│
Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
co-buy(2)
rejected: only 1.6x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 51% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
+13.9%
n=30246 out-of-sample
Hit rate
51%
72187 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+12.8% → +12.8%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.000
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
Loading...
Motif
fixed motif
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+12.6% … +12.9%
Support72,187
OOS support30,246
MDL bits0
Case / control51680 / 50762
Motif size3n · 3e
Shape ide00000000020…
Groundingall
Other crews running this exact shape
71 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 10114 | 207 | +30.0% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 21 | 30 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 1722 | 19 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3034 | 36 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 9230 | 17 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 9564 | 15 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 304 | 20 | +25.8% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 6436 | 23 | +25.7% | — | view → |
| crew 2373 | 59 | +25.1% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 8889 | 36 | +24.2% | — | view → |
| crew 19963 | 19 | +22.9% | — | view → |
| crew 4519 | 85 | +21.6% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 4874 | 29 | +21.0% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 1426 | 23 | +20.6% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 6017 | 24 | +20.0% | — | view → |
| crew 23262 | 16 | +20.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3677 | 91 | +20.0% | — | view → |
| crew 8581 | 38 | +20.0% | — | view → |
| crew 25399 | 139 | +19.4% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 3324 | 38 | +19.3% | — | view → |
| crew 9506 | 15 | +19.1% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 79 | +17.5% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 43 | 19 | +16.7% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 157 | +16.6% | — | view → |
| crew 2042 | 64 | +16.4% | — | view → |
| crew 12252 | 39 | +14.9% | — | view → |
| crew 5 | 17 | +13.3% | — | view → |
| crew 16328 | 22 | +13.3% | — | view → |
| crew 14956 | 19 | +13.0% | — | view → |
| crew 16 | 28 | +12.6% | — | view → |
| crew 11648 | 54 | +12.3% | — | view → |
| crew 14441 | 35 | +11.3% | — | view → |
| crew 35274 | 29 | +11.3% | — | view → |
| crew 10933 | 48 | +10.3% | — | view → |
| crew 23708 | 24 | +10.2% | — | view → |
| crew 2482 | 95 | +8.3% | — | view → |
| crew 46661 | 40 | +7.2% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 16 | +7.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3102 | 20 | +5.7% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 99 | +5.1% | — | view → |
| crew 2702 | 32 | +5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 5974 | 37 | +4.2% | — | view → |
| crew 3440 | 38 | +1.8% | — | view → |
| crew 16969 | 30 | +1.7% | — | view → |
| crew 309 | 25 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 555 | 23 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 655 | 45 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 741 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2128 | 54 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2130 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2410 | 18 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3305 | 28 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3753 | 18 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 4125 | 24 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 5698 | 22 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 8308 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 9204 | 32 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 10717 | 20 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 11118 | 30 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 11221 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 11663 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 13881 | 26 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 15618 | 31 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 18843 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 20935 | 19 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 25251 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 42571 | 22 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 20271 | 25 | -4.4% | — | view → |
| crew 30719 | 59 | -7.7% | — | view → |
| crew 5896 | 25 | -15.6% | — | view → |
| crew 23183 | 49 | -20.0% | — | view → |
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3c5a…af4f | 411,791,176 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 3c5b…e92f | 410,536,137 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2482 | replay |
| 0ebb…70df | 414,262,002 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 0ed9…f4df | 412,132,971 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 0f08…175f | 427,163,705 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1573 | replay |
| 0f08…c9af | 427,164,993 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1573 | replay |
| 0f0d…809f | 427,409,700 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 697d…ac7f | 418,531,276 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 6991…b94f | 417,145,039 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2482 | replay |
| 69bd…cf9f | 417,777,722 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5896 | replay |
| 69c2…f0af | 410,173,592 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2875 | replay |
| 6a1a…d8ef | 410,310,894 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3908 | replay |
| 6a2b…19ff | 413,669,885 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 6a3e…9f7f | 413,197,960 | +30.0% | ✓ | 30719 | replay |
| 6a56…21af | 409,564,482 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23381 | replay |
| 6a7a…93ff | 417,176,658 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3556 | replay |
| 2712…f73f | 414,720,874 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 2720…065f | 415,391,491 | +30.0% | ✓ | 9 | replay |
| 274a…9f2f | 422,856,769 | +30.0% | ✓ | 25848 | replay |
| 2757…feb1 | 413,683,438 | +30.0% | ✓ | 9542 | replay |
| 27ac…ac8f | 411,641,741 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16786 | replay |
| 27fe…971f | 419,614,532 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 8691…fa6f | 410,985,554 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 2844…4a7f | 411,402,067 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3034 | replay |
| 2867…f20f | 419,936,266 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 286a…086f | 412,388,962 | +30.0% | ✓ | 4519 | replay |
| 5cd2…96df | 416,607,616 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3034 | replay |
| 5cd6…bc4f | 418,037,654 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3677 | replay |
| 5ced…601f | 419,303,464 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1088 | replay |
| 5d1e…74cf | 416,068,839 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| 5d4d…8123 | 421,907,167 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 5d56…d18f | 419,001,334 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 5d76…6a6f | 421,047,191 | +30.0% | ✓ | 18354 | replay |
| 5da2…260f | 409,883,164 | +30.0% | ✓ | 30719 | replay |
| 5db3…7cdf | 418,422,450 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1323 | replay |
| 5db6…cedf | 419,477,180 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 5dd1…ab8f | 423,647,695 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6117 | replay |
| 57cb…d4af | 414,494,381 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 57d6…e7af | 422,501,561 | +30.0% | ✓ | 25399 | replay |
| 57f2…e60f | 418,684,983 | +30.0% | ✓ | 4966 | replay |
| 57fe…59ef | 424,328,874 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11648 | replay |
| 280d…806f | 422,633,018 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19519 | replay |
| 2b39…ff3f | 415,191,387 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3556 | replay |
| 2b51…c4c1 | 413,361,765 | +30.0% | ✓ | 9542 | replay |
| 5839…4f0f | 420,205,551 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| 2bb3…0bbf | 415,669,366 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| 7a1f…7c9f | 421,003,405 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 7a2c…af5f | 422,797,721 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 7a2e…db4f | 412,355,149 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 7a2f…96cf | 417,848,489 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6274 | replay |
| 7a53…5a4f | 409,908,594 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 7a5d…ebff | 410,510,984 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2702 | replay |
| 2b9a…2eef | 424,365,665 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 7a69…931f | 411,804,609 | +30.0% | ✓ | 25399 | replay |
| 8690…452f | 419,586,759 | +30.0% | ✓ | 24984 | replay |
| 7a7b…9caf | 409,935,427 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3483 | replay |
| 8646…b2df | 426,997,662 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 861c…f0ef | 414,806,476 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2373 | replay |
| 8663…b9ff | 412,987,829 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 7aa3…7c0f | 425,624,656 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |