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Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
co-buy(4)
rejected: only 1.7x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 53% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
+14.9%
n=27325 out-of-sample
Hit rate
53%
66128 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+13.4% → +13.4%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.000
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+13.2% … +13.5%
Support66,128
OOS support27,325
MDL bits0
Case / control50055 / 43406
Motif size5n · 5e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingall
Other crews running this exact shape
43 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 10114 | 224 | +30.0% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 6436 | 21 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 8889 | 32 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2702 | 46 | +24.7% | — | view → |
| crew 4519 | 80 | +22.8% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 13 | 111 | +21.8% | — | view → |
| crew 3677 | 84 | +21.4% | — | view → |
| crew 8581 | 30 | +20.0% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 27 | +18.8% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 6017 | 20 | +17.5% | — | view → |
| crew 11648 | 47 | +17.3% | — | view → |
| crew 12252 | 34 | +16.9% | — | view → |
| crew 25399 | 100 | +16.5% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 16328 | 25 | +13.3% | — | view → |
| crew 14956 | 15 | +12.8% | — | view → |
| crew 14441 | 36 | +12.7% | — | view → |
| crew 2482 | 86 | +11.5% | — | view → |
| crew 3440 | 30 | +8.3% | — | view → |
| crew 5974 | 32 | +5.3% | — | view → |
| crew 13958 | 15 | +5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 25 | +4.5% | — | view → |
| crew 16969 | 27 | +3.4% | — | view → |
| crew 555 | 24 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2042 | 46 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2128 | 34 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2130 | 22 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3034 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3305 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3341 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3753 | 19 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 5939 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 8308 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 11118 | 25 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 11221 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 11663 | 15 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 15618 | 34 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 20935 | 21 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 20994 | 15 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 23708 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 42571 | 23 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 30719 | 78 | -7.7% | — | view → |
| crew 5896 | 26 | -15.6% | — | view → |
| crew 23183 | 45 | -20.0% | — | view → |
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0f08…c9af | 427,164,993 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1573 | replay |
| 0f0d…809f | 427,409,700 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 697d…ac7f | 418,531,276 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 69bd…cf9f | 417,777,722 | +30.0% | ✓ | 5896 | replay |
| 69c2…f0af | 410,173,592 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2875 | replay |
| 6a1a…d8ef | 410,310,894 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3908 | replay |
| 6a2b…19ff | 413,669,885 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 6a3e…9f7f | 413,197,960 | +30.0% | ✓ | 30719 | replay |
| 6a56…21af | 409,564,482 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23381 | replay |
| 6a7a…93ff | 417,176,658 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3556 | replay |
| 2712…f73f | 414,720,874 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 2720…065f | 415,391,491 | +30.0% | ✓ | 9 | replay |
| 274a…9f2f | 422,856,769 | +30.0% | ✓ | 25848 | replay |
| 2757…feb1 | 413,683,438 | +30.0% | ✓ | 9542 | replay |
| 27ac…ac8f | 411,641,741 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16786 | replay |
| 27fe…971f | 419,614,532 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 280d…806f | 422,633,018 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19519 | replay |
| 2844…4a7f | 411,402,067 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3034 | replay |
| 86b1…ea5f | 420,376,096 | +30.0% | ✓ | 14208 | replay |
| 286a…086f | 412,388,962 | +30.0% | ✓ | 4519 | replay |
| 5cd2…96df | 416,607,616 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3034 | replay |
| 5cd6…bc4f | 418,037,654 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3677 | replay |
| 5ced…601f | 419,303,464 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1088 | replay |
| 5d1e…74cf | 416,068,839 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |
| 5d4d…8123 | 421,907,167 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 5d56…d18f | 419,001,334 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 5d76…6a6f | 421,047,191 | +30.0% | ✓ | 18354 | replay |
| 5da2…260f | 409,883,164 | +30.0% | ✓ | 30719 | replay |
| 5db3…7cdf | 418,422,450 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1323 | replay |
| 5db6…cedf | 419,477,180 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 5dd1…ab8f | 423,647,695 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6117 | replay |
| 57cb…d4af | 414,494,381 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 57d6…e7af | 422,501,561 | +30.0% | ✓ | 25399 | replay |
| 57f2…e60f | 418,684,983 | +30.0% | ✓ | 4966 | replay |
| 57fe…59ef | 424,328,874 | +30.0% | ✓ | 11648 | replay |
| 5839…4f0f | 420,205,551 | +30.0% | ✓ | 16 | replay |
| 8710…f63f | 419,071,498 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2702 | replay |
| 8712…c53f | 422,115,483 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 87a1…52df | 418,793,373 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 2867…f20f | 419,936,266 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 87d8…6a9f | 411,718,885 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 86a0…566f | 424,034,244 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1722 | replay |
| 8691…fa6f | 410,985,554 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 8690…452f | 419,586,759 | +30.0% | ✓ | 24984 | replay |
| 8663…b9ff | 412,987,829 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 8646…b2df | 426,997,662 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 861c…f0ef | 414,806,476 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2373 | replay |
| 8616…0daf | 420,229,784 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 7b1c…984f | 422,068,968 | +30.0% | ✓ | 363 | replay |
| 7aa3…7c0f | 425,624,656 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 7a7b…9caf | 409,935,427 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3483 | replay |
| 7a69…931f | 411,804,609 | +30.0% | ✓ | 25399 | replay |
| 7a5d…ebff | 410,510,984 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2702 | replay |
| 7a53…5a4f | 409,908,594 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 7a2f…96cf | 417,848,489 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6274 | replay |
| 7a2e…db4f | 412,355,149 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 7a2c…af5f | 422,797,721 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 7a1f…7c9f | 421,003,405 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 880a…88af | 412,524,371 | +30.0% | ✓ | 18354 | replay |
| 2bb3…0bbf | 415,669,366 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2978 | replay |