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rule detail

co-buy(4)

rejected: only 0.8x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 27% vs base 32%)

rulesrejectedcrew 116631 anchor
OOS effect
+0.0%
n=0 out-of-sample
Hit rate
27%
15 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
-6.0% → -1.3%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.907
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
transferbuy@pumpfunpumpfbuy@pumpfunpumpfbuy@pumpfunpumpfbuy@pumpfunpumpfwwwwT
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-17.4% … +5.5%
Support15
OOS support0
MDL bits20
Case / control50055 / 43406
Motif size5n · 5e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 11663
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
NodeRoleAddressInvarianceSupport
w0wallet1d1334e07c48644ba4abbf300fa704a420f7aad8a8e21fb2db7c7fe13511b8a5100%15
Other crews running this exact shape
43 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
crew 10114224+30.0%✓view →
crew 643621+30.0%—view →
crew 888932+30.0%—view →
crew 270246+24.7%—view →
crew 451980+22.8%✓view →
crew 13111+21.8%—view →
crew 367784+21.4%—view →
crew 858130+20.0%—view →
crew 627+18.8%✓view →
crew 601720+17.5%—view →
crew 1164847+17.3%—view →
crew 1225234+16.9%—view →
crew 25399100+16.5%✓view →
all66128+14.9%—view →
crew 1632825+13.3%—view →
crew 1495615+12.8%—view →
crew 1444136+12.7%—view →
crew 248286+11.5%—view →
crew 344030+8.3%—view →
crew 597432+5.3%—view →
crew 1395815+5.0%—view →
crew 4725+4.5%—view →
crew 1696927+3.4%—view →
crew 55524+0.0%—view →
crew 204246+0.0%—view →
crew 212834+0.0%—view →
crew 213022+0.0%—view →
crew 303417+0.0%—view →
crew 330517+0.0%—view →
crew 334117+0.0%—view →
crew 375319+0.0%—view →
crew 593916+0.0%—view →
crew 830817+0.0%—view →
crew 1111825+0.0%—view →
crew 1122117+0.0%—view →
crew 1561834+0.0%—view →
crew 2093521+0.0%—view →
crew 2099415+0.0%—view →
crew 2370817+0.0%—view →
crew 4257123+0.0%—view →
crew 3071978-7.7%—view →
crew 589626-15.6%—view →
crew 2318345-20.0%—view →
Crew 11663
7 resolved wallets
1d133…1b8a5011b2…5fc7f910d3…fb485502eb…4af2b7d426…85091aaa18…46eb4248cf…a120d
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
5905…534f416,723,367+30.0%✓11663 replay
59b4…357f416,711,637+30.0%✓11663 replay
b808…1ddf416,729,857+30.0%✓11663 replay
1d0f…e08f416,711,515+30.0%✓11663 replay
8a8c…323f416,727,568+30.0%✓11663 replay
46a3…573f416,728,365+30.0%✓11663 replay
2f29…09ef416,705,172+30.0%✓11663 replay
a6b9…9bcf416,728,609+30.0%✓11663 replay
3f2e…a65f416,714,944+30.0%✓11663 replay
8273…d46f416,723,722+30.0%✓11663 replay
a89b…de6f416,729,081+30.0%✓11663 replay
adc2…622f416,729,386+30.0%✓11663 replay
a423…0a2f416,728,587+30.0%✓11663 replay
6650…a5bf416,714,063+30.0%✓11663 replay
45b1…53cf416,705,917+30.0%✓11663 replay
45da…988f416,728,200+30.0%✓11663 replay
267e…772f416,729,177+30.0%✓11663 replay
1755…9fef416,703,542+30.0%✓11663 replay
81c2…9dff416,723,580+30.0%✓11663 replay
6c8e…2cbf416,715,208+30.0%✓11663 replay
3c1f…8d0f416,723,472+30.0%✓11663 replay
1c75…01df416,703,615+30.0%✓11663 replay
3fdf…f8cf416,713,305+30.0%✓11663 replay
2cd9…bcdf416,713,168+30.0%✓11663 replay
4556…487f416,705,895+30.0%✓11663 replay
3206…1c3f416,727,586+30.0%✓11663 replay
aa70…b2bf416,729,152+30.0%✓11663 replay
ac20…4c6f416,729,269+30.0%✓11663 replay
9910…f68f416,728,335+30.0%✓11663 replay
b10c…cc6f416,729,589+30.0%✓11663 replay
604b…5e1f416,713,287+30.0%✓11663 replay
853d…25df416,727,517+30.0%✓11663 replay
629b…a43f416,713,405+30.0%✓11663 replay
0166…ea8f416,706,142+30.0%✓11663 replay
39e1…4c8f416,714,120+30.0%✓11663 replay
6834…7a1f416,715,140+30.0%✓11663 replay
a381…163f416,728,550+30.0%✓11663 replay
0251…146f416,696,858+30.0%✓11663 replay
3d50…a0ef416,705,546+30.0%✓11663 replay
6cf1…6c2f416,715,236+30.0%✓11663 replay
0de3…b1cf416,695,784+30.0%✓11663 replay
afc1…9f7f416,729,454+30.0%✓11663 replay
b089…9e6f416,729,503+30.0%✓11663 replay
81c2…c18f416,723,644+30.0%✓11663 replay
6a81…b7df416,715,180+30.0%✓11663 replay
408c…24cf416,705,722+30.0%✓11663 replay
171a…186f416,723,828+30.0%✓11663 replay
b15f…a9af416,729,605+30.0%✓11663 replay
19c7…b75f416,711,819+30.0%✓11663 replay
756f…8e1f416,723,214+30.0%✓11663 replay
5d4b…ae9f416,727,846+30.0%✓11663 replay
1efc…ed6f416,727,973+30.0%✓11663 replay
7eed…d8bf416,723,448+30.0%✓11663 replay
26fe…8f6f416,729,671+30.0%✓11663 replay
21bb…4d7f416,703,819+30.0%✓11663 replay
2d0c…5f5f416,729,724+30.0%✓11663 replay
5fda…69af416,713,240+30.0%✓11663 replay
3218…927f416,705,634+30.0%✓11663 replay
5dfd…903f416,715,064+30.0%✓11663 replay
2e90…5a4f416,723,519+30.0%✓11663 replay