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Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
co-buy(2)
rejected: only 1.5x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 47% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
+13.0%
n=11 out-of-sample
Hit rate
47%
19 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+10.3% → +10.0%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.032
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
Loading...
Motif
fixed motif
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+0.6% … +20.0%
Support19
OOS support11
MDL bits20
Case / control51680 / 50762
Motif size3n · 3e
Shape ide00000000020…
Groundingcrew 14956
Other crews running this exact shape
71 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 10114 | 207 | +30.0% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 21 | 30 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 1722 | 19 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3034 | 36 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 9230 | 17 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 9564 | 15 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 304 | 20 | +25.8% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 6436 | 23 | +25.7% | — | view → |
| crew 2373 | 59 | +25.1% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 8889 | 36 | +24.2% | — | view → |
| crew 19963 | 19 | +22.9% | — | view → |
| crew 4519 | 85 | +21.6% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 4874 | 29 | +21.0% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 1426 | 23 | +20.6% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 6017 | 24 | +20.0% | — | view → |
| crew 23262 | 16 | +20.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3677 | 91 | +20.0% | — | view → |
| crew 8581 | 38 | +20.0% | — | view → |
| crew 25399 | 139 | +19.4% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 3324 | 38 | +19.3% | — | view → |
| crew 9506 | 15 | +19.1% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 79 | +17.5% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 43 | 19 | +16.7% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 157 | +16.6% | — | view → |
| crew 2042 | 64 | +16.4% | — | view → |
| crew 12252 | 39 | +14.9% | — | view → |
| all | 72187 | +13.9% | — | view → |
| crew 5 | 17 | +13.3% | — | view → |
| crew 16328 | 22 | +13.3% | — | view → |
| crew 16 | 28 | +12.6% | — | view → |
| crew 11648 | 54 | +12.3% | — | view → |
| crew 14441 | 35 | +11.3% | — | view → |
| crew 35274 | 29 | +11.3% | — | view → |
| crew 10933 | 48 | +10.3% | — | view → |
| crew 23708 | 24 | +10.2% | — | view → |
| crew 2482 | 95 | +8.3% | — | view → |
| crew 46661 | 40 | +7.2% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 16 | +7.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3102 | 20 | +5.7% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 99 | +5.1% | — | view → |
| crew 2702 | 32 | +5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 5974 | 37 | +4.2% | — | view → |
| crew 3440 | 38 | +1.8% | — | view → |
| crew 16969 | 30 | +1.7% | — | view → |
| crew 309 | 25 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 555 | 23 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 655 | 45 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 741 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2128 | 54 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2130 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2410 | 18 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3305 | 28 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3753 | 18 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 4125 | 24 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 5698 | 22 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 8308 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 9204 | 32 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 10717 | 20 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 11118 | 30 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 11221 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 11663 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 13881 | 26 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 15618 | 31 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 18843 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 20935 | 19 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 25251 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 42571 | 22 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 20271 | 25 | -4.4% | — | view → |
| crew 30719 | 59 | -7.7% | — | view → |
| crew 5896 | 25 | -15.6% | — | view → |
| crew 23183 | 49 | -20.0% | — | view → |
Crew 14956
4 resolved wallets
95199…86535d20af…df9e25c7ed…92ac16676f…af443
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| d1d1…15b9 | 420,902,498 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14956 | replay |
| 8cde…86ef | 425,363,981 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14956 | replay |
| 7cde…c7bf | 418,742,775 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14956 | replay |
| 8e42…7a0f | 415,191,170 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14956 | replay |
| 8ab8…cf2f | 420,019,273 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14956 | replay |
| 46d0…025f | 427,626,330 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14956 | replay |
| 93c6…911f | 422,612,445 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14956 | replay |
| bb0e…e51f | 419,781,794 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14956 | replay |
| 7b5f…bf9f | 419,143,891 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14956 | replay |
| d47e…b98f | 426,950,651 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14956 | replay |
| e3b0…03bf | 422,613,944 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14956 | replay |
| e7f5…621f | 421,033,313 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14956 | replay |
| 94f7…294f | 426,272,181 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14956 | replay |
| 973c…803f | 426,663,972 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14956 | replay |
| 0abd…da5f | 419,313,047 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14956 | replay |
| 9f2d…1caf | 419,335,252 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14956 | replay |
| 86af…fa6f | 421,296,153 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14956 | replay |
| 85f5…751f | 420,659,570 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14956 | replay |
| a2f5…8b4f | 419,768,225 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14956 | replay |
| a56a…077f | 419,792,653 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14956 | replay |
| a9b6…076f | 419,304,253 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14956 | replay |
| 4310…8bbf | 422,126,288 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14956 | replay |
| f91a…2ebf | 421,294,704 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14956 | replay |
| 924d…d20f | 421,962,234 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14956 | replay |
| 23c4…d38f | 426,037,064 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14956 | replay |
| 76e7…be4f | 427,199,508 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14956 | replay |
| 262e…bd1f | 419,942,146 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14956 | replay |
| 2ae8…58fd | 425,592,110 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14956 | replay |
| 828d…294f | 422,111,028 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14956 | replay |
| 9b68…1c7f | 425,042,640 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14956 | replay |
| 16cf…807f | 420,276,032 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14956 | replay |
| c59c…8a1f | 421,680,835 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14956 | replay |
| 3941…3d5f | 418,255,798 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14956 | replay |
| 72b5…534f | 421,932,674 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14956 | replay |
| d85c…5f7f | 422,328,571 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14956 | replay |
| 653c…baaf | 418,290,974 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14956 | replay |
| d3cd…030f | 421,746,133 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14956 | replay |
| f90d…ba6f | 419,758,315 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14956 | replay |
| 3f8d…3c8f | 420,273,438 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14956 | replay |
| c332…48ef | 419,759,380 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14956 | replay |
| 340a…06ef | 426,500,235 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14956 | replay |
| 56b6…cc1f | 421,459,102 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14956 | replay |
| 2610…6d4f | 418,220,648 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14956 | replay |
| 57be…a49f | 422,349,536 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14956 | replay |
| 312b…37ff | 426,948,454 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14956 | replay |
| 0ddb…fb6f | 426,075,849 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14956 | replay |
| ac23…936f | 426,336,815 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14956 | replay |
| ab31…d6cf | 419,078,121 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14956 | replay |
| 8e12…66af | 422,353,950 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14956 | replay |
| dc33…baef | 422,769,345 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14956 | replay |
| 61b6…418f | 423,196,685 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14956 | replay |
| c87f…32af | 421,706,050 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14956 | replay |
| 186f…8bff | 418,532,853 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14956 | replay |
| 61be…ea0f | 418,771,005 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14956 | replay |
| b33b…f66f | 419,300,436 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14956 | replay |
| cbe4…40cf | 421,469,559 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14956 | replay |
| b530…af7f | 418,445,749 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14956 | replay |
| b4d4…00bf | 418,951,971 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14956 | replay |
| 53e7…21ef | 425,384,164 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14956 | replay |
| ac84…b3ff | 418,888,068 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14956 | replay |