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Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
co-buy(2)
rejected: only 1.2x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 38% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
+0.0%
n=0 out-of-sample
Hit rate
38%
16 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
-0.3% → +2.8%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.592
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
fixed motif
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-12.2% … +11.7%
Support16
OOS support0
MDL bits20
Case / control51680 / 50762
Motif size3n · 3e
Shape ide00000000020…
Groundingcrew 11663
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | 1d1334e07c48644ba4abbf300fa704a420f7aad8a8e21fb2db7c7fe13511b8a5 | 100% | 16 |
Other crews running this exact shape
71 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 10114 | 207 | +30.0% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 21 | 30 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 1722 | 19 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3034 | 36 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 9230 | 17 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 9564 | 15 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 304 | 20 | +25.8% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 6436 | 23 | +25.7% | — | view → |
| crew 2373 | 59 | +25.1% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 8889 | 36 | +24.2% | — | view → |
| crew 19963 | 19 | +22.9% | — | view → |
| crew 4519 | 85 | +21.6% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 4874 | 29 | +21.0% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 1426 | 23 | +20.6% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 6017 | 24 | +20.0% | — | view → |
| crew 23262 | 16 | +20.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3677 | 91 | +20.0% | — | view → |
| crew 8581 | 38 | +20.0% | — | view → |
| crew 25399 | 139 | +19.4% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 3324 | 38 | +19.3% | — | view → |
| crew 9506 | 15 | +19.1% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 79 | +17.5% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 43 | 19 | +16.7% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 157 | +16.6% | — | view → |
| crew 2042 | 64 | +16.4% | — | view → |
| crew 12252 | 39 | +14.9% | — | view → |
| all | 72187 | +13.9% | — | view → |
| crew 5 | 17 | +13.3% | — | view → |
| crew 16328 | 22 | +13.3% | — | view → |
| crew 14956 | 19 | +13.0% | — | view → |
| crew 16 | 28 | +12.6% | — | view → |
| crew 11648 | 54 | +12.3% | — | view → |
| crew 14441 | 35 | +11.3% | — | view → |
| crew 35274 | 29 | +11.3% | — | view → |
| crew 10933 | 48 | +10.3% | — | view → |
| crew 23708 | 24 | +10.2% | — | view → |
| crew 2482 | 95 | +8.3% | — | view → |
| crew 46661 | 40 | +7.2% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 16 | +7.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3102 | 20 | +5.7% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 99 | +5.1% | — | view → |
| crew 2702 | 32 | +5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 5974 | 37 | +4.2% | — | view → |
| crew 3440 | 38 | +1.8% | — | view → |
| crew 16969 | 30 | +1.7% | — | view → |
| crew 309 | 25 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 555 | 23 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 655 | 45 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 741 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2128 | 54 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2130 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2410 | 18 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3305 | 28 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3753 | 18 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 4125 | 24 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 5698 | 22 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 8308 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 9204 | 32 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 10717 | 20 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 11118 | 30 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 11221 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 13881 | 26 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 15618 | 31 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 18843 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 20935 | 19 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 25251 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 42571 | 22 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 20271 | 25 | -4.4% | — | view → |
| crew 30719 | 59 | -7.7% | — | view → |
| crew 5896 | 25 | -15.6% | — | view → |
| crew 23183 | 49 | -20.0% | — | view → |
Crew 11663
7 resolved wallets
1d133…1b8a5011b2…5fc7f910d3…fb485502eb…4af2b7d426…85091aaa18…46eb4248cf…a120d
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5905…534f | 416,723,367 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11663 | replay |
| 59b4…357f | 416,711,637 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11663 | replay |
| b808…1ddf | 416,729,857 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11663 | replay |
| 1d0f…e08f | 416,711,515 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11663 | replay |
| 8a8c…323f | 416,727,568 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11663 | replay |
| 46a3…573f | 416,728,365 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11663 | replay |
| 2f29…09ef | 416,705,172 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11663 | replay |
| a6b9…9bcf | 416,728,609 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11663 | replay |
| 3f2e…a65f | 416,714,944 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11663 | replay |
| 8273…d46f | 416,723,722 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11663 | replay |
| a89b…de6f | 416,729,081 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11663 | replay |
| adc2…622f | 416,729,386 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11663 | replay |
| a423…0a2f | 416,728,587 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11663 | replay |
| 6650…a5bf | 416,714,063 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11663 | replay |
| 45b1…53cf | 416,705,917 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11663 | replay |
| 45da…988f | 416,728,200 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11663 | replay |
| 267e…772f | 416,729,177 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11663 | replay |
| 1755…9fef | 416,703,542 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11663 | replay |
| 81c2…9dff | 416,723,580 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11663 | replay |
| 6c8e…2cbf | 416,715,208 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11663 | replay |
| 3c1f…8d0f | 416,723,472 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11663 | replay |
| 1c75…01df | 416,703,615 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11663 | replay |
| 3fdf…f8cf | 416,713,305 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11663 | replay |
| 2cd9…bcdf | 416,713,168 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11663 | replay |
| 4556…487f | 416,705,895 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11663 | replay |
| 3206…1c3f | 416,727,586 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11663 | replay |
| aa70…b2bf | 416,729,152 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11663 | replay |
| ac20…4c6f | 416,729,269 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11663 | replay |
| 9910…f68f | 416,728,335 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11663 | replay |
| b10c…cc6f | 416,729,589 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11663 | replay |
| 604b…5e1f | 416,713,287 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11663 | replay |
| 853d…25df | 416,727,517 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11663 | replay |
| 629b…a43f | 416,713,405 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11663 | replay |
| 0166…ea8f | 416,706,142 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11663 | replay |
| 39e1…4c8f | 416,714,120 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11663 | replay |
| 6834…7a1f | 416,715,140 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11663 | replay |
| a381…163f | 416,728,550 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11663 | replay |
| 02a8…548f | 416,693,436 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11663 | replay |
| 0251…146f | 416,696,858 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11663 | replay |
| 3d50…a0ef | 416,705,546 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11663 | replay |
| 6cf1…6c2f | 416,715,236 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11663 | replay |
| ab18…d3af | 416,729,249 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11663 | replay |
| 0de3…b1cf | 416,695,784 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11663 | replay |
| afc1…9f7f | 416,729,454 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11663 | replay |
| b089…9e6f | 416,729,503 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11663 | replay |
| 81c2…c18f | 416,723,644 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11663 | replay |
| 6a81…b7df | 416,715,180 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11663 | replay |
| 408c…24cf | 416,705,722 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11663 | replay |
| 171a…186f | 416,723,828 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11663 | replay |
| 8839…fbdf | 416,728,571 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11663 | replay |
| b15f…a9af | 416,729,605 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11663 | replay |
| 19c7…b75f | 416,711,819 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11663 | replay |
| 756f…8e1f | 416,723,214 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11663 | replay |
| 5d4b…ae9f | 416,727,846 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11663 | replay |
| 1efc…ed6f | 416,727,973 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11663 | replay |
| 7eed…d8bf | 416,723,448 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11663 | replay |
| 26fe…8f6f | 416,729,671 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11663 | replay |
| 21bb…4d7f | 416,703,819 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11663 | replay |
| 2d0c…5f5f | 416,729,724 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11663 | replay |
| 5fda…69af | 416,713,240 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11663 | replay |