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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
seed→fan-out(2)→all-buy
rejected: only 1.9x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 62% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
+20.0%
n=3 out-of-sample
Hit rate
62%
21 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+15.6% → +14.3%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.001
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
fixed motif
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+6.9% … +24.4%
Support21
OOS support3
MDL bits20
Case / control92801 / 93578
Motif size4n · 4e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 20
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | e3564a560c10f41096e09ddfaed8e4f13c64c6a5ffc6d928604133cbeec94047 | 100% | 24 |
Other crews running this exact shape
28 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 10521 | 46 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 987 | 37 | +25.7% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 88 | 76 | +23.4% | — | view → |
| crew 3029 | 17 | +23.2% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 34 | +23.1% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 4519 | 20 | +20.9% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 6436 | 46 | +17.4% | — | view → |
| crew 213 | 20 | +16.6% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 180 | +15.4% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 55 | +15.0% | — | view → |
| crew 15 | 87 | +14.5% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 2272 | +13.9% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 259 | +13.9% | — | view → |
| all | 118152 | +13.8% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 51 | +13.5% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 64 | +10.9% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 63 | +10.2% | — | view → |
| crew 1049 | 55 | +9.5% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 234 | +8.2% | — | view → |
| crew 2702 | 123 | +5.6% | — | view → |
| crew 306 | 18 | +2.3% | — | view → |
| crew 314 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3123 | 26 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 6494 | 23 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 12477 | 28 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 15215 | 15 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 19519 | 19 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 20 | -20.0% | — | view → |
Crew 20
200 resolved wallets
e3564…940474edff…48a0d3b11d…75d73cbeff…411f4cff8c…48a59ed783…776ba64e1d…a2a42108cd…9aa89451cd…05a116663b…f9c5b5dc3c…6519fe4294…e5711b6f08…bd80c717dc…c12775e39a…27b98da908…5fdfffb8ff…fbdd293c2f…752e276c9e…2ecc22676a…b579b7333d…9691e711b9…24aa9f5683…52940c15fb…a09c323961…72eace900b…598ce32d55…48f84e90d9…340a88176f…5011cdf7a0…2f2cc45cbc…f15986d1ce…957aea7b43…4ac73829ce…8957bdb185…1b3da0f35c…9e2ed1774f…9f97a04007…e83aa672cb…3df356c109…e641be59a1…164456ef35…4983ee8be6…a34af0c208…ae304723bc…427019f299…acf69954ec…e958e3f320…dd1aaec5dc…d40816dbf0…4422afc968…56a56fcc3f…6afcde7c52…cc0d97fc5b…3ec332466d…9ca18c68b7…8d364e47d2…77371323ac…792ac272ea…ccfd4f54f4…1e62821b58…5d714ddc0e…f4965abe06…863480909d…b8c1e9e671…3d80e15ba9…e78ed45e61…aa77094ebc…0fef2acf51…897acb4a6a…b1042c7a8f…1993092827…89058866c9…d2501ffe20…4b652f7d89…35d9e005e9…572e5c787f…8c746d3e68…d38ba704b6…9b9ba29182…1f212+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8a40…778f | 418,202,516 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 3f02…605f | 423,022,469 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| cdca…5f4f | 421,159,599 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 88ec…b70f | 417,228,194 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 2232…6c1f | 417,661,752 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 5803…eabf | 417,037,692 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 297e…769f | 417,090,489 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 8854…ba3f | 416,543,139 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 3ea9…9e3f | 420,227,433 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| c74a…94ff | 413,987,009 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| bacf…904f | 417,932,439 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 496b…1a1f | 419,369,156 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 3fc4…7b5f | 414,150,128 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| e0e5…f18f | 417,088,554 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 6287…d62f | 420,730,618 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 8c5d…d76f | 419,363,836 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 215c…337f | 419,987,452 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 4af5…fb3f | 416,572,750 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 2e7f…b7bf | 416,114,044 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 920d…8cff | 413,285,162 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 4fff…d84f | 424,105,608 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| e545…a23f | 427,433,467 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 0389…093f | 421,417,186 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| e6f2…61df | 420,694,522 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 31e0…c40f | 417,192,632 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 7e08…1f6f | 413,985,740 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| fcd0…a46f | 417,018,554 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 0935…067f | 419,356,064 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 95da…c1af | 419,094,675 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 965f…ff4f | 416,561,280 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 9746…1459 | 427,296,614 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 9768…096f | 417,219,893 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 4928…c2ff | 416,116,494 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 3596…7d5f | 421,766,948 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 8396…dfff | 423,534,482 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| c6d7…5ecf | 415,969,074 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| a165…f2af | 417,069,566 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| edf2…e03f | 417,074,273 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 3d36…4bdf | 421,582,075 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 8b56…e5df | 417,797,635 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 10d4…54ff | 423,726,748 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 125b…c10f | 420,002,153 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 62d6…e2af | 421,769,315 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| f4bc…7232 | 426,726,736 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 149d…784f | 420,003,188 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 90d3…d41f | 421,107,620 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 77c9…f2bf | 417,726,478 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 196c…5daf | 417,730,533 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 793d…05af | 414,390,284 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 7781…c81f | 420,013,428 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| c41d…5d3f | 415,948,937 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| f93d…b26f | 414,751,551 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 11ef…935f | 426,611,316 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 2376…4f0f | 417,061,682 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 77ec…045f | 413,958,116 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 78b0…7bef | 414,810,039 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 27ec…2a4f | 420,239,351 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| b9ef…29ef | 418,708,804 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 5cc4…b05f | 409,722,743 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 0ff7…05ff | 417,730,284 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |