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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
fan-in(3)→buy
rejected: only 1.3x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 40% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
+17.2%
n=7 out-of-sample
Hit rate
40%
30 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+3.8% → +4.8%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.237
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-4.4% … +12.0%
Support30
OOS support7
MDL bits20
Case / control38949 / 87004
Motif size5n · 4e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 306
Other crews running this exact shape
31 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 4874 | 31 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 27577 | 35 | +28.5% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 24623 | 82 | +27.7% | — | view → |
| crew 4519 | 17 | +18.7% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 15 | +15.0% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 24 | +11.2% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 43 | +11.0% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 126 | +10.7% | — | view → |
| crew 94 | 38 | +9.3% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 26 | +7.9% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 28 | +7.1% | — | view → |
| crew 171 | 42 | +5.5% | — | view → |
| crew 20 | 222 | +4.7% | — | view → |
| all | 81769 | +4.3% | — | view → |
| crew 5 | 38 | +2.6% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 19 | +2.5% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 35 | +2.3% | — | view → |
| crew 19 | 20 | +0.3% | — | view → |
| crew 9 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 17 | 50 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 153 | 52 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2528 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 15125 | 20 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 15796 | 35 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 19963 | 18 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 23773 | 24 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 24 | -0.1% | — | view → |
| crew 36 | 31 | -0.8% | — | view → |
| crew 27817 | 18 | -6.5% | — | view → |
| crew 145 | 47 | -7.3% | — | view → |
| crew 23183 | 30 | -12.8% | — | view → |
Crew 306
200 resolved wallets
b37e1…ad95bce542…08337efbef…de0e16a8a2…b708ac1e29…868ffc6cf0…6ff3062cdd…9898b94a29…2cf532e77c…166b00324d…449136d808…b3d6128f0b…030c850def…449c94d3d7…a0da85e600…c68d566df5…2732ac70e5…a2fdc63e69…86776fb4d5…8aebaf605b…7200f1111c…c649b1ad19…c847663c3c…b8ff660440…682244ab24…999519a41f…5845bcd303…9d1ec790c9…4c38c3e9dd…d4cfda3c92…fd3a185744…e210fedbef…1d98bb6124…d08ce84105…36e762517c…a13f804b2b…47114621d0…af9fa5fa45…3c627cef66…22202e3e8c…3ff0114161…b2a7e49833…0bc602ba86…23e07212e8…450f6a4dd3…9b9f066e1c…f9cd486d43…98ecc34796…98534c4feb…53010a0185…d0c6bcb781…a274f2b331…236726ccfd…751cd4d867…86946bf71b…47b1acb9b5…b99c8b09e8…540d26b058…6abf7f733e…80254346f5…ef2222493f…8475491bae…ddda225803…16eeba99b0…2464d5e092…2b319f7c7b…a14d61d7ff…a96e0a3e5d…8f19ce539a…5291d10354…13cd44212f…9c40106ca4…77d76e27cd…9b4a782d2e…c50d2ed804…07f6734167…8a5fcc0b5f…329b2e118d…e03b2fe383…666efd2834…207e4+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 866a…930f | 418,882,721 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 23bd…e8bf | 422,738,455 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 24b3…c08f | 410,208,988 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 8b65…c7cf | 424,785,606 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 1d41…fbaf | 420,051,641 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 1d6f…3f1f | 424,583,849 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 8cdc…4f8f | 420,271,114 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 71ca…bf0f | 420,271,206 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| d611…3f8f | 418,922,542 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 0547…067f | 415,942,740 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 7c14…84ff | 419,816,731 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| e73c…33ff | 425,290,983 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| bc94…331f | 418,894,946 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 5240…068f | 416,227,759 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| bfc3…5edf | 411,339,104 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 8e70…45df | 419,762,306 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 95d5…726f | 418,896,208 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| c30b…a77f | 416,198,955 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 2e0d…001f | 418,221,374 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 307d…c34f | 417,148,653 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 809e…51ff | 420,257,879 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 9dc9…f38f | 419,176,565 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 3565…feff | 420,268,901 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 3cfa…d07f | 418,422,846 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| ea41…d62f | 410,881,796 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 6278…8c1f | 422,179,209 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| bf29…ebff | 420,885,218 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 3113…308f | 418,902,631 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 7a69…850f | 416,150,866 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| ea6f…d63f | 419,583,784 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 0fdc…db6f | 420,038,336 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 6489…438f | 424,792,530 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 757a…9faf | 420,195,580 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 3284…25ef | 410,225,494 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| ec64…8ddf | 411,909,798 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| d0b5…4c7f | 412,120,750 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 60fe…be5f | 415,303,160 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 62b5…8a3f | 411,087,402 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 2a9d…704f | 409,958,671 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 3709…607f | 419,812,169 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| a9c1…997f | 425,933,950 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| f1ed…101f | 420,587,423 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| bf74…8a5f | 416,292,261 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 9e48…b36f | 423,052,926 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| bc2b…8ebf | 423,045,541 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 3243…130f | 409,985,771 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 3c5a…66df | 420,577,903 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| c67c…2e8f | 416,911,672 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 0567…4a8f | 415,300,033 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 6eb3…3aef | 420,909,917 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| aebb…ceef | 420,244,473 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 35a3…3a9f | 414,737,894 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| f6be…7a6f | 416,936,444 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 1475…724f | 420,260,322 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| f96f…666f | 418,883,534 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 89f9…c04f | 420,204,340 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 3f71…c3ff | 418,918,570 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 15df…4c6f | 417,885,252 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 398c…45af | 418,915,996 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 70c0…0dff | 411,719,273 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |