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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
seed→fan-out(2)→all-buy
rejected: only 1.8x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 59% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
+14.5%
n=43 out-of-sample
Hit rate
59%
87 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+15.0% → +14.7%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.000
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
fixed motif
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+10.9% … +19.2%
Support87
OOS support43
MDL bits20
Case / control92801 / 93578
Motif size4n · 4e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 15
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | 0d584a4cbbfd9a4878d816512894e65918e54fae13df39a6f520fc90caea2fb0 | 98% | 128 |
Other crews running this exact shape
28 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 10521 | 46 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 987 | 37 | +25.7% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 88 | 76 | +23.4% | — | view → |
| crew 3029 | 17 | +23.2% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 34 | +23.1% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 4519 | 20 | +20.9% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 20 | 21 | +20.0% | — | view → |
| crew 6436 | 46 | +17.4% | — | view → |
| crew 213 | 20 | +16.6% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 180 | +15.4% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 55 | +15.0% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 2272 | +13.9% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 259 | +13.9% | — | view → |
| all | 118152 | +13.8% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 51 | +13.5% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 64 | +10.9% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 63 | +10.2% | — | view → |
| crew 1049 | 55 | +9.5% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 234 | +8.2% | — | view → |
| crew 2702 | 123 | +5.6% | — | view → |
| crew 306 | 18 | +2.3% | — | view → |
| crew 314 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3123 | 26 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 6494 | 23 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 12477 | 28 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 15215 | 15 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 19519 | 19 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 20 | -20.0% | — | view → |
Crew 15
200 resolved wallets
0d584…a2fb092fa6…0df53ad007…c84a7cb3a9…fff3d64b27…d5671c00b2…0b750912ab…031362c1a7…698efdbd4a…dede75129b…15484147ad…f9a05692b8…04d5a021c5…a3698e828e…63cccef344…0e66103d9c…97ca238cab…e3252a3586…ad1cc40788…0d98add49c…4ecd757d5c…9129138e45…4bf71303ef…cee9d7f39b…6002cab50b…54358f60ef…824679b3c3…584684149c…b4adc71380…3b5b2051fb…640c873678…8ce1b6ec63…460e9d4a52…a77626f16f…fc67519344…2b6d6486a2…c161258383…34c99cb4ac…cf051f7690…20576bd1f5…52c3c21cb1…e542c8753f…4a10f71514…177e6d1ab7…639959a860…950101768a…2b5ec64381…0c184713cb…6edc1bcb49…47e3a5f840…93fb5d1c5d…bceefb7a0f…94bff677f0…b8bf9b7f47…19652ffa9a…1e0a1ee5c5…e93b93cebc…83da6c0834…b34d9b3ec7…deedbca259…cac3e7107c…4a81135e64…bbacfe1b21…d6ffefdf23…72fb93ed83…d052862b63…cceb8d7e37…e6356516a3…f148f6c08a…222ac1b237…e26e702f8e…6517500e20…04e9ec1b3b…7ac361a5d1…21b407a920…c30851b0bc…420a5eb534…6648308765…1477241614…5266420aa1…94368+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| c8fc…4b2f | 421,265,714 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| fde6…610f | 426,012,434 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| ceba…823f | 421,714,164 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| b702…536f | 412,799,949 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| dc6f…c75f | 416,487,273 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 3f88…ab4f | 418,374,922 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 4049…06df | 423,910,341 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| d2cb…980f | 419,124,377 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 72ef…6d6f | 426,881,276 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 2771…c0bf | 427,309,638 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 27f7…543f | 423,477,771 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 8843…e47f | 420,637,940 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| b687…e04f | 424,905,614 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| b692…aa4f | 416,246,119 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 7a13…e0af | 413,901,820 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| c9fd…ccff | 416,290,831 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 283a…903f | 413,658,202 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 482e…070f | 414,711,250 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 89f7…e3af | 418,684,477 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 74f9…f44f | 426,556,584 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 252e…8abf | 417,949,029 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| c465…8fef | 424,264,165 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| f1d5…f6df | 425,150,251 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| b5fb…745f | 425,199,873 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| b61d…302f | 416,766,030 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 40fc…140f | 427,302,048 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 4a20…824f | 423,582,056 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| de51…c60f | 412,765,783 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| de53…075f | 413,394,511 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 3e66…de1f | 419,460,343 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 29e5…de9f | 412,564,018 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| bad2…f73f | 413,890,016 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| e1eb…453f | 414,361,920 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 3f08…d0ff | 413,355,984 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| d782…173f | 416,282,956 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 0219…2bff | 413,669,564 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| b71e…367f | 412,684,570 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| b78e…38ef | 420,089,140 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 471d…e79f | 425,080,596 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 2c68…713f | 415,657,262 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 6e09…d4af | 423,854,867 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| d7d0…a74f | 419,575,722 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| c731…4fff | 416,315,026 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 4b92…ff7f | 410,126,298 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 4bcd…a2cf | 413,198,909 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 8c7c…9ccf | 419,364,895 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 4369…b36f | 415,393,229 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 4276…e18f | 416,746,054 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| bb5f…dcb5 | 418,664,435 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 7e2f…fbaf | 412,879,965 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 407f…0f4f | 422,324,898 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| f494…4aff | 425,556,131 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 8ff8…fc6f | 427,425,811 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 8f07…4d1f | 413,892,984 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| ddba…4e3f | 419,583,807 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 7575…6a4f | 424,047,369 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 0082…7dff | 423,826,524 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 9874…638f | 416,591,143 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 993a…7ccf | 414,629,804 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 9302…7b4f | 416,931,146 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |