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rule detail

co-buy(4)

rejected: only 1.5x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 47% vs base 32%)

rulesrejectedcrew 156181 anchor
OOS effect
+0.0%
n=0 out-of-sample
Hit rate
47%
34 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+4.9% → +5.8%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.180
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
transferbuy@pumpfunpumpfbuy@pumpfunpumpfbuy@pumpfunpumpfbuy@pumpfunpumpfwwwwT
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-3.6% … +13.4%
Support34
OOS support0
MDL bits20
Case / control50055 / 43406
Motif size5n · 5e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 15618
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
NodeRoleAddressInvarianceSupport
w0wallet20386ae9eb617ea911d226951027860d65437eebc27aa365c264dda84c22f8d6100%34
Other crews running this exact shape
43 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
crew 10114224+30.0%✓view →
crew 643621+30.0%—view →
crew 888932+30.0%—view →
crew 270246+24.7%—view →
crew 451980+22.8%✓view →
crew 13111+21.8%—view →
crew 367784+21.4%—view →
crew 858130+20.0%—view →
crew 627+18.8%✓view →
crew 601720+17.5%—view →
crew 1164847+17.3%—view →
crew 1225234+16.9%—view →
crew 25399100+16.5%✓view →
all66128+14.9%—view →
crew 1632825+13.3%—view →
crew 1495615+12.8%—view →
crew 1444136+12.7%—view →
crew 248286+11.5%—view →
crew 344030+8.3%—view →
crew 597432+5.3%—view →
crew 1395815+5.0%—view →
crew 4725+4.5%—view →
crew 1696927+3.4%—view →
crew 55524+0.0%—view →
crew 204246+0.0%—view →
crew 212834+0.0%—view →
crew 213022+0.0%—view →
crew 303417+0.0%—view →
crew 330517+0.0%—view →
crew 334117+0.0%—view →
crew 375319+0.0%—view →
crew 593916+0.0%—view →
crew 830817+0.0%—view →
crew 1111825+0.0%—view →
crew 1122117+0.0%—view →
crew 1166315+0.0%—view →
crew 2093521+0.0%—view →
crew 2099415+0.0%—view →
crew 2370817+0.0%—view →
crew 4257123+0.0%—view →
crew 3071978-7.7%—view →
crew 589626-15.6%—view →
crew 2318345-20.0%—view →
Crew 15618
4 resolved wallets
20386…2f8d6f8ec9…1767fc9142…819c7d9590…4b96e
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
3fc0…e2ff417,223,461+30.0%✓15618 replay
2860…5f1f412,414,484+30.0%✓15618 replay
dcf1…a67f417,003,011+30.0%✓15618 replay
0f61…049f415,607,053+30.0%✓15618 replay
8c05…483f413,224,585+30.0%✓15618 replay
2ae5…8b4f417,214,827+30.0%✓15618 replay
7f12…5f6f415,644,089+30.0%✓15618 replay
448d…fdef415,840,836+30.0%✓15618 replay
478f…8cdf417,623,566+30.0%✓15618 replay
9355…1b2f417,409,613+30.0%✓15618 replay
c24e…4a0f416,114,425+30.0%✓15618 replay
685f…73bf420,389,947+30.0%✓15618 replay
8581…bc2f417,649,464+30.0%✓15618 replay
74bc…f1ef415,614,865+30.0%✓15618 replay
755e…533f417,679,243+30.0%✓15618 replay
f8be…0d8f415,609,682+30.0%✓15618 replay
6fae…5c4f415,711,882+30.0%✓15618 replay
eb96…a17f415,629,210+30.0%✓15618 replay
ce78…e0cf417,462,797+30.0%✓15618 replay
260c…e61f417,213,175+30.0%✓15618 replay
a3dc…448f417,546,159+30.0%✓15618 replay
82af…5e3f417,675,935+30.0%✓15618 replay
77ac…67df416,112,448+30.0%✓15618 replay
2f4d…ba2f417,651,236+30.0%✓15618 replay
c636…6b0f417,381,433+30.0%✓15618 replay
526a…4adf416,050,587+30.0%✓15618 replay
7004…b81f415,635,849+30.0%✓15618 replay
1e98…5b8f415,653,288+30.0%✓15618 replay
6920…645f416,126,394+30.0%✓15618 replay
565a…f8ef416,985,543+30.0%✓15618 replay
6b9c…9e0f415,641,067+30.0%✓15618 replay
10c3…bf7f415,854,985+30.0%✓15618 replay
5cab…e78f417,380,844+30.0%✓15618 replay
5d62…494f417,629,058+30.0%✓15618 replay
d0d8…facf413,775,813+30.0%✓15618 replay
0f9e…9ccf417,547,060+30.0%✓15618 replay
171f…f10f415,826,614+30.0%✓15618 replay
8b93…2d1f417,594,633+30.0%✓15618 replay
f2bf…8e3f415,654,394+30.0%✓15618 replay
b334…38ff415,709,371+30.0%✓15618 replay
ad0c…ea1f417,604,751+30.0%✓15618 replay
6e4d…623f414,257,240+30.0%✓15618 replay
63be…2bbf415,648,656+30.0%✓15618 replay
b479…bd8f415,813,217+30.0%✓15618 replay
9831…992f417,651,761+30.0%✓15618 replay
1d00…084f415,830,120+30.0%✓15618 replay
be35…af4f415,879,285+30.0%✓15618 replay
1f94…2eaf415,706,404+30.0%✓15618 replay
e418…f35f417,626,876+30.0%✓15618 replay
64f0…809f416,992,960+30.0%✓15618 replay
ff7c…475f416,999,278+30.0%✓15618 replay
04f4…4fcf415,625,872+30.0%✓15618 replay
699a…07cf415,621,231+30.0%✓15618 replay
dc34…feef417,410,169+30.0%✓15618 replay
bfbd…1f8f418,034,577+30.0%✓15618 replay
4264…5aff417,223,115+30.0%✓15618 replay
b180…2d7f417,619,205+30.0%✓15618 replay
4a65…47cf416,007,960+30.0%✓15618 replay
e9b4…3e1f416,996,282+30.0%✓15618 replay
43f9…87bf417,415,770+30.0%✓15618 replay