bf35da0b5427ae9098fd2852facec8e1b46c05b41b8fab6564 | 100% | 20 |
Other crews running this exact shape
31 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 4874 | 31 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 27577 | 35 | +28.5% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 24623 | 82 | +27.7% | — | view → |
| crew 4519 | 17 | +18.7% | — | view → |
| crew 306 | 30 | +17.2% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 15 | +15.0% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 24 | +11.2% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 43 | +11.0% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 126 | +10.7% | — | view → |
| crew 94 | 38 | +9.3% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 26 | +7.9% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 28 | +7.1% | — | view → |
| crew 171 | 42 | +5.5% | — | view → |
| crew 20 | 222 | +4.7% | — | view → |
| all | 81769 | +4.3% | — | view → |
| crew 5 | 38 | +2.6% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 19 | +2.5% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 35 | +2.3% | — | view → |
| crew 19 | 20 | +0.3% | — | view → |
| crew 9 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 17 | 50 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 153 | 52 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2528 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 15796 | 35 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 19963 | 18 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 23773 | 24 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 24 | -0.1% | — | view → |
| crew 36 | 31 | -0.8% | — | view → |
| crew 27817 | 18 | -6.5% | — | view → |
| crew 145 | 47 | -7.3% | — | view → |
| crew 23183 | 30 | -12.8% | — | view → |
Crew 15125
5 resolved wallets
9e6b4…17dc199ddc…aa3d6aff54…5f28332179…9cf8079f39…976dc
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| b6dd…61cf | 419,823,644 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15125 | replay |
| 2a92…733f | 419,979,657 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15125 | replay |
| 78d0…1caf | 417,886,461 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15125 | replay |
| d57b…958f | 417,979,272 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15125 | replay |
| 0564…a0bf | 419,968,800 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15125 | replay |
| 4761…64ef | 420,004,147 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15125 | replay |
| c917…472f | 417,816,604 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15125 | replay |
| a251…ac5f | 419,977,600 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15125 | replay |
| a4b3…5b0f | 417,976,937 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15125 | replay |
| cd9c…843f | 419,380,368 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15125 | replay |
| a750…816f | 417,888,380 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15125 | replay |
| b686…dbcf | 420,013,770 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15125 | replay |
| 989b…f36f | 417,717,383 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15125 | replay |
| 802f…cf8f | 417,718,379 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15125 | replay |
| 4e8b…866f | 420,011,592 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15125 | replay |
| 353c…714f | 417,879,930 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15125 | replay |
| c167…86af | 419,980,099 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15125 | replay |
| 156a…aadf | 420,010,325 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15125 | replay |
| 99e0…9b8f | 417,885,544 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15125 | replay |
| ca5a…448f | 419,841,041 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15125 | replay |
| 9559…f53f | 419,824,403 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15125 | replay |
| 6d79…981f | 417,823,279 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15125 | replay |
| 0bac…ae5f | 417,879,155 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15125 | replay |
| 5bb8…00bf | 417,990,587 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15125 | replay |
| 0e0e…3eff | 420,004,435 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15125 | replay |
| 7c17…e5cf | 420,008,907 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15125 | replay |
| 0e40…290f | 417,718,247 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15125 | replay |
| 1254…a57f | 417,897,239 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15125 | replay |
| b1b4…769f | 417,737,967 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15125 | replay |
| 1564…496f | 417,887,412 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15125 | replay |
| 15d6…271f | 417,992,966 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15125 | replay |
| 6354…e0bf | 419,375,286 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15125 | replay |
| 6ce8…278f | 420,015,837 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15125 | replay |
| 6fe6…1fcf | 419,374,712 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15125 | replay |
| 08f9…a15f | 417,720,427 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15125 | replay |
| 5152…a41f | 417,886,199 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15125 | replay |
| 0638…6a0f | 419,374,583 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15125 | replay |
| 1f9c…ad6f | 418,014,574 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15125 | replay |
| 6628…0a5f | 417,986,564 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15125 | replay |
| 7a3c…f11f | 417,809,425 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15125 | replay |
| 48da…4ddf | 417,980,046 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15125 | replay |
| 4ae4…1baf | 419,373,911 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15125 | replay |
| 5624…805f | 417,881,647 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15125 | replay |
| 9d01…accf | 417,729,904 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15125 | replay |
| dfad…f08f | 419,370,597 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15125 | replay |
| 0ac4…ff5f | 419,373,409 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15125 | replay |
| 62cb…be3f | 417,858,461 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15125 | replay |
| 3511…074f | 417,796,976 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15125 | replay |
| a6ce…f99f | 419,307,349 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15125 | replay |
| 3640…4cff | 417,978,889 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15125 | replay |
| 02dc…fb6f | 417,815,296 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15125 | replay |
| 12ce…05af | 417,826,816 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15125 | replay |
| 45ea…7b4f | 418,013,481 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15125 | replay |
| 21b4…4ebf | 418,081,203 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15125 | replay |
| c29f…0f3f | 419,826,861 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15125 | replay |
| bb1b…82ef | 417,822,865 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15125 | replay |
| 4e63…f2ff | 417,979,833 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15125 | replay |
| 9095…fe7f | 417,987,212 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15125 | replay |
| c9fb…d06f | 419,373,551 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15125 | replay |
| d168…81ef | 419,371,759 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15125 | replay |