│
Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
seed→fan-out(2)→all-buy
rejected: only 1.6x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 49% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
+13.8%
n=68210 out-of-sample
Hit rate
49%
118152 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+11.9% → +11.9%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.000
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
Loading...
Motif
fixed motif
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+11.7% … +12.0%
Support118,152
OOS support68,210
MDL bits0
Case / control92801 / 93578
Motif size4n · 4e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingall
Other crews running this exact shape
28 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 10521 | 46 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 987 | 37 | +25.7% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 88 | 76 | +23.4% | — | view → |
| crew 3029 | 17 | +23.2% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 34 | +23.1% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 4519 | 20 | +20.9% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 20 | 21 | +20.0% | — | view → |
| crew 6436 | 46 | +17.4% | — | view → |
| crew 213 | 20 | +16.6% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 180 | +15.4% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 55 | +15.0% | — | view → |
| crew 15 | 87 | +14.5% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 2272 | +13.9% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 259 | +13.9% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 51 | +13.5% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 64 | +10.9% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 63 | +10.2% | — | view → |
| crew 1049 | 55 | +9.5% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 234 | +8.2% | — | view → |
| crew 2702 | 123 | +5.6% | — | view → |
| crew 306 | 18 | +2.3% | — | view → |
| crew 314 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3123 | 26 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 6494 | 23 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 12477 | 28 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 15215 | 15 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 19519 | 19 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 20 | -20.0% | — | view → |
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5ca3…d0ef | 424,740,062 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 2838…9bcf | 420,411,901 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 2823…808f | 424,301,358 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 280f…7dcf | 413,192,958 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 2806…474f | 422,966,174 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 2804…008f | 422,384,039 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 27f7…543f | 423,477,771 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 27f0…62df | 416,426,666 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 27eb…255f | 412,426,956 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 27c5…8b4f | 417,113,784 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 27a9…16ff | 414,923,813 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 279e…bcef | 420,897,403 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 2783…8def | 417,768,081 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 277a…5dff | 412,799,876 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| d3eb…612f | 425,633,294 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 2767…4ddf | 427,292,766 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 2764…c0ff | 427,219,480 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 2758…42a3 | 414,530,232 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 271e…23ef | 419,373,455 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 270c…8f3f | 415,182,107 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3 | replay |
| 6aa9…651f | 424,602,776 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 6a98…0e9f | 411,943,418 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 6a8c…18df | 422,048,454 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 6a79…58af | 412,265,276 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 6a5d…b04f | 415,688,442 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 6a4f…cf0f | 410,338,193 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 6a2f…61ff | 423,930,990 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 6a29…b70f | 420,525,079 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 6a15…d20f | 418,669,745 | +30.0% | ✓ | 10521 | replay |
| 69ee…43ff | 414,514,227 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 69b9…2b2f | 420,616,518 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 69b4…b1cf | 413,928,745 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 69b2…1b3f | 426,888,835 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 69a6…8f1f | 421,963,926 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 695f…4d95 | 418,966,319 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 0f07…f94f | 414,312,237 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 0f00…b45f | 426,693,290 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 2771…c0bf | 427,309,638 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 0ef8…c99f | 423,237,693 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| d406…7a3f | 423,180,257 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 724a…887f | 420,516,906 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 7253…dd5f | 427,348,216 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 727a…701f | 423,640,610 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 728e…4a1f | 413,437,824 | +30.0% | ✓ | 10521 | replay |
| 72ac…59ff | 425,780,386 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 72ca…9cbf | 427,142,176 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 72ef…6d6f | 426,881,276 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 7305…9dcf | 426,202,914 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 733c…c39f | 422,395,347 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 734c…043f | 424,088,737 | +30.0% | ✓ | 10114 | replay |
| 3b23…f2ff | 418,406,234 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 3b31…caef | 423,365,951 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 0ef5…646f | 425,863,402 | +30.0% | ✓ | 36 | replay |
| 3b45…c15f | 426,060,358 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| 3b50…57ff | 426,904,416 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 3b7a…514a | 418,350,300 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 3b3b…32af | 420,749,696 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 0ed9…f4df | 412,132,971 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 0ec4…949f | 413,757,874 | +30.0% | ✓ | 84 | replay |
| 3c43…e1cf | 426,117,347 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |