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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
co-buy(4)
rejected: only 0.6x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 20% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
+4.5%
n=4 out-of-sample
Hit rate
20%
25 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+4.0% → +4.6%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.154
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-2.3% … +10.3%
Support25
OOS support4
MDL bits20
Case / control50055 / 43406
Motif size5n · 5e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 47
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | 8c19fdf26753f9374d12f5c15a3b1589c800def1394b7974322cce975dd63791 | 100% | 29 |
Other crews running this exact shape
43 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 10114 | 224 | +30.0% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 6436 | 21 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 8889 | 32 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2702 | 46 | +24.7% | — | view → |
| crew 4519 | 80 | +22.8% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 13 | 111 | +21.8% | — | view → |
| crew 3677 | 84 | +21.4% | — | view → |
| crew 8581 | 30 | +20.0% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 27 | +18.8% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 6017 | 20 | +17.5% | — | view → |
| crew 11648 | 47 | +17.3% | — | view → |
| crew 12252 | 34 | +16.9% | — | view → |
| crew 25399 | 100 | +16.5% | ✓ | view → |
| all | 66128 | +14.9% | — | view → |
| crew 16328 | 25 | +13.3% | — | view → |
| crew 14956 | 15 | +12.8% | — | view → |
| crew 14441 | 36 | +12.7% | — | view → |
| crew 2482 | 86 | +11.5% | — | view → |
| crew 3440 | 30 | +8.3% | — | view → |
| crew 5974 | 32 | +5.3% | — | view → |
| crew 13958 | 15 | +5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 16969 | 27 | +3.4% | — | view → |
| crew 555 | 24 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2042 | 46 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2128 | 34 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2130 | 22 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3034 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3305 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3341 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3753 | 19 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 5939 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 8308 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 11118 | 25 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 11221 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 11663 | 15 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 15618 | 34 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 20935 | 21 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 20994 | 15 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 23708 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 42571 | 23 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 30719 | 78 | -7.7% | — | view → |
| crew 5896 | 26 | -15.6% | — | view → |
| crew 23183 | 45 | -20.0% | — | view → |
Crew 47
200 resolved wallets
1bdde…e7931882ed…aed038c19f…6379176588…30e14f8b96…c936ec724a…4b7cc2ec2c…3175930bc1…512f833bb1…8ef4c0eb58…88ef8cdb0e…88a9c43e7e…1a6c253fba…d15b26aa48…2be87e5d0d…7f13842ad3…f9389ba4a0…e1e589726e…dbe125a475…fa7460000b…386c98bf9e…99f83f00b5…0318e9fcd9…89dcb900c4…babeb679de…f44bac3474…0abfdc9ab1…fac864f8da…0eceec90ee…d0aa34c7cb…5ce6d90e11…501d2fe000…947b016454…7422c90ae9…4f1888a32c…584784ca04…2e841292de…9dfdadb5b2…dff7d79fce…2709b10125…ac2e43f421…e6de1eb213…de84a1b3ac…bec7ace621…e4922298df…7edf0432f9…486b881597…508a241188…0141571151…64acb478fc…5414516fd6…d0c2c58a7a…a0b3881646…3152553ff8…ee3e4d71df…1fc2450595…372b2a8e33…cc142a1653…310f7bd197…209b66ddbf…fbd873f4c4…6af39dee74…9424df3c7c…98d24d658d…fb3ab91573…c4e23b8e14…a725b15363…3196fd8182…2bf569a7fa…c0c4f17ea0…5e69373d83…1816e01bd7…2b7dccfd66…2cfc84717f…5c8ec341d0…48146efde5…4bc69692c1…0523bee8e1…0065797468…6b67058ee4…fe42d+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 001c…3e8f | 414,512,184 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 4841…228f | 416,143,961 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 8bf6…5d8f | 419,785,302 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| cbd5…b8df | 423,702,305 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| d543…956f | 411,553,925 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 8ae1…764f | 424,255,208 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 8dcd…f87f | 411,888,746 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 7e64…f74f | 416,296,511 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 2caa…5ebf | 412,722,281 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 9202…840f | 412,471,603 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 8681…254f | 419,282,574 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 7bdb…d8ef | 413,261,622 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 24d5…bdcf | 413,812,056 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 7355…f67f | 411,718,180 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 60c3…2a7f | 410,165,068 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 494c…b5bf | 418,092,750 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 24fe…eb5f | 418,194,021 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 31ed…e32f | 410,177,372 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 3280…88ff | 412,179,562 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 33bf…496f | 417,349,600 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 8c5c…456f | 413,187,859 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| bf78…0e8f | 424,649,095 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| c6f9…e3af | 413,444,513 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 0bb5…dd1f | 420,583,922 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 7bb1…d24f | 417,304,735 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 9add…18cf | 413,728,091 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| c6d2…5d4f | 409,848,909 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| a134…fc6f | 415,536,815 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 431b…703f | 412,273,272 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| d2e3…eb4f | 422,724,123 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| a648…d7ef | 416,907,022 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| d79b…fa5f | 424,931,082 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 1260…b82f | 412,279,791 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 2f97…39ff | 420,612,704 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| c4fb…b5af | 416,123,571 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| c439…d84f | 425,002,224 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 787a…31bf | 409,879,643 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 78b5…187f | 413,649,750 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| fa08…e6fa | 409,876,477 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 81c6…676f | 420,316,845 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| be60…e11f | 411,660,346 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| a303…71ef | 417,874,722 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| ce48…375f | 418,090,980 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| a42f…c47f | 413,417,157 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 096d…43bf | 413,851,552 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 2a52…34df | 413,866,034 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| c9b9…ab32 | 417,012,333 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| e54e…b1ff | 410,365,184 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 2c5e…ebcf | 416,816,819 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 1601…e218 | 410,547,177 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 6820…a69f | 426,308,884 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 7b15…7fbf | 411,929,704 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| ef9e…db4f | 412,719,247 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 6a26…db7f | 416,014,843 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| ac05…8d5f | 410,352,353 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 82a6…e1ff | 416,418,080 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| d62b…19bf | 413,477,556 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 7b29…800f | 411,493,535 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| 1fff…4aef | 425,852,188 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |
| cf5f…fe3f | 411,727,361 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47 | replay |