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rule detail

co-buy(4)

rejected: only 1.5x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 47% vs base 32%)

rulesrejectedcrew 139582 anchors
OOS effect
+5.0%
n=4 out-of-sample
Hit rate
47%
15 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+3.9% → +5.8%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.346
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
transferbuy@pumpfunpumpfbuy@pumpfunpumpfbuy@pumpfunpumpfbuy@pumpfunpumpfwwwwT
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-9.0% … +16.7%
Support15
OOS support4
MDL bits20
Case / control50055 / 43406
Motif size5n · 5e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 13958
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
NodeRoleAddressInvarianceSupport
w0wallet23554f6c737d4b9d07750606ea0b80c013d5a94dba72d5079c9c9e62d682ca7c100%19
w1wallet63ef7a6ecd81c5809b86b4fe0e09da74be3900dfc36004c80c98516cd617c03f100%19
Other crews running this exact shape
43 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
crew 10114224+30.0%✓view →
crew 643621+30.0%—view →
crew 888932+30.0%—view →
crew 270246+24.7%—view →
crew 451980+22.8%✓view →
crew 13111+21.8%—view →
crew 367784+21.4%—view →
crew 858130+20.0%—view →
crew 627+18.8%✓view →
crew 601720+17.5%—view →
crew 1164847+17.3%—view →
crew 1225234+16.9%—view →
crew 25399100+16.5%✓view →
all66128+14.9%—view →
crew 1632825+13.3%—view →
crew 1495615+12.8%—view →
crew 1444136+12.7%—view →
crew 248286+11.5%—view →
crew 344030+8.3%—view →
crew 597432+5.3%—view →
crew 4725+4.5%—view →
crew 1696927+3.4%—view →
crew 55524+0.0%—view →
crew 204246+0.0%—view →
crew 212834+0.0%—view →
crew 213022+0.0%—view →
crew 303417+0.0%—view →
crew 330517+0.0%—view →
crew 334117+0.0%—view →
crew 375319+0.0%—view →
crew 593916+0.0%—view →
crew 830817+0.0%—view →
crew 1111825+0.0%—view →
crew 1122117+0.0%—view →
crew 1166315+0.0%—view →
crew 1561834+0.0%—view →
crew 2093521+0.0%—view →
crew 2099415+0.0%—view →
crew 2370817+0.0%—view →
crew 4257123+0.0%—view →
crew 3071978-7.7%—view →
crew 589626-15.6%—view →
crew 2318345-20.0%—view →
Crew 13958
3 resolved wallets
63ef7…7c03f23554…2ca7c97a7b…358f4
Supporting episodes
23 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
8fa1…1cff424,274,078+30.0%✓13958 replay
9c1f…ebff424,274,380+30.0%✓13958 replay
64c5…21af416,295,555+30.0%✓13958 replay
0fc4…6d4f414,088,693+30.0%✓13958 replay
f8fe…85ef413,026,725+30.0%✓13958 replay
0376…a5af421,664,832+30.0%✓13958 replay
d7aa…49af410,972,075+30.0%✓13958 replay
70b8…a3ef419,283,983+9.7%13958 replay
39fa…8024424,481,213+0.0%13958 replay
578f…6a9f424,477,927+0.0%13958 replay
c2af…fc2f416,702,125-20.0%13958 replay
6737…45bf424,274,602-20.0%13958 replay
e4e9…f93f424,274,228-20.0%13958 replay
bdd8…e249419,954,501-20.0%13958 replay
bfb1…ccaf424,119,711-20.0%13958 replay
c671…5f5f416,296,295-20.0%13958 replay
fd15…5dff412,277,903-20.0%13958 replay
e1e6…f9af416,296,068-20.0%13958 replay
d56a…6f4f412,277,311-20.0%13958 replay
d823…4fcf424,120,249-20.0%13958 replay
2c38…6027420,177,004-20.0%13958 replay
e216…163f424,077,060-20.0%13958 replay
0652…c7df416,295,724-20.0%13958 replay