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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
seed→fan-out(2)→all-buy
rejected: only 1.7x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 56% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
+2.3%
n=7 out-of-sample
Hit rate
56%
18 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+10.0% → +9.8%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.063
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
fixed motif
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-1.2% … +21.1%
Support18
OOS support7
MDL bits20
Case / control92801 / 93578
Motif size4n · 4e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 306
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | efbefcc7c4e006f14236ee8fd4dbac8d0fc619e9f11bda6c78202011f45de0e1 | 100% | 25 |
Other crews running this exact shape
28 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 10521 | 46 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 987 | 37 | +25.7% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 88 | 76 | +23.4% | — | view → |
| crew 3029 | 17 | +23.2% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 34 | +23.1% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 4519 | 20 | +20.9% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 20 | 21 | +20.0% | — | view → |
| crew 6436 | 46 | +17.4% | — | view → |
| crew 213 | 20 | +16.6% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 180 | +15.4% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 55 | +15.0% | — | view → |
| crew 15 | 87 | +14.5% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 2272 | +13.9% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 259 | +13.9% | — | view → |
| all | 118152 | +13.8% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 51 | +13.5% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 64 | +10.9% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 63 | +10.2% | — | view → |
| crew 1049 | 55 | +9.5% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 234 | +8.2% | — | view → |
| crew 2702 | 123 | +5.6% | — | view → |
| crew 314 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3123 | 26 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 6494 | 23 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 12477 | 28 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 15215 | 15 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 19519 | 19 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 20 | -20.0% | — | view → |
Crew 306
200 resolved wallets
b37e1…ad95bce542…08337efbef…de0e16a8a2…b708ac1e29…868ffc6cf0…6ff3062cdd…9898b94a29…2cf532e77c…166b00324d…449136d808…b3d6128f0b…030c850def…449c94d3d7…a0da85e600…c68d566df5…2732ac70e5…a2fdc63e69…86776fb4d5…8aebaf605b…7200f1111c…c649b1ad19…c847663c3c…b8ff660440…682244ab24…999519a41f…5845bcd303…9d1ec790c9…4c38c3e9dd…d4cfda3c92…fd3a185744…e210fedbef…1d98bb6124…d08ce84105…36e762517c…a13f804b2b…47114621d0…af9fa5fa45…3c627cef66…22202e3e8c…3ff0114161…b2a7e49833…0bc602ba86…23e07212e8…450f6a4dd3…9b9f066e1c…f9cd486d43…98ecc34796…98534c4feb…53010a0185…d0c6bcb781…a274f2b331…236726ccfd…751cd4d867…86946bf71b…47b1acb9b5…b99c8b09e8…540d26b058…6abf7f733e…80254346f5…ef2222493f…8475491bae…ddda225803…16eeba99b0…2464d5e092…2b319f7c7b…a14d61d7ff…a96e0a3e5d…8f19ce539a…5291d10354…13cd44212f…9c40106ca4…77d76e27cd…9b4a782d2e…c50d2ed804…07f6734167…8a5fcc0b5f…329b2e118d…e03b2fe383…666efd2834…207e4+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3e37…b1ff | 422,231,100 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 733c…c39f | 422,395,347 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 7b53…d82f | 420,044,931 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 8be7…29bf | 420,710,500 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 1d41…fbaf | 420,051,641 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 8cdc…4f8f | 420,271,114 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| ba46…22df | 420,682,226 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 455e…20af | 415,775,127 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 2da9…3def | 418,433,072 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 852d…83cf | 426,145,235 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| b8c3…ca7f | 420,566,631 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 300f…a8df | 422,732,642 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 917c…64bf | 418,353,833 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 9162…f70f | 420,565,697 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| c44b…a01f | 418,356,504 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 2915…18cf | 420,042,513 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 5c22…36ef | 419,852,151 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 871e…284f | 420,043,654 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| f4ef…e74f | 422,392,767 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| c4b1…5b8f | 422,376,524 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 638a…c25f | 410,149,731 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 7376…812f | 420,065,924 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 7f44…d5cf | 424,076,792 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| ec4f…f12f | 417,041,094 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 9aed…b58f | 422,768,689 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 9f77…db2f | 419,827,374 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| d0b5…4c7f | 412,120,750 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 3699…c62f | 416,777,898 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 2a9d…704f | 409,958,671 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| a9c1…997f | 425,933,950 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 9d8e…9fff | 412,093,789 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 2d74…c95f | 424,385,781 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 72f1…d84f | 425,097,260 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 4d3c…4b8f | 420,564,581 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| d457…ad9f | 419,999,976 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 6b81…3e7f | 422,231,233 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 1475…724f | 420,260,322 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 40e6…182f | 420,259,204 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 39af…2f2f | 423,406,713 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| cce8…e61f | 426,622,532 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| c469…901f | 426,111,688 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| a567…a21f | 420,168,842 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| f581…278f | 418,369,190 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 881f…fe0f | 418,354,496 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 5ab8…f46f | 425,944,987 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| fa65…10bf | 423,761,170 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 2b7c…3ddf | 420,890,725 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 0aef…8f7f | 422,168,267 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 0e5e…b35f | 420,070,622 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 61cc…5d2f | 415,430,842 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 7d34…b30f | 420,050,944 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 7f27…3a7f | 420,257,704 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| d2a9…9b1f | 420,241,843 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 6412…2f2f | 423,760,167 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| eed7…f84f | 417,050,382 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 477f…18ff | 418,692,242 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 04f6…820f | 426,122,538 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 3c73…7e3f | 423,757,140 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 7388…4ddf | 419,955,991 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| bc44…79df | 418,356,976 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |