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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
co-buy(2)
rejected: only 0.3x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 10% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
+5.7%
n=19 out-of-sample
Hit rate
10%
20 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+4.0% → +4.4%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.076
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
fixed motif
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-0.7% … +8.8%
Support20
OOS support19
MDL bits20
Case / control51680 / 50762
Motif size3n · 3e
Shape ide00000000020…
Groundingcrew 3102
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | bb1313983923ae136755697c5153b36e9ea8c54a12f29a7518ddaf431357d926 | 97% | 38 |
Other crews running this exact shape
71 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 10114 | 207 | +30.0% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 21 | 30 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 1722 | 19 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3034 | 36 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 9230 | 17 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 9564 | 15 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 304 | 20 | +25.8% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 6436 | 23 | +25.7% | — | view → |
| crew 2373 | 59 | +25.1% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 8889 | 36 | +24.2% | — | view → |
| crew 19963 | 19 | +22.9% | — | view → |
| crew 4519 | 85 | +21.6% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 4874 | 29 | +21.0% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 1426 | 23 | +20.6% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 6017 | 24 | +20.0% | — | view → |
| crew 23262 | 16 | +20.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3677 | 91 | +20.0% | — | view → |
| crew 8581 | 38 | +20.0% | — | view → |
| crew 25399 | 139 | +19.4% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 3324 | 38 | +19.3% | — | view → |
| crew 9506 | 15 | +19.1% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 79 | +17.5% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 43 | 19 | +16.7% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 157 | +16.6% | — | view → |
| crew 2042 | 64 | +16.4% | — | view → |
| crew 12252 | 39 | +14.9% | — | view → |
| all | 72187 | +13.9% | — | view → |
| crew 5 | 17 | +13.3% | — | view → |
| crew 16328 | 22 | +13.3% | — | view → |
| crew 14956 | 19 | +13.0% | — | view → |
| crew 16 | 28 | +12.6% | — | view → |
| crew 11648 | 54 | +12.3% | — | view → |
| crew 14441 | 35 | +11.3% | — | view → |
| crew 35274 | 29 | +11.3% | — | view → |
| crew 10933 | 48 | +10.3% | — | view → |
| crew 23708 | 24 | +10.2% | — | view → |
| crew 2482 | 95 | +8.3% | — | view → |
| crew 46661 | 40 | +7.2% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 16 | +7.0% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 99 | +5.1% | — | view → |
| crew 2702 | 32 | +5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 5974 | 37 | +4.2% | — | view → |
| crew 3440 | 38 | +1.8% | — | view → |
| crew 16969 | 30 | +1.7% | — | view → |
| crew 309 | 25 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 555 | 23 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 655 | 45 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 741 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2128 | 54 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2130 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2410 | 18 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3305 | 28 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3753 | 18 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 4125 | 24 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 5698 | 22 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 8308 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 9204 | 32 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 10717 | 20 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 11118 | 30 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 11221 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 11663 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 13881 | 26 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 15618 | 31 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 18843 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 20935 | 19 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 25251 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 42571 | 22 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 20271 | 25 | -4.4% | — | view → |
| crew 30719 | 59 | -7.7% | — | view → |
| crew 5896 | 25 | -15.6% | — | view → |
| crew 23183 | 49 | -20.0% | — | view → |
Crew 3102
34 resolved wallets
bb131…7d926bbb66…6ffbcef26a…3d2c849058…36c7f68a85…3960a333e5…131e5083ca…1c65ab03ea…59204036be…864c3e0566…0410749793…87533e7fb4…44ce4f84fb…1da2d42831…91c7165901…ce30876643…84152f7ab0…e6c6a3ee13…c7304200ea…9298338b3e…dffc6eec15…636b0eea9a…abdddb7816…7e23ddbb26…d37c157893…3c5c78d6fc…07e634ecd5…da0f4eee8f…15605a1717…86dc639f4a…a2d018e6e8…7afed57d98…d7d3ad48a2…2cbe22c420…86792
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| b6c7…51ff | 422,315,478 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3102 | replay |
| 79fa…36ef | 426,160,158 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3102 | replay |
| 89c9…0c7f | 421,615,949 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3102 | replay |
| 80a0…e38f | 422,289,378 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3102 | replay |
| cf85…0fdf | 419,508,026 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3102 | replay |
| fb62…c75f | 416,635,237 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3102 | replay |
| bc2a…7d8f | 425,597,643 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3102 | replay |
| a5e7…4b6f | 413,370,219 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3102 | replay |
| 2f22…67cf | 413,875,737 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3102 | replay |
| cc98…d98f | 422,072,172 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3102 | replay |
| 5368…485f | 409,637,590 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3102 | replay |
| a589…4b5f | 425,580,362 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3102 | replay |
| 7898…1b7f | 416,202,114 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3102 | replay |
| ae81…5e0f | 422,052,294 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3102 | replay |
| 1762…074f | 418,154,707 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3102 | replay |
| ee0b…a8df | 418,582,053 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3102 | replay |
| 3a80…d0cf | 422,123,958 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3102 | replay |
| 98c9…a98f | 422,752,350 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3102 | replay |
| 5045…f58f | 425,932,353 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3102 | replay |
| 0a27…de5f | 418,777,449 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3102 | replay |
| 7700…40bf | 416,624,557 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3102 | replay |
| 82b6…bd0f | 418,583,021 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3102 | replay |
| 50ad…061f | 426,166,945 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3102 | replay |
| 52f6…a79f | 418,178,266 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3102 | replay |
| 7108…731f | 423,231,225 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3102 | replay |
| 5b3b…75af | 417,816,812 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3102 | replay |
| eb1a…b30f | 416,626,975 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3102 | replay |
| 947d…77af | 427,679,193 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3102 | replay |
| 4d89…44ef | 424,743,416 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3102 | replay |
| 4f8f…e2cf | 427,138,074 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3102 | replay |
| a6c8…bdbf | 418,774,936 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3102 | replay |
| a21d…c47f | 422,256,840 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3102 | replay |
| 99d0…dc8f | 418,185,881 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3102 | replay |
| 08b1…4b2f | 417,815,758 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3102 | replay |
| e0c4…176f | 418,133,469 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3102 | replay |
| 3677…db4f | 418,683,728 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3102 | replay |
| 0c11…ec8f | 421,217,571 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3102 | replay |
| 471b…41af | 422,718,495 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3102 | replay |
| d527…f32f | 417,739,369 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3102 | replay |
| bf03…d89f | 420,604,657 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3102 | replay |
| c725…5d6f | 418,779,482 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3102 | replay |
| c1c5…0bef | 413,365,384 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3102 | replay |
| fd03…48ff | 413,252,683 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3102 | replay |
| 5c4d…459f | 425,931,242 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3102 | replay |
| dda9…a56f | 418,141,738 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3102 | replay |
| 3cb9…eb5f | 417,817,677 | +25.0% | 3102 | replay | |
| 2340…a64f | 417,809,967 | +23.4% | 3102 | replay | |
| 7fb2…d8cf | 418,223,292 | +22.8% | 3102 | replay | |
| 74c2…464f | 418,901,489 | +20.9% | 3102 | replay | |
| 6370…675f | 416,720,246 | +19.5% | 3102 | replay | |
| 4029…7edf | 416,647,841 | +18.4% | 3102 | replay | |
| d249…883f | 425,561,444 | +17.3% | 3102 | replay | |
| a97f…101f | 422,941,162 | +16.2% | 3102 | replay | |
| 575b…ca0f | 424,712,430 | +16.1% | 3102 | replay | |
| 4f14…80bf | 422,762,448 | +15.7% | 3102 | replay | |
| 4c3d…c17f | 418,129,509 | +15.7% | 3102 | replay | |
| fb97…eabf | 426,219,847 | +14.1% | 3102 | replay | |
| a2fa…24cf | 422,578,096 | +13.6% | 3102 | replay | |
| adfe…73bf | 414,484,667 | +13.1% | 3102 | replay | |
| b47f…404f | 413,372,944 | +13.1% | 3102 | replay |