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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
fan-in(3)→buy
rejected: only 0.5x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 16% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
-0.8%
n=21 out-of-sample
Hit rate
16%
31 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
-2.2% → -0.9%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.822
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-8.4% … +4.0%
Support31
OOS support21
MDL bits20
Case / control38949 / 87004
Motif size5n · 4e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 36
Other crews running this exact shape
31 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 4874 | 31 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 27577 | 35 | +28.5% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 24623 | 82 | +27.7% | — | view → |
| crew 4519 | 17 | +18.7% | — | view → |
| crew 306 | 30 | +17.2% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 15 | +15.0% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 24 | +11.2% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 43 | +11.0% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 126 | +10.7% | — | view → |
| crew 94 | 38 | +9.3% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 26 | +7.9% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 28 | +7.1% | — | view → |
| crew 171 | 42 | +5.5% | — | view → |
| crew 20 | 222 | +4.7% | — | view → |
| all | 81769 | +4.3% | — | view → |
| crew 5 | 38 | +2.6% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 19 | +2.5% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 35 | +2.3% | — | view → |
| crew 19 | 20 | +0.3% | — | view → |
| crew 9 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 17 | 50 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 153 | 52 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2528 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 15125 | 20 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 15796 | 35 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 19963 | 18 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 23773 | 24 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 24 | -0.1% | — | view → |
| crew 27817 | 18 | -6.5% | — | view → |
| crew 145 | 47 | -7.3% | — | view → |
| crew 23183 | 30 | -12.8% | — | view → |
Crew 36
200 resolved wallets
3affe…d81c682cd1…8668fbaf7f…e4b49c7b9b…7dbe0eac34…7e54f045fa…85160e72af…d6e115fb54…adf36bfcdc…181b0ad05b…06dbd7d9bd…018905501a…fd82989fee…4f4aabee33…29eb7e82e9…efd1f773e8…45675b8b08…58a9eabc71…329b627bd6…d80843587a…0e9eb35381…9efe30a9ab…b4e2d7af63…1b11330046…ddb327cb8f…d5dfa080c3…4cc28bed75…6fd37b0a20…7ecd3689e4…57b837ace6…52b9e05b43…3ca69be506…bf42ca17f4…e469eed77d…8a572dbdcd…db0a513288…577a8d8d29…4c596e7c14…7bba61819b…1342d938db…3eb05b8fee…55ce54deb7…2aa5962621…9da7c5e0c8…fea7d61198…210722c615…f4b622db40…508f5f0147…e3b78dc8dd…54130ebb50…0f0ca176a2…3ea5f5550f…f3f76ec83d…b6983e6510…7c72a9fb91…a404a09a6d…2859a7f525…3ffeec71cd…a5141cd200…67ef15ca29…faf44e7e3a…9b891049d3…d07d24dd24…d77189a5ad…a2d27e009d…e231af10a6…cf3a52ec9c…0867a2e112…58af45dc7d…2e9a76255b…b40e000800…1b121b6d58…b053c9ef8b…d0af39831a…a587653fd7…a5164a3cf5…e649a4a2c5…66674ac402…13e381e05d…4054bed9ec…7fa67+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8580…380f | 414,345,554 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| c99f…24af | 424,562,375 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 9103…905f | 424,094,884 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 89a1…12ff | 416,857,816 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| b594…a9cf | 424,093,215 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 4202…4caf | 415,951,523 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 46d2…938f | 422,055,417 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| b9a9…f2af | 414,349,910 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 15ba…f3df | 415,962,599 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 93ef…baef | 422,391,331 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 2fb7…b76f | 426,279,232 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 83db…023f | 421,965,440 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 3395…3ebf | 422,415,445 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 8103…377f | 423,713,662 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| c08b…487f | 419,512,814 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 3321…008f | 415,964,988 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| c169…c9af | 422,416,153 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 9853…21ef | 427,392,318 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| a67f…159f | 410,354,645 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| a74e…a4cf | 426,701,522 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| a7ae…a75f | 419,140,490 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 88c3…becf | 426,285,581 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| a91a…b5cf | 415,957,656 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 3263…d3cf | 410,174,257 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| a571…95df | 416,497,385 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| cea1…9f2f | 415,959,617 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 6161…8e8f | 425,239,651 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 6184…930f | 416,439,431 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 61c3…b4cf | 424,092,400 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 6257…91af | 426,341,501 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 4354…9faf | 415,963,420 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 4114…62df | 415,961,615 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 875c…5c7f | 414,381,114 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 2fa1…21ff | 424,113,606 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| c451…ae3f | 421,300,521 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 1376…7eef | 416,758,559 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 95fd…4baf | 416,443,535 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| b456…41df | 418,287,405 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 7b2a…843f | 418,971,970 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 42b1…749f | 426,280,405 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 3013…359f | 414,994,963 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| c535…320f | 412,424,067 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 3631…653f | 422,458,976 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| a284…a43f | 415,973,138 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| a875…d9ff | 414,393,076 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| cb87…f83f | 412,812,091 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 9b06…3b8f | 415,956,184 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 7a98…c69f | 424,110,016 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 0ef2…7c5f | 418,903,151 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 6706…9cef | 416,478,302 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| ac75…73bf | 416,452,350 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| f414…168f | 416,438,469 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 3383…1e1f | 418,289,734 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| c4d3…16af | 425,465,836 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| accf…26ef | 415,967,123 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 851e…135f | 425,466,433 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 3546…f24f | 416,448,872 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 6faf…2b6f | 415,951,807 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 3f4d…8f3f | 412,618,436 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 6ba1…393f | 415,939,338 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |