│
Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0
rule detail

seed→fan-out(2)→all-buy

rejected: only 1.2x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 39% vs base 32%)

rulesrejectedcrew 12477
OOS effect
+0.0%
n=0 out-of-sample
Hit rate
39%
28 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+3.0% → +4.2%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.305
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
transfertransferbuy@pumpfunpumpfbuy@pumpfunpumpfwwwT
fixed motif
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-5.3% … +11.4%
Support28
OOS support0
MDL bits20
Case / control92801 / 93578
Motif size4n · 4e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 12477
Other crews running this exact shape
28 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
crew 1052146+30.0%—view →
crew 98737+25.7%✓view →
crew 8876+23.4%—view →
crew 302917+23.2%—view →
crew 11334+23.1%✓view →
crew 451920+20.9%✓view →
crew 2021+20.0%—view →
crew 643646+17.4%—view →
crew 21320+16.6%—view →
crew 21180+15.4%—view →
crew 5955+15.0%—view →
crew 1587+14.5%—view →
crew 132272+13.9%—view →
crew 6259+13.9%—view →
all118152+13.8%—view →
crew 4051+13.5%—view →
crew 3464+10.9%—view →
crew 5563+10.2%—view →
crew 104955+9.5%—view →
crew 68234+8.2%—view →
crew 2702123+5.6%—view →
crew 30618+2.3%—view →
crew 31417+0.0%—view →
crew 312326+0.0%—view →
crew 649423+0.0%—view →
crew 1521515+0.0%—view →
crew 1951919+0.0%—view →
crew 1220-20.0%—view →
Crew 12477
4 resolved wallets
9d0b5…c8e53aac6c…e7474b3673…52dac20590…1cf75
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
2354…7f9f410,636,581+30.0%✓12477 replay
fc80…feef411,838,965+30.0%✓12477 replay
b8d7…b18f412,300,837+30.0%✓12477 replay
421d…f70f416,284,533+30.0%✓12477 replay
b757…efcf413,151,604+30.0%✓12477 replay
29f3…64cf411,071,944+30.0%✓12477 replay
2b20…e6af412,985,205+30.0%✓12477 replay
e203…766f415,881,890+30.0%✓12477 replay
0010…0fdf413,160,192+30.0%✓12477 replay
4a0c…53df414,984,988+30.0%✓12477 replay
d034…2fbf415,153,469+30.0%✓12477 replay
86e4…b4ef416,881,451+30.0%✓12477 replay
7d89…2c2f416,259,333+30.0%✓12477 replay
34e8…abe6411,364,570+30.0%✓12477 replay
9303…70af412,081,732+30.0%✓12477 replay
7de7…64af412,999,211+30.0%✓12477 replay
c50b…b03f416,065,136+30.0%✓12477 replay
c522…2e8f416,270,968+30.0%✓12477 replay
36cb…8f6f410,582,174+30.0%✓12477 replay
2fe1…9f4f416,943,599+30.0%✓12477 replay
7076…0515411,241,628+30.0%✓12477 replay
13ea…9c4f410,365,289+30.0%✓12477 replay
41f4…967f410,819,758+30.0%✓12477 replay
a648…57ff411,285,064+30.0%✓12477 replay
668e…03df412,480,443+30.0%✓12477 replay
939a…2c2f411,004,691+30.0%✓12477 replay
892a…23df411,016,601+30.0%✓12477 replay
493b…fa5f416,908,565+30.0%✓12477 replay
4ae0…7fdf412,327,117+30.0%✓12477 replay
76cf…626f416,290,557+30.0%✓12477 replay
7332…772f412,305,273+30.0%✓12477 replay
2748…0b9f416,279,601+30.0%✓12477 replay
bf2c…afa3411,256,283+30.0%✓12477 replay
b572…1c3f413,001,225+30.0%✓12477 replay
5b82…925f416,039,695+30.0%✓12477 replay
9fa1…6e80411,364,010+30.0%✓12477 replay
629b…0aaf413,795,847+30.0%✓12477 replay
8092…690f414,039,118+30.0%✓12477 replay
7dfa…fcef413,365,552+30.0%✓12477 replay
d547…072f411,480,967+30.0%✓12477 replay
a879…e0cf411,070,680+30.0%✓12477 replay
a0ff…d32f412,757,451+30.0%✓12477 replay
7c3f…bdff411,713,108+30.0%✓12477 replay
1068…1c5f412,766,125+30.0%✓12477 replay
81ab…bc1f411,022,345+30.0%✓12477 replay
116f…c0df416,730,535+30.0%✓12477 replay
9265…622f416,247,108+30.0%✓12477 replay
2222…3bcf411,019,048+30.0%✓12477 replay
ab9c…21bf413,152,157+30.0%✓12477 replay
3766…281f411,480,593+30.0%✓12477 replay
b0bf…52ef410,579,502+30.0%✓12477 replay
3cdb…d68f413,377,745+30.0%✓12477 replay
2040…726f416,460,800+30.0%✓12477 replay
f4f8…c04f416,722,001+30.0%✓12477 replay
80c5…1c0f411,718,265+30.0%✓12477 replay
aec0…ccbf412,726,569+30.0%✓12477 replay
c90d…03df412,721,619+30.0%✓12477 replay
2a6a…023f416,094,835+30.0%✓12477 replay
a0ee…8edf411,027,797+30.0%✓12477 replay
097c…3ddf410,851,825+30.0%✓12477 replay