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rule detail

co-buy(4)

rejected: only 1.8x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 57% vs base 32%)

rulesrejectedcrew 34401 anchor
OOS effect
+8.3%
n=1 out-of-sample
Hit rate
57%
30 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+9.1% → +9.1%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.037
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
transferbuy@pumpfunpumpfbuy@pumpfunpumpfbuy@pumpfunpumpfbuy@pumpfunpumpfwwwwT
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+0.3% … +17.9%
Support30
OOS support1
MDL bits20
Case / control50055 / 43406
Motif size5n · 5e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 3440
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
NodeRoleAddressInvarianceSupport
w0wallet8c3d7684055fa66d214f7e0579d80d8035d24ea2b6190aa7b62bdf73f0159333100%31
Other crews running this exact shape
43 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
crew 10114224+30.0%✓view →
crew 643621+30.0%—view →
crew 888932+30.0%—view →
crew 270246+24.7%—view →
crew 451980+22.8%✓view →
crew 13111+21.8%—view →
crew 367784+21.4%—view →
crew 858130+20.0%—view →
crew 627+18.8%✓view →
crew 601720+17.5%—view →
crew 1164847+17.3%—view →
crew 1225234+16.9%—view →
crew 25399100+16.5%✓view →
all66128+14.9%—view →
crew 1632825+13.3%—view →
crew 1495615+12.8%—view →
crew 1444136+12.7%—view →
crew 248286+11.5%—view →
crew 597432+5.3%—view →
crew 1395815+5.0%—view →
crew 4725+4.5%—view →
crew 1696927+3.4%—view →
crew 55524+0.0%—view →
crew 204246+0.0%—view →
crew 212834+0.0%—view →
crew 213022+0.0%—view →
crew 303417+0.0%—view →
crew 330517+0.0%—view →
crew 334117+0.0%—view →
crew 375319+0.0%—view →
crew 593916+0.0%—view →
crew 830817+0.0%—view →
crew 1111825+0.0%—view →
crew 1122117+0.0%—view →
crew 1166315+0.0%—view →
crew 1561834+0.0%—view →
crew 2093521+0.0%—view →
crew 2099415+0.0%—view →
crew 2370817+0.0%—view →
crew 4257123+0.0%—view →
crew 3071978-7.7%—view →
crew 589626-15.6%—view →
crew 2318345-20.0%—view →
Crew 3440
100 resolved wallets
8c3d7…59333631f2…4c93023f34…c34c577c49…bc6dd77bab…3bc31d95dc…1ca5271e5c…80cff8da91…6a11bd397f…c944743bd8…a6f03072e3…0ffcdb5a28…dde839e87a…e97a12aa91…7f4c308a3d…5aa0829776…6bdd8edd7e…d10454e79a…b67920bbdf…a82b4f6dfc…840dcaad6f…28cbc924c7…eaeb518f35…a8013fa74f…b6af426d2c…ba1fb6ecce…1d7532981e…1c38c4a3d3…d28ee0d818…2322bea4bf…951f6928f8…223ea6c25a…beac78da84…8355223be7…3832fcf4b5…5df5f6ff23…013ee14eaf…f1b8a6ba4b…7d404e0a3d…85d71ffa3b…0b8b4524b6…ef2aa3e741…dc5e855d07…96af7c8e17…f46b9e3414…2849301939…23b1f70a9c…dc4f265e51…b59c3fa82b…839508d720…81eeb53f2f…9c0844f665…289247e510…3a34e2d1d0…42d683726f…b73132ae6c…a95d4f20dd…fb0eb34a84…da78c3491a…d8d2296a86…aa623671f1…bf2921e58f…79125cd70c…ecdc6bba27…801c0abda2…c088caf682…e4587b6819…ab310d2c3e…1402372f80…029a9b4fd1…efe7b72ad0…7abd6567b9…bfe043c2ac…a78f6e5e43…ea760a3154…86ab6b45f5…5cc4667d20…c065a82bf9…0fe31ab1d4…ed943af1a8…81926+20 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
c32b…870f415,432,061+30.0%✓3440 replay
e218…d7cf415,229,315+30.0%✓3440 replay
44cc…a82f415,423,283+30.0%✓3440 replay
29de…e38f415,457,354+30.0%✓3440 replay
0b53…7ddf415,432,166+30.0%✓3440 replay
397b…ef6f415,436,056+30.0%✓3440 replay
cc4f…768f415,425,060+30.0%✓3440 replay
3735…00bf415,415,003+30.0%✓3440 replay
17b9…8d8f417,561,265+30.0%✓3440 replay
c640…f6df416,999,788+30.0%✓3440 replay
7418…612f415,443,969+30.0%✓3440 replay
4403…253f415,458,229+30.0%✓3440 replay
7bed…ce0f415,427,304+30.0%✓3440 replay
cc82…bf3f417,420,749+30.0%✓3440 replay
8a6f…b95f415,424,301+30.0%✓3440 replay
cfdb…de1f415,445,558+30.0%✓3440 replay
320f…4b0f415,449,784+30.0%✓3440 replay
d42d…3c9f417,574,518+30.0%✓3440 replay
38d7…412f415,427,216+30.0%✓3440 replay
13b7…a0ef415,239,502+30.0%✓3440 replay
3e40…6cdf416,926,274+30.0%✓3440 replay
9a2c…1eef415,230,323+30.0%✓3440 replay
8a3d…730f415,437,075+30.0%✓3440 replay
13a3…5e5f415,238,628+30.0%✓3440 replay
397b…225f417,597,311+30.0%✓3440 replay
39ea…a78f415,229,863+30.0%✓3440 replay
f189…c62f414,753,763+30.0%✓3440 replay
65f2…434f415,414,695+30.0%✓3440 replay
3fff…a42f415,411,610+30.0%✓3440 replay
a8e9…6c1f415,427,086+30.0%✓3440 replay
97d3…d02f415,413,496+30.0%✓3440 replay
04e6…cf1f415,437,434+30.0%✓3440 replay
0557…803f414,768,988+30.0%✓3440 replay
4a06…19bf415,235,531+30.0%✓3440 replay
5c9f…708f415,412,546+30.0%✓3440 replay
ef58…113f415,414,586+30.0%✓3440 replay
0e13…663f415,424,793+30.0%✓3440 replay
5818…90df415,411,205+30.0%✓3440 replay
ae56…34df415,458,076+30.0%✓3440 replay
d65c…065f414,772,635+30.0%✓3440 replay
0718…371f415,437,737+30.0%✓3440 replay
7641…37ef415,443,495+30.0%✓3440 replay
5ab0…0e6f415,435,926+30.0%✓3440 replay
c5d4…ae3f415,426,407+30.0%✓3440 replay
6656…85cf415,407,217+30.0%✓3440 replay
0842…187f415,251,254+30.0%✓3440 replay
59d1…b60f415,446,144+30.0%✓3440 replay
55f6…d9ff414,723,255+30.0%✓3440 replay
6772…d8ff415,436,761+30.0%✓3440 replay
c0f1…286f419,356,111+30.0%✓3440 replay
f818…775f414,768,373+30.0%✓3440 replay
8380…e04f415,443,389+30.0%✓3440 replay
b001…7fbf415,209,383+30.0%✓3440 replay
9c94…bf1f415,214,653+30.0%✓3440 replay
d3a3…7a7f415,435,304+30.0%✓3440 replay
01d9…e6ff417,406,111+30.0%✓3440 replay
836b…2dcf415,229,432+30.0%✓3440 replay
14f8…266f415,410,666+30.0%✓3440 replay
565f…55ff415,436,538+30.0%✓3440 replay
4182…132f415,443,768+30.0%✓3440 replay