│
Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
seed→fan-out(2)→all-buy
rejected: only 1.7x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 55% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
+23.4%
n=31 out-of-sample
Hit rate
55%
76 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+14.8% → +14.4%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.000
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
Loading...
Motif
fixed motif
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+10.4% … +19.1%
Support76
OOS support31
MDL bits20
Case / control92801 / 93578
Motif size4n · 4e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 88
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | 4f4b8721e96712037d28250a3978e58bda25d552919328a660d0a1c7eda1a68c | 100% | 107 |
Other crews running this exact shape
28 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 10521 | 46 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 987 | 37 | +25.7% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 3029 | 17 | +23.2% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 34 | +23.1% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 4519 | 20 | +20.9% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 20 | 21 | +20.0% | — | view → |
| crew 6436 | 46 | +17.4% | — | view → |
| crew 213 | 20 | +16.6% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 180 | +15.4% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 55 | +15.0% | — | view → |
| crew 15 | 87 | +14.5% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 2272 | +13.9% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 259 | +13.9% | — | view → |
| all | 118152 | +13.8% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 51 | +13.5% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 64 | +10.9% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 63 | +10.2% | — | view → |
| crew 1049 | 55 | +9.5% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 234 | +8.2% | — | view → |
| crew 2702 | 123 | +5.6% | — | view → |
| crew 306 | 18 | +2.3% | — | view → |
| crew 314 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3123 | 26 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 6494 | 23 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 12477 | 28 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 15215 | 15 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 19519 | 19 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 20 | -20.0% | — | view → |
Crew 88
200 resolved wallets
acd19…1aabbe4b6d…bc0884f4b8…1a68c22cd0…03bf73742f…87f78f2b7d…41ed1707cb…b949fd8e0e…d6e0b4ca30…6011fc0531…742de1b34b…b46d6b9fc9…929ea64afc…a81153d256…9157af5a83…4a8a1ef626…9c1bcdbc8e…45fded9cad…4df88005fe…8229d50e4d…f1bc49f477…3eb5e771ff…6f84e83b44…f50f1b5528…eb42ea36eb…e31569807c…9f2a3d7adf…4dc5a585dc…da1bd1a9ef…a4edda8f42…8fdccab0b9…e0d8f74477…9cb61d3d9b…f97b1ec85d…4038fe1766…bf8d14b534…7683ad0537…c6473ab9cb…cac37d0e98…86b6793fb7…c5fce71873…718575a7c0…556e93d9af…0be70f604e…fb03440014…ee96a5420a…e2fcc68cbf…c63059fa6f…31b24d729f…c4ec65e211…fb1466613d…7008a113cf…8f499d4c18…502d429d4a…50f15a69d8…8398e5392f…190daf8dd8…907481ea50…f05091e1e6…6f68ec0f1e…9296cd21f4…cbca7f009a…fbee63c3f7…f1403d9803…889d2c4dcb…2f7ab10c65…8b7b0aa15d…87aaaaf6f1…2fdaca8af3…d86b63a46d…506460fb9c…43fae2c585…61b32e5895…1aa84b77b9…f78485fab1…ee1737b08b…01ee3c5b45…4bd3cc9d61…50d0f46d60…a0380aa3d3…65273+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90dd…880f | 418,142,667 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 2652…9ebf | 420,407,116 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 268e…3aef | 419,654,313 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 468e…cdaf | 423,226,958 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 72cf…c4df | 420,766,549 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| b68a…e2df | 427,125,608 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| b6eb…f32f | 410,161,853 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| fc3b…a57f | 412,189,508 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| dc15…75bf | 422,243,676 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| c39d…53bf | 427,111,681 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 7305…9dcf | 426,202,914 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 8814…7c1f | 416,214,511 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| b736…47ef | 416,776,703 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| b49f…d29f | 424,954,029 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 401a…054f | 414,658,016 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 275f…7c8f | 420,965,533 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 4773…4d5f | 422,987,379 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 7fd8…2def | 422,505,252 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 8060…edff | 427,305,431 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 74ee…2caf | 426,179,944 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 2412…0ddf | 424,952,049 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 8b6b…184f | 416,446,984 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 41b4…3a2f | 420,179,563 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 74e5…600f | 422,848,751 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 5edc…4bef | 427,260,398 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 5ede…597f | 419,287,602 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 2c81…1c3f | 425,370,597 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 3d54…dddf | 425,990,931 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 3d97…ad3f | 424,277,300 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 8ce0…2f0f | 427,334,979 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 419c…a57f | 426,010,044 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 41ab…f0df | 425,377,920 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 41ad…c61f | 420,562,874 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 28ed…0fdf | 418,383,600 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 2909…74cf | 422,116,232 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 48ee…b2af | 413,990,939 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 268c…a15f | 416,261,522 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| d5bd…919f | 418,002,791 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 7515…eb3f | 416,494,349 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 2a77…2a8f | 424,952,797 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 5f72…aa3f | 418,396,373 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 5fe8…bb9f | 418,174,048 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 8a28…129f | 415,165,236 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 4271…6bcf | 418,634,407 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 42f3…b26f | 422,632,161 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| f61a…003f | 420,981,300 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| d69d…b89f | 423,377,586 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| e371…830f | 420,819,565 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 64aa…8f3f | 423,778,223 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 6074…239f | 412,878,785 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 9022…988f | 413,988,501 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| bc5d…a31f | 424,894,757 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 31c7…826f | 420,404,481 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| bb28…f73f | 422,125,100 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 7ca2…677f | 421,305,341 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 7ce4…0eaf | 415,564,423 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| e4db…398f | 417,988,570 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 489a…d92f | 417,949,002 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 043d…24bf | 418,471,799 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 3085…3edf | 416,265,061 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |