Offline
Paper P&L+0.00Open0Trades0
rule detail

co-buy(4)

rejected: only 0.8x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 26% vs base 32%)

rulesrejectedcrew 16969
OOS effect
+3.4%
n=29 out-of-sample
Hit rate
26%
27 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+4.9% +5.6%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.120
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
Loading...
Motif
transferbuy@pumpfunpumpfbuy@pumpfunpumpfbuy@pumpfunpumpfbuy@pumpfunpumpfwwwwT
recursive family
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-2.0% … +11.9%
Support27
OOS support29
MDL bits20
Case / control50055 / 43406
Motif size5n · 5e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 16969
Other crews running this exact shape
43 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
crew 10114224+30.0%view →
crew 643621+30.0%view →
crew 888932+30.0%view →
crew 270246+24.7%view →
crew 451980+22.8%view →
crew 13111+21.8%view →
crew 367784+21.4%view →
crew 858130+20.0%view →
crew 627+18.8%view →
crew 601720+17.5%view →
crew 1164847+17.3%view →
crew 1225234+16.9%view →
crew 25399100+16.5%view →
all66128+14.9%view →
crew 1632825+13.3%view →
crew 1495615+12.8%view →
crew 1444136+12.7%view →
crew 248286+11.5%view →
crew 344030+8.3%view →
crew 597432+5.3%view →
crew 1395815+5.0%view →
crew 4725+4.5%view →
crew 55524+0.0%view →
crew 204246+0.0%view →
crew 212834+0.0%view →
crew 213022+0.0%view →
crew 303417+0.0%view →
crew 330517+0.0%view →
crew 334117+0.0%view →
crew 375319+0.0%view →
crew 593916+0.0%view →
crew 830817+0.0%view →
crew 1111825+0.0%view →
crew 1122117+0.0%view →
crew 1166315+0.0%view →
crew 1561834+0.0%view →
crew 2093521+0.0%view →
crew 2099415+0.0%view →
crew 2370817+0.0%view →
crew 4257123+0.0%view →
crew 3071978-7.7%view →
crew 589626-15.6%view →
crew 2318345-20.0%view →
Crew 16969
3 resolved wallets
dc745…1c4074ea0b…bb638088c3…ca044
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
2889…6a2f424,625,520+30.0%16969 replay
4147…e10f423,960,552+30.0%16969 replay
590e…780f424,526,406+30.0%16969 replay
b5c2…ed7f427,642,788+30.0%16969 replay
760c…62ef424,545,647+30.0%16969 replay
3f6e…98cf427,187,737+30.0%16969 replay
d7e3…a92f423,438,055+30.0%16969 replay
7859…eaaf426,352,396+30.0%16969 replay
2e92…262f420,074,676+30.0%16969 replay
e304…91bf423,535,703+30.0%16969 replay
be42…72ef420,194,402+30.0%16969 replay
3400…b0af425,195,034+30.0%16969 replay
96a7…728f421,305,231+30.0%16969 replay
e97d…6daf421,314,988+30.0%16969 replay
8221…96cf424,538,907+30.0%16969 replay
8cf5…219f419,815,597+30.0%16969 replay
8781…7f1f426,591,296+30.0%16969 replay
4234…8f7f423,936,479+30.0%16969 replay
a78f…6cdf424,341,349+30.0%16969 replay
c5f2…545f420,048,754+30.0%16969 replay
6ea4…6baf425,602,731+30.0%16969 replay
f9ee…591f423,942,882+30.0%16969 replay
7920…fe4f420,247,290+30.0%16969 replay
c847…a14f421,923,776+30.0%16969 replay
b8a1…d0af425,823,579+30.0%16969 replay
ecb0…b84f419,599,256+30.0%16969 replay
9e14…ab3f426,752,588+30.0%16969 replay
33d7…65ff424,775,338+30.0%16969 replay
2b85…15cf420,182,969+30.0%16969 replay
c729…3d2f426,817,893+30.0%16969 replay
c7bc…acef422,823,371+30.0%16969 replay
c0cc…150f424,776,915+30.0%16969 replay
1ad9…734f420,882,172+30.0%16969 replay
f0e6…2fbf418,062,292+30.0%16969 replay
817d…ef0f426,071,536+30.0%16969 replay
1d0b…44ef425,194,382+30.0%16969 replay
3c6d…a27f424,351,307+30.0%16969 replay
cb94…c95f421,936,098+30.0%16969 replay
1195…078f424,378,259+30.0%16969 replay
d95c…454f421,521,371+30.0%16969 replay
3cee…c1af426,771,440+30.0%16969 replay
2401…14af423,318,931+30.0%16969 replay
6b78…db7f422,202,470+30.0%16969 replay
a6b0…50bf427,644,975+30.0%16969 replay
63d0…d2df426,156,437+30.0%16969 replay
e6f8…09ff422,225,468+30.0%16969 replay
7023…991f425,239,741+30.0%16969 replay
ee33…3adf419,814,354+30.0%16969 replay
1397…a0bf426,800,160+30.0%16969 replay
fb23…9faf424,833,105+30.0%16969 replay
1c8d…91ef421,939,607+30.0%16969 replay
b257…925f417,864,662+30.0%16969 replay
a98d…cb1f421,367,656+30.0%16969 replay
1585…8b1f423,314,876+30.0%16969 replay
d5ff…915f426,772,659+30.0%16969 replay
33a6…fa4f424,843,872+30.0%16969 replay
9f9a…27df421,131,287+30.0%16969 replay
b3cb…5c8f423,667,304+30.0%16969 replay
7d9a…3edf423,068,012+30.0%16969 replay
39b6…091f421,756,593+30.0%16969 replay