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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
fan-in(3)→buy
rejected: only 0.0x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 0% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
-12.8%
n=39 out-of-sample
Hit rate
0%
30 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
-14.1% → -13.2%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
1.000
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-17.4% … -10.8%
Support30
OOS support39
MDL bits20
Case / control38949 / 87004
Motif size5n · 4e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 23183
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | 088ba1107c5f9fd151869410f1b6316588e176f9b2dbe9afa712b2000cbaa609 | 100% | 69 |
| w1 | wallet | 5d2ba54474658d69def2ba47ede08b65b10858bdb575dd46f13d05c4eb062e88 | 100% | 69 |
Other crews running this exact shape
31 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 4874 | 31 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 27577 | 35 | +28.5% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 24623 | 82 | +27.7% | — | view → |
| crew 4519 | 17 | +18.7% | — | view → |
| crew 306 | 30 | +17.2% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 15 | +15.0% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 24 | +11.2% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 43 | +11.0% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 126 | +10.7% | — | view → |
| crew 94 | 38 | +9.3% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 26 | +7.9% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 28 | +7.1% | — | view → |
| crew 171 | 42 | +5.5% | — | view → |
| crew 20 | 222 | +4.7% | — | view → |
| all | 81769 | +4.3% | — | view → |
| crew 5 | 38 | +2.6% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 19 | +2.5% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 35 | +2.3% | — | view → |
| crew 19 | 20 | +0.3% | — | view → |
| crew 9 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 17 | 50 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 153 | 52 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2528 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 15125 | 20 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 15796 | 35 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 19963 | 18 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 23773 | 24 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 24 | -0.1% | — | view → |
| crew 36 | 31 | -0.8% | — | view → |
| crew 27817 | 18 | -6.5% | — | view → |
| crew 145 | 47 | -7.3% | — | view → |
Crew 23183
3 resolved wallets
088ba…aa6095ade1…1929c5d2ba…62e88
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ea5e…552f | 420,467,722 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23183 | replay |
| 06fc…a82b | 418,681,477 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23183 | replay |
| d5b0…45cb | 420,566,009 | +12.9% | 23183 | replay | |
| f50e…d01d | 427,086,081 | +12.7% | 23183 | replay | |
| d015…4f1c | 426,501,297 | +11.5% | 23183 | replay | |
| e769…03b2 | 419,978,915 | +8.5% | 23183 | replay | |
| 8dd0…dd24 | 423,425,587 | +7.2% | 23183 | replay | |
| ad46…01b5 | 426,002,857 | +5.7% | 23183 | replay | |
| ce62…9efb | 420,639,702 | +5.6% | 23183 | replay | |
| 8977…e210 | 420,440,602 | +4.3% | 23183 | replay | |
| 08db…97f5 | 420,044,505 | +3.0% | 23183 | replay | |
| 86ae…fb78 | 420,407,570 | +2.9% | 23183 | replay | |
| c3a7…1918 | 420,403,138 | +2.8% | 23183 | replay | |
| f350…d4b8 | 426,753,488 | +2.3% | 23183 | replay | |
| c390…3ee0 | 420,239,612 | +1.8% | 23183 | replay | |
| efb4…68db | 425,015,914 | +1.7% | 23183 | replay | |
| 895c…6805 | 417,435,332 | +1.7% | 23183 | replay | |
| 4850…12e7 | 426,577,787 | +1.6% | 23183 | replay | |
| f33b…6ac1 | 419,050,619 | +1.6% | 23183 | replay | |
| c82f…759a | 422,137,348 | +1.5% | 23183 | replay | |
| 2ef3…ebf7 | 420,444,469 | +1.4% | 23183 | replay | |
| 24c1…729e | 422,604,567 | +1.4% | 23183 | replay | |
| 0c3e…df8d | 419,757,174 | +1.4% | 23183 | replay | |
| 0de3…f4e6 | 422,604,797 | +1.3% | 23183 | replay | |
| aa6d…ceff | 426,490,233 | +1.3% | 23183 | replay | |
| 2c3c…ad75 | 419,110,322 | +1.1% | 23183 | replay | |
| 0a11…a491 | 426,650,860 | +0.9% | 23183 | replay | |
| f64a…130d | 426,750,452 | +0.8% | 23183 | replay | |
| 6c1e…490f | 425,643,852 | +0.7% | 23183 | replay | |
| e652…661d | 417,435,119 | +0.7% | 23183 | replay | |
| 47f9…b481 | 426,007,147 | +0.6% | 23183 | replay | |
| 7f27…200f | 419,627,846 | +0.6% | 23183 | replay | |
| ba8a…7fab | 425,656,512 | +0.5% | 23183 | replay | |
| 1fb1…a530 | 426,649,970 | +0.4% | 23183 | replay | |
| 3de5…b76d | 417,443,619 | +0.4% | 23183 | replay | |
| 8c0c…37ec | 420,909,313 | +0.3% | 23183 | replay | |
| 51d9…0181 | 417,434,655 | +0.3% | 23183 | replay | |
| 7eb3…a348 | 425,655,036 | +0.3% | 23183 | replay | |
| 83c4…4dea | 418,117,934 | +0.3% | 23183 | replay | |
| 19c1…8b29 | 418,117,933 | +0.3% | 23183 | replay | |
| 1efb…cfa9 | 419,434,239 | +0.3% | 23183 | replay | |
| ad02…ed38 | 419,840,611 | +0.3% | 23183 | replay | |
| bbfb…3589 | 419,292,825 | +0.3% | 23183 | replay | |
| 1893…3841 | 426,649,821 | +0.2% | 23183 | replay | |
| 9d7c…1793 | 426,650,103 | +0.2% | 23183 | replay | |
| 6d16…0787 | 426,651,363 | +0.2% | 23183 | replay | |
| 6ef9…bd53 | 421,464,195 | +0.1% | 23183 | replay | |
| 2792…739d | 426,953,958 | +0.1% | 23183 | replay | |
| ec09…e4fa | 426,959,268 | +0.1% | 23183 | replay | |
| 9d28…1d5d | 423,337,274 | +0.1% | 23183 | replay | |
| d469…459d | 421,158,351 | +0.1% | 23183 | replay | |
| c154…dbd7 | 426,757,280 | +0.1% | 23183 | replay | |
| 8093…2c20 | 424,266,438 | +0.1% | 23183 | replay | |
| 4efb…4d27 | 426,650,737 | +0.1% | 23183 | replay | |
| 1702…7b18 | 422,376,319 | +0.1% | 23183 | replay | |
| 4689…4b27 | 417,384,335 | +0.1% | 23183 | replay | |
| 1d36…699d | 421,291,391 | +0.1% | 23183 | replay | |
| 7882…a37c | 416,828,253 | +0.1% | 23183 | replay | |
| 4269…be9b | 426,248,112 | +0.1% | 23183 | replay | |
| e496…056c | 422,124,795 | +0.1% | 23183 | replay |