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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
seed→fan-out(2)→all-buy
rejected: only 1.9x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 60% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
-20.0%
n=1 out-of-sample
Hit rate
60%
20 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+13.1% → +12.1%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.009
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
fixed motif
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+3.2% … +23.0%
Support20
OOS support1
MDL bits20
Case / control92801 / 93578
Motif size4n · 4e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 12
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | d1c24bcb2cf2f78791a8e63d2e528be4e923944900af6d8826f0063e91d1515f | 95% | 20 |
Other crews running this exact shape
28 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 10521 | 46 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 987 | 37 | +25.7% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 88 | 76 | +23.4% | — | view → |
| crew 3029 | 17 | +23.2% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 34 | +23.1% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 4519 | 20 | +20.9% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 20 | 21 | +20.0% | — | view → |
| crew 6436 | 46 | +17.4% | — | view → |
| crew 213 | 20 | +16.6% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 180 | +15.4% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 55 | +15.0% | — | view → |
| crew 15 | 87 | +14.5% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 2272 | +13.9% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 259 | +13.9% | — | view → |
| all | 118152 | +13.8% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 51 | +13.5% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 64 | +10.9% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 63 | +10.2% | — | view → |
| crew 1049 | 55 | +9.5% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 234 | +8.2% | — | view → |
| crew 2702 | 123 | +5.6% | — | view → |
| crew 306 | 18 | +2.3% | — | view → |
| crew 314 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3123 | 26 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 6494 | 23 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 12477 | 28 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 15215 | 15 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 19519 | 19 | +0.0% | — | view → |
Crew 12
200 resolved wallets
d1c24…1515f17a7a…21b7c278bc…a404b2d3f3…10cda0beba…bb3a674af2…395a64ddbf…616946ab68…12804490e2…2b67ebfabc…91a9803a7d…f718893f97…dc15b4394c…69c5b85339…8d5124597f…1c5af55498…0629584705…24d5f03a24…d433dba114…65aec92681…39d96c8158…6d080ac6b2…b2b822e13b…0d7cbfba33…1456208e73…936c89fdeb…0e1cd45d6c…92a54e80a8…d21ba69aa2…63e5b5e51b…58232a6354…6ceae9ea6b…55ef801381…3d585a0b2d…94b24b79ed…8f0ccc476a…151e141d61…5b64177209…069f871344…fd845655d2…d466e3abc3…fe8b8a8a97…cec28a69fc…4b14dd4b7a…bdc43feebf…0b65eb9025…6ef052f228…aa7c693d89…1233960d08…833fa2ef86…ea2f6d750f…3d83790491…a37231f610…2f7eff55a7…10b84bc461…6eab9f0a63…d6a1f445cb…9669f72797…505722ed1b…19b8d999d6…89c3819a5a…4049e00e26…9d67f2c791…41f9a9ae86…7e162f720c…5f7aee1ccc…04d918468b…207bdef141…06cfd5dd4a…7c0e9d0e1d…68a1b78179…660ebb845d…5cee4aaf54…536e94737d…7d171b2615…93bc9d504a…0c36a6f239…dc96d348fc…d15cd28716…da9385e47e…d4ce3+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8934…98af | 419,689,632 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| b6f3…703f | 423,913,670 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| db9d…a4bf | 412,491,847 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 58cb…115f | 418,533,362 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| d4fb…448f | 419,543,278 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 2d1f…617f | 416,321,055 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 8858…4ddf | 418,694,051 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 932b…92ca | 411,436,360 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| d0b2…6bcf | 418,322,780 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 95ff…985f | 418,702,376 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 1389…396f | 411,874,229 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| ba29…66df | 418,579,695 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 9059…127f | 418,531,097 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 2b9c…530f | 426,226,182 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 310b…87df | 417,506,630 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| bdbf…071f | 418,468,119 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| bd19…c887 | 421,060,852 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| fc23…a07f | 422,011,207 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| c058…709f | 410,324,564 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 8109…36ef | 418,369,004 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 93b8…fddf | 420,920,515 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 81a8…9daf | 418,147,106 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 0b05…ce3f | 421,896,126 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 099a…e3af | 419,664,184 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 35af…17af | 418,334,244 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| c64f…c93f | 421,934,296 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 8630…6b2f | 426,254,906 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 6b7b…f8af | 418,347,139 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| edc5…c2ef | 419,026,114 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| a608…e1cf | 417,642,971 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 4a0c…ce5f | 421,144,515 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 9f45…064f | 410,849,238 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| f97e…533f | 418,581,134 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| c250…723f | 425,552,191 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 25f6…636f | 418,346,229 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 6fb9…1a1f | 410,570,137 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 28d9…9dff | 418,728,486 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 5c51…196f | 418,512,997 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 6bfa…860f | 418,539,147 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 2ebf…d45f | 421,144,338 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 0931…de1f | 419,023,672 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 6533…36af | 411,362,522 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 126c…17ef | 418,593,525 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 29ef…51cf | 416,145,626 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| c968…42cf | 421,897,830 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| c9ab…9b9f | 418,536,912 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 4955…1edf | 416,105,918 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 6127…7bcf | 418,372,393 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| efba…5f9f | 419,891,512 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 7fb8…3d6f | 419,026,888 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 2edf…f5cf | 418,677,516 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 2f81…00af | 420,146,731 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| ea25…8f9f | 423,931,329 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 9f0c…3b6f | 416,328,503 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| f116…357f | 419,049,726 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 7da0…42ff | 422,107,284 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 5b2b…a12f | 418,468,371 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 35c2…ffaf | 418,315,772 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 83c7…021f | 418,706,459 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |
| 7f3b…812f | 421,988,270 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12 | replay |