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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
fan-in(3)→buy
rejected: only 0.8x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 26% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
-7.3%
n=12 out-of-sample
Hit rate
26%
47 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
-1.3% → -0.1%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.729
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-7.2% … +4.6%
Support47
OOS support12
MDL bits20
Case / control38949 / 87004
Motif size5n · 4e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 145
Other crews running this exact shape
31 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 4874 | 31 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 27577 | 35 | +28.5% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 24623 | 82 | +27.7% | — | view → |
| crew 4519 | 17 | +18.7% | — | view → |
| crew 306 | 30 | +17.2% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 15 | +15.0% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 24 | +11.2% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 43 | +11.0% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 126 | +10.7% | — | view → |
| crew 94 | 38 | +9.3% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 26 | +7.9% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 28 | +7.1% | — | view → |
| crew 171 | 42 | +5.5% | — | view → |
| crew 20 | 222 | +4.7% | — | view → |
| all | 81769 | +4.3% | — | view → |
| crew 5 | 38 | +2.6% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 19 | +2.5% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 35 | +2.3% | — | view → |
| crew 19 | 20 | +0.3% | — | view → |
| crew 9 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 17 | 50 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 153 | 52 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2528 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 15125 | 20 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 15796 | 35 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 19963 | 18 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 23773 | 24 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 24 | -0.1% | — | view → |
| crew 36 | 31 | -0.8% | — | view → |
| crew 27817 | 18 | -6.5% | — | view → |
| crew 23183 | 30 | -12.8% | — | view → |
Crew 145
200 resolved wallets
45744…e39f4684a6…1e30f6e9ef…601d1bd6e5…a69026bcf7…4c477a105e…a2c6783c44…cbacfd8770…1d9c6106b5…fd59e4b47c…4598bc5c42…868b4cc27c…9735af8178…9603e9db65…0c0267ea16…92394098cb…35ac4e2918…2f88c7254b…af3da333e5…b97aac6360…aeef290a00…a0069d92c6…cfab0508a8…d0cba0c4c3…0c6c82d8df…2435c8293c…ed31e91113…443aad5035…201bc6a2d0…d1e1dc1198…d3bed203aa…9a1ca4e4f2…dd454e5a19…f5cd57cb8e…ac9bd7efa4…db4778c8de…02151bc705…ce6cb7c0dd…a0f38c030a…b4eaf67cbd…bd925b3fee…11fc19d698…f2d04c1d40…d88a7e27ef…e063ee4735…8dae6787f4…5ee7735579…5064c3d004…c3e08c2d94…018f1e0601…ee9dbd11d0…e8d006ec40…90fc051f85…4afc156fb0…f0fb5c9a84…b1ddb7508e…17b9cd2d56…644306c944…27b3303d54…12dd9b0c7a…2677196008…8cf80d1fbe…34534becb7…5152bb7f0c…5f5ab1e1c0…40e30fd511…c67c94ebbf…dc3915cc36…fdba9d0819…50c911ea6f…bc281e7d2f…8955acafbe…4401a11a42…4814fcecbb…90bc3a1d66…be82a2c10b…153055975d…55c6e6ef97…af757cf231…53ceb7197a…f7b68+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| c8e3…23df | 422,176,615 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| b3e2…091f | 414,394,091 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 261d…805f | 423,537,858 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| d3fa…83af | 425,102,738 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| cb38…ff1f | 420,014,506 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 9314…b0bf | 422,178,212 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| f152…d70f | 419,977,456 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 012c…eeef | 421,661,727 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 49e0…702f | 417,261,068 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 5a8a…05cf | 420,144,246 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| cda5…7cff | 421,659,060 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 3f03…356f | 422,810,517 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| b5be…070f | 420,731,213 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 2828…dc6f | 421,269,990 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| e1b4…0f1f | 418,297,961 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 9023…8d8f | 419,099,959 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| b68d…674f | 420,600,728 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 4126…735f | 413,034,093 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 8d1b…76bf | 422,785,693 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 3145…09cf | 427,190,061 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 900c…23df | 420,708,407 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| de1f…fd3f | 416,436,238 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 8d1f…a18f | 420,728,746 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 16cc…342f | 422,599,931 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 71d1…b89f | 419,926,313 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 9b2c…1f3f | 422,403,831 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| f915…5edf | 422,573,656 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| bd9a…5f2f | 420,013,112 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 7cb1…37df | 421,425,232 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 46a8…097f | 422,777,958 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 9582…a10f | 423,251,368 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 8021…119f | 422,868,011 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 4729…215f | 420,106,118 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| be95…a54f | 420,023,754 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 7d0f…bf1f | 419,635,893 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| c253…a71f | 422,349,804 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 97fa…5fcf | 419,976,023 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| eabc…2d1f | 423,304,773 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 7968…8aef | 422,467,105 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 9a73…0bcf | 416,735,148 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 0ce9…6d4f | 423,245,008 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| a61f…c0ef | 416,750,016 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 8d11…ff4f | 420,024,156 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| ad79…de6f | 417,407,247 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 8f15…630f | 421,288,448 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 19e4…6d9f | 419,976,881 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 47db…20cf | 421,432,981 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 1a3a…ba1f | 416,441,974 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 7402…227f | 420,104,128 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| f8c9…450f | 422,011,296 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 7452…bf0f | 419,917,305 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 4541…063f | 416,449,919 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 8285…9dff | 422,828,057 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 7028…569f | 419,979,176 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 6efe…305f | 421,668,106 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| e337…638f | 422,482,068 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| e3e6…560f | 419,365,547 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| 12d1…d69f | 420,095,195 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| bc50…a54f | 422,597,794 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |
| ca0f…ef4f | 419,977,168 | +30.0% | ✓ | 145 | replay |