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rule detail

co-buy(2)

rejected: only 1.2x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 38% vs base 32%)

rulesrejectedcrew 232622 anchors
OOS effect
+20.0%
n=5 out-of-sample
Hit rate
38%
16 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+0.0% → +3.1%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.575
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
transferbuy@pumpfunpumpfbuy@pumpfunpumpfwwT
fixed motif
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-12.0% … +12.0%
Support16
OOS support5
MDL bits20
Case / control51680 / 50762
Motif size3n · 3e
Shape ide00000000020…
Groundingcrew 23262
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
NodeRoleAddressInvarianceSupport
w0wallet3be2aca593e014927fe9c7015097056611da791ffdea989f0ad51aa2d44c5c0c100%21
w1wallet39e6676fad7711f224922ca86400c6a375d1c24984067f66a3e2564d37d616cd100%21
Other crews running this exact shape
71 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
crew 10114207+30.0%✓view →
crew 2130+30.0%—view →
crew 172219+30.0%—view →
crew 303436+30.0%—view →
crew 923017+30.0%—view →
crew 956415+30.0%—view →
crew 30420+25.8%✓view →
crew 643623+25.7%—view →
crew 237359+25.1%✓view →
crew 888936+24.2%—view →
crew 1996319+22.9%—view →
crew 451985+21.6%✓view →
crew 487429+21.0%✓view →
crew 142623+20.6%✓view →
crew 601724+20.0%—view →
crew 367791+20.0%—view →
crew 858138+20.0%—view →
crew 25399139+19.4%✓view →
crew 332438+19.3%—view →
crew 950615+19.1%—view →
crew 679+17.5%✓view →
crew 4319+16.7%—view →
crew 13157+16.6%—view →
crew 204264+16.4%—view →
crew 1225239+14.9%—view →
all72187+13.9%—view →
crew 517+13.3%—view →
crew 1632822+13.3%—view →
crew 1495619+13.0%—view →
crew 1628+12.6%—view →
crew 1164854+12.3%—view →
crew 1444135+11.3%—view →
crew 3527429+11.3%—view →
crew 1093348+10.3%—view →
crew 2370824+10.2%—view →
crew 248295+8.3%—view →
crew 4666140+7.2%—view →
crew 1216+7.0%—view →
crew 310220+5.7%—view →
crew 4799+5.1%—view →
crew 270232+5.0%—view →
crew 597437+4.2%—view →
crew 344038+1.8%—view →
crew 1696930+1.7%—view →
crew 30925+0.0%—view →
crew 55523+0.0%—view →
crew 65545+0.0%—view →
crew 74116+0.0%—view →
crew 212854+0.0%—view →
crew 213017+0.0%—view →
crew 241018+0.0%—view →
crew 330528+0.0%—view →
crew 375318+0.0%—view →
crew 412524+0.0%—view →
crew 569822+0.0%—view →
crew 830817+0.0%—view →
crew 920432+0.0%—view →
crew 1071720+0.0%—view →
crew 1111830+0.0%—view →
crew 1122116+0.0%—view →
crew 1166316+0.0%—view →
crew 1388126+0.0%—view →
crew 1561831+0.0%—view →
crew 1884317+0.0%—view →
crew 2093519+0.0%—view →
crew 2525117+0.0%—view →
crew 4257122+0.0%—view →
crew 2027125-4.4%—view →
crew 3071959-7.7%—view →
crew 589625-15.6%—view →
crew 2318349-20.0%—view →
Crew 23262
3 resolved wallets
2d7ca…ddd169c816…1ef2b39e66…616cd
Supporting episodes
55 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
dc2c…861f419,154,424+30.0%✓23262 replay
405b…832f419,154,196+30.0%✓23262 replay
0f91…d66f419,087,852+30.0%✓23262 replay
aba1…933f419,155,070+30.0%✓23262 replay
16e6…46af421,080,655+30.0%✓23262 replay
84aa…3abf419,096,578+30.0%✓23262 replay
6ebf…502f419,154,945+30.0%✓23262 replay
516a…4dcf423,803,933+30.0%✓23262 replay
4520…55cf419,158,736+30.0%✓23262 replay
6a45…c1ef419,148,904+30.0%✓23262 replay
416a…26ff421,059,467+30.0%✓23262 replay
ca7a…e29f419,098,154+30.0%✓23262 replay
ea92…ce6f419,155,782+30.0%✓23262 replay
4cf1…084f419,156,331+30.0%✓23262 replay
b26e…1ddf419,155,541+30.0%✓23262 replay
fcbf…2cdf419,090,901+30.0%✓23262 replay
e5ad…0e4f421,299,424+0.7%23262 replay
84fb…1e7f419,091,453-20.0%23262 replay
4607…bb8f419,156,195-20.0%23262 replay
c08a…aabf419,094,426-20.0%23262 replay
43e8…558f423,703,025-20.0%23262 replay
7d74…c78f419,091,496-20.0%23262 replay
fabc…4f7f421,509,249-20.0%23262 replay
6fe0…f50f419,152,247-20.0%23262 replay
fb3f…824f419,147,643-20.0%23262 replay
5198…581f419,156,392-20.0%23262 replay
3ade…7b8f419,154,700-20.0%23262 replay
cd29…daef423,703,517-20.0%23262 replay
2b62…6d9f419,155,948-20.0%23262 replay
e758…4b7f419,158,473-20.0%23262 replay
4910…779f419,147,899-20.0%23262 replay
4678…045f419,153,787-20.0%23262 replay
d892…755f419,158,991-20.0%23262 replay
182a…76cf419,155,156-20.0%23262 replay
7610…f66f419,147,758-20.0%23262 replay
6e95…35bf419,149,025-20.0%23262 replay
6517…c37f419,160,037-20.0%23262 replay
a9cd…c0ef423,803,729-20.0%23262 replay
1ef4…151f423,703,783-20.0%23262 replay
5636…0e4f419,091,590-20.0%23262 replay
c138…caff419,096,401-20.0%23262 replay
b912…36ef419,090,801-20.0%23262 replay
4e65…79df421,300,479-20.0%23262 replay
3c53…fa3f419,155,361-20.0%23262 replay
c249…b6af419,149,345-20.0%23262 replay
c5bb…cf5f419,094,313-20.0%23262 replay
c875…10ff419,159,517-20.0%23262 replay
334d…d45f421,300,372-20.0%23262 replay
c63e…249f423,801,764-20.0%23262 replay
ae58…04ff419,097,441-20.0%23262 replay
f3de…dd2f419,152,816-20.0%23262 replay
098e…a54f419,159,966-20.0%23262 replay
6f1b…a93f419,092,080-20.0%23262 replay
824e…a7cf419,153,192-20.0%23262 replay
fb39…84ff412,362,139-20.0%23262 replay