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Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
co-buy(4)
rejected: only 1.5x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 47% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
+5.0%
n=4 out-of-sample
Hit rate
47%
15 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+3.9% → +5.8%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.346
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-9.0% … +16.7%
Support15
OOS support4
MDL bits20
Case / control50055 / 43406
Motif size5n · 5e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 13958
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | 23554f6c737d4b9d07750606ea0b80c013d5a94dba72d5079c9c9e62d682ca7c | 100% | 19 |
| w1 | wallet | 63ef7a6ecd81c5809b86b4fe0e09da74be3900dfc36004c80c98516cd617c03f | 100% | 19 |
Other crews running this exact shape
43 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 10114 | 224 | +30.0% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 6436 | 21 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 8889 | 32 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2702 | 46 | +24.7% | — | view → |
| crew 4519 | 80 | +22.8% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 13 | 111 | +21.8% | — | view → |
| crew 3677 | 84 | +21.4% | — | view → |
| crew 8581 | 30 | +20.0% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 27 | +18.8% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 6017 | 20 | +17.5% | — | view → |
| crew 11648 | 47 | +17.3% | — | view → |
| crew 12252 | 34 | +16.9% | — | view → |
| crew 25399 | 100 | +16.5% | ✓ | view → |
| all | 66128 | +14.9% | — | view → |
| crew 16328 | 25 | +13.3% | — | view → |
| crew 14956 | 15 | +12.8% | — | view → |
| crew 14441 | 36 | +12.7% | — | view → |
| crew 2482 | 86 | +11.5% | — | view → |
| crew 3440 | 30 | +8.3% | — | view → |
| crew 5974 | 32 | +5.3% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 25 | +4.5% | — | view → |
| crew 16969 | 27 | +3.4% | — | view → |
| crew 555 | 24 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2042 | 46 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2128 | 34 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2130 | 22 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3034 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3305 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3341 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3753 | 19 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 5939 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 8308 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 11118 | 25 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 11221 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 11663 | 15 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 15618 | 34 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 20935 | 21 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 20994 | 15 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 23708 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 42571 | 23 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 30719 | 78 | -7.7% | — | view → |
| crew 5896 | 26 | -15.6% | — | view → |
| crew 23183 | 45 | -20.0% | — | view → |
Crew 13958
3 resolved wallets
63ef7…7c03f23554…2ca7c97a7b…358f4
Supporting episodes
23 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8fa1…1cff | 424,274,078 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13958 | replay |
| 9c1f…ebff | 424,274,380 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13958 | replay |
| 64c5…21af | 416,295,555 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13958 | replay |
| 0fc4…6d4f | 414,088,693 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13958 | replay |
| f8fe…85ef | 413,026,725 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13958 | replay |
| 0376…a5af | 421,664,832 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13958 | replay |
| d7aa…49af | 410,972,075 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13958 | replay |
| 70b8…a3ef | 419,283,983 | +9.7% | 13958 | replay | |
| 39fa…8024 | 424,481,213 | +0.0% | 13958 | replay | |
| 578f…6a9f | 424,477,927 | +0.0% | 13958 | replay | |
| c2af…fc2f | 416,702,125 | -20.0% | 13958 | replay | |
| 6737…45bf | 424,274,602 | -20.0% | 13958 | replay | |
| e4e9…f93f | 424,274,228 | -20.0% | 13958 | replay | |
| bdd8…e249 | 419,954,501 | -20.0% | 13958 | replay | |
| bfb1…ccaf | 424,119,711 | -20.0% | 13958 | replay | |
| c671…5f5f | 416,296,295 | -20.0% | 13958 | replay | |
| fd15…5dff | 412,277,903 | -20.0% | 13958 | replay | |
| e1e6…f9af | 416,296,068 | -20.0% | 13958 | replay | |
| d56a…6f4f | 412,277,311 | -20.0% | 13958 | replay | |
| d823…4fcf | 424,120,249 | -20.0% | 13958 | replay | |
| 2c38…6027 | 420,177,004 | -20.0% | 13958 | replay | |
| e216…163f | 424,077,060 | -20.0% | 13958 | replay | |
| 0652…c7df | 416,295,724 | -20.0% | 13958 | replay |