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rule detail

co-buy(4)

rejected: only 0.9x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 29% vs base 32%)

rulesrejectedcrew 24821 anchor
OOS effect
+11.5%
n=6 out-of-sample
Hit rate
29%
86 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+6.7% → +6.8%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.000
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
transferbuy@pumpfunpumpfbuy@pumpfunpumpfbuy@pumpfunpumpfbuy@pumpfunpumpfwwwwT
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+3.2% … +10.3%
Support86
OOS support6
MDL bits20
Case / control50055 / 43406
Motif size5n · 5e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 2482
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
NodeRoleAddressInvarianceSupport
w0walletb5c17068f76ee73d644e9061f4ae9cee2edc559c8a94c8c8325fd86739c3d133100%92
Other crews running this exact shape
43 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
crew 10114224+30.0%✓view →
crew 643621+30.0%—view →
crew 888932+30.0%—view →
crew 270246+24.7%—view →
crew 451980+22.8%✓view →
crew 13111+21.8%—view →
crew 367784+21.4%—view →
crew 858130+20.0%—view →
crew 627+18.8%✓view →
crew 601720+17.5%—view →
crew 1164847+17.3%—view →
crew 1225234+16.9%—view →
crew 25399100+16.5%✓view →
all66128+14.9%—view →
crew 1632825+13.3%—view →
crew 1495615+12.8%—view →
crew 1444136+12.7%—view →
crew 344030+8.3%—view →
crew 597432+5.3%—view →
crew 1395815+5.0%—view →
crew 4725+4.5%—view →
crew 1696927+3.4%—view →
crew 55524+0.0%—view →
crew 204246+0.0%—view →
crew 212834+0.0%—view →
crew 213022+0.0%—view →
crew 303417+0.0%—view →
crew 330517+0.0%—view →
crew 334117+0.0%—view →
crew 375319+0.0%—view →
crew 593916+0.0%—view →
crew 830817+0.0%—view →
crew 1111825+0.0%—view →
crew 1122117+0.0%—view →
crew 1166315+0.0%—view →
crew 1561834+0.0%—view →
crew 2093521+0.0%—view →
crew 2099415+0.0%—view →
crew 2370817+0.0%—view →
crew 4257123+0.0%—view →
crew 3071978-7.7%—view →
crew 589626-15.6%—view →
crew 2318345-20.0%—view →
Crew 2482
11 resolved wallets
b5c17…3d1337a840…9302c22a73…71f54559ca…c644615ae0…d51cdd6d20…94d430b6be…d1fdb81d6f…587148c4f5…b354f8c44f…51e6bcbbca…676b4
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
4058…e48f419,774,765+30.0%✓2482 replay
3c5b…e92f410,536,137+30.0%✓2482 replay
c4b0…dcef413,471,441+30.0%✓2482 replay
d539…cddf410,835,321+30.0%✓2482 replay
93ca…153f414,724,062+30.0%✓2482 replay
7cc5…8b6f416,659,640+30.0%✓2482 replay
8ef1…6b9f412,554,621+30.0%✓2482 replay
e269…a5ff420,813,819+30.0%✓2482 replay
43f4…d7af416,749,968+30.0%✓2482 replay
78d0…6f3f410,095,794+30.0%✓2482 replay
78fa…796f413,293,485+30.0%✓2482 replay
74e6…a4ef411,510,797+30.0%✓2482 replay
e182…88ff419,177,868+30.0%✓2482 replay
7759…0d5f423,909,680+30.0%✓2482 replay
418a…a34f418,965,907+30.0%✓2482 replay
135c…b06f416,759,314+30.0%✓2482 replay
b822…cf2f417,584,757+30.0%✓2482 replay
2b6b…dc5f417,617,426+30.0%✓2482 replay
7671…0e8f417,236,930+30.0%✓2482 replay
2483…a4ef410,770,855+30.0%✓2482 replay
bd83…aebf411,007,434+30.0%✓2482 replay
2546…2e9f426,976,723+30.0%✓2482 replay
62dd…b42f413,606,350+30.0%✓2482 replay
d50c…997f410,092,946+30.0%✓2482 replay
d5d1…6ebf414,078,800+30.0%✓2482 replay
4a72…2bcf418,606,442+30.0%✓2482 replay
0680…d44a426,910,171+30.0%✓2482 replay
81d2…9b1f417,098,687+30.0%✓2482 replay
0c45…fab5423,011,025+30.0%✓2482 replay
997f…da6f412,740,506+30.0%✓2482 replay
7b7a…e0bf415,485,785+30.0%✓2482 replay
c5a0…4caf426,976,254+30.0%✓2482 replay
2e11…46bf412,743,428+30.0%✓2482 replay
6c10…2eef410,839,903+30.0%✓2482 replay
a6e9…5e2f420,376,478+30.0%✓2482 replay
0ecb…5cbf417,962,708+30.0%✓2482 replay
6e9e…9d6f417,318,079+30.0%✓2482 replay
cb95…e5ef413,895,130+30.0%✓2482 replay
a58c…133f416,876,288+30.0%✓2482 replay
a5e9…6bdf410,186,539+30.0%✓2482 replay
1265…706f418,269,127+30.0%✓2482 replay
8320…684f410,852,340+30.0%✓2482 replay
a665…cb6f419,261,830+30.0%✓2482 replay
d191…744f418,859,052+30.0%✓2482 replay
7512…f3ef419,176,161+30.0%✓2482 replay
a663…7cdf412,741,374+30.0%✓2482 replay
a562…e0df410,175,133+30.0%✓2482 replay
676b…96cf416,867,442+30.0%✓2482 replay
946e…a88f418,209,757+30.0%✓2482 replay
a66f…fb5f410,585,146+30.0%✓2482 replay
7889…6d8f418,233,760+30.0%✓2482 replay
470c…2eaf426,976,056+30.0%✓2482 replay
4939…cfcf420,838,689+30.0%✓2482 replay
271e…01cf420,834,948+30.0%✓2482 replay
b7ca…6f9f418,950,921+30.0%✓2482 replay
2510…0d7f416,034,317+30.0%✓2482 replay
5c3c…2daf418,468,631+30.0%✓2482 replay
c63a…8b8f417,355,703+30.0%✓2482 replay
16c9…abdf418,465,121+30.0%✓2482 replay
5bbe…8f9f413,628,400+30.0%✓2482 replay