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rule detail

co-buy(2)

rejected: only 0.8x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 26% vs base 32%)

rulesrejectedcrew 144412 anchors
OOS effect
+11.3%
n=48 out-of-sample
Hit rate
26%
35 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+3.7% → +4.3%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.160
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
transferbuy@pumpfunpumpfbuy@pumpfunpumpfwwT
fixed motif
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-2.3% … +9.8%
Support35
OOS support48
MDL bits20
Case / control51680 / 50762
Motif size3n · 3e
Shape ide00000000020…
Groundingcrew 14441
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
NodeRoleAddressInvarianceSupport
w0wallet9ddae5776dd98333446ec79f8b5d00dc592103435f46f550323a649f80ce167f100%83
w1wallet2f804bbc304c0a070d35ce8a92e09f5d88fc17ee285806334e23b68604d8053f93%77
Other crews running this exact shape
71 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
crew 10114207+30.0%✓view →
crew 2130+30.0%—view →
crew 172219+30.0%—view →
crew 303436+30.0%—view →
crew 923017+30.0%—view →
crew 956415+30.0%—view →
crew 30420+25.8%✓view →
crew 643623+25.7%—view →
crew 237359+25.1%✓view →
crew 888936+24.2%—view →
crew 1996319+22.9%—view →
crew 451985+21.6%✓view →
crew 487429+21.0%✓view →
crew 142623+20.6%✓view →
crew 601724+20.0%—view →
crew 2326216+20.0%—view →
crew 367791+20.0%—view →
crew 858138+20.0%—view →
crew 25399139+19.4%✓view →
crew 332438+19.3%—view →
crew 950615+19.1%—view →
crew 679+17.5%✓view →
crew 4319+16.7%—view →
crew 13157+16.6%—view →
crew 204264+16.4%—view →
crew 1225239+14.9%—view →
all72187+13.9%—view →
crew 517+13.3%—view →
crew 1632822+13.3%—view →
crew 1495619+13.0%—view →
crew 1628+12.6%—view →
crew 1164854+12.3%—view →
crew 3527429+11.3%—view →
crew 1093348+10.3%—view →
crew 2370824+10.2%—view →
crew 248295+8.3%—view →
crew 4666140+7.2%—view →
crew 1216+7.0%—view →
crew 310220+5.7%—view →
crew 4799+5.1%—view →
crew 270232+5.0%—view →
crew 597437+4.2%—view →
crew 344038+1.8%—view →
crew 1696930+1.7%—view →
crew 30925+0.0%—view →
crew 55523+0.0%—view →
crew 65545+0.0%—view →
crew 74116+0.0%—view →
crew 212854+0.0%—view →
crew 213017+0.0%—view →
crew 241018+0.0%—view →
crew 330528+0.0%—view →
crew 375318+0.0%—view →
crew 412524+0.0%—view →
crew 569822+0.0%—view →
crew 830817+0.0%—view →
crew 920432+0.0%—view →
crew 1071720+0.0%—view →
crew 1111830+0.0%—view →
crew 1122116+0.0%—view →
crew 1166316+0.0%—view →
crew 1388126+0.0%—view →
crew 1561831+0.0%—view →
crew 1884317+0.0%—view →
crew 2093519+0.0%—view →
crew 2525117+0.0%—view →
crew 4257122+0.0%—view →
crew 2027125-4.4%—view →
crew 3071959-7.7%—view →
crew 589625-15.6%—view →
crew 2318349-20.0%—view →
Crew 14441
3 resolved wallets
9ddae…e167f2f804…8053f690ec…b2039
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
8c3b…993a424,918,426+30.0%✓14441 replay
d19d…231f418,682,868+30.0%✓14441 replay
b9b0…087f418,688,205+30.0%✓14441 replay
79d8…b7bf422,707,457+30.0%✓14441 replay
919a…98df425,263,443+30.0%✓14441 replay
7afe…5b8f425,367,060+30.0%✓14441 replay
0793…a00f419,737,693+30.0%✓14441 replay
865d…afbf424,301,055+30.0%✓14441 replay
2e88…1ef1424,899,631+30.0%✓14441 replay
883b…b60f418,325,088+30.0%✓14441 replay
8b95…fd18425,445,577+30.0%✓14441 replay
a893…9d6f419,791,556+30.0%✓14441 replay
4611…4e0f421,439,230+30.0%✓14441 replay
b6c9…939f425,593,946+30.0%✓14441 replay
c2e7…9eef424,691,348+30.0%✓14441 replay
eac4…fecf421,439,921+30.0%✓14441 replay
5f78…43ff421,197,230+30.0%✓14441 replay
42b7…29ff421,811,992+30.0%✓14441 replay
721f…961f425,346,145+30.0%✓14441 replay
15f0…672f421,438,269+30.0%✓14441 replay
49e7…3e7f424,922,228+30.0%✓14441 replay
56d8…deef419,275,552+30.0%✓14441 replay
a5cc…dbaf419,797,156+30.0%✓14441 replay
3851…bd0f419,292,962+30.0%✓14441 replay
7bdf…640f424,879,789+30.0%✓14441 replay
38a1…251f425,669,098+30.0%✓14441 replay
7ee9…d1ef419,912,699+30.0%✓14441 replay
8379…af0a425,458,128+30.0%✓14441 replay
2f63…39af424,707,652+30.0%✓14441 replay
f002…758f419,151,288+30.0%✓14441 replay
f065…17ef424,747,712+30.0%✓14441 replay
87c9…7aff419,808,856+30.0%✓14441 replay
5462…0a3f421,020,614+30.0%✓14441 replay
214e…8c2f422,656,783+30.0%✓14441 replay
8a2c…727f425,603,823+30.0%✓14441 replay
8831…76bf424,990,822+30.0%✓14441 replay
f688…f24f425,670,816+30.0%✓14441 replay
5f5a…1d4f420,660,108+30.0%✓14441 replay
f06e…a2af425,626,221+30.0%✓14441 replay
104b…a13f421,024,947+30.0%✓14441 replay
5fdb…584f423,677,065+30.0%✓14441 replay
1eed…b04f425,543,431+30.0%✓14441 replay
0259…45cf421,801,743+30.0%✓14441 replay
1873…b1bf420,352,280+30.0%✓14441 replay
f41f…7fef424,965,539+30.0%✓14441 replay
4ffb…bf3f421,856,447+30.0%✓14441 replay
68ab…49ff425,654,674+30.0%✓14441 replay
adf0…ac5f421,867,389+30.0%✓14441 replay
ff0b…471f421,158,776+30.0%✓14441 replay
0775…31bf413,827,991+30.0%✓14441 replay
220d…35bf424,893,664+30.0%✓14441 replay
0bc1…855f425,371,630+30.0%✓14441 replay
ebb9…5acf425,369,845+30.0%✓14441 replay
6248…2bfe424,671,839+30.0%✓14441 replay
6319…27c3422,505,118+30.0%✓14441 replay
0056…2e5f424,967,522+30.0%✓14441 replay
4cf1…097f419,257,078+30.0%✓14441 replay
426e…bd6f424,652,105+30.0%✓14441 replay
971f…a99f421,872,635+30.0%✓14441 replay
3dcc…af8f421,939,415+30.0%✓14441 replay