│
Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
seed→fan-out(4)→all-buy
kept: 2.8x lift, OOS n=24 mean +26.3% (95% CI-lo +22.5% > 0), FDR q=0.000 · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
+26.3%
n=24 out-of-sample
Hit rate
89%
35 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+26.2% → +25.5%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.000
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+22.5% … +30.0%
Support35
OOS support24
MDL bits20
Case / control58422 / 57148
Motif size7n · 7e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 113
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | 9c89c56bc2151b60fdc329ecf411384f216cb7448c17a6a2bfb132fc7af360b9 | 98% | 58 |
Other crews running this exact shape
16 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 10521 | 21 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 95 | +23.7% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 32 | +20.8% | — | view → |
| crew 15 | 83 | +18.1% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 213 | 21 | +17.2% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 270 | +16.0% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 47 | +15.0% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 152 | +14.8% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 2182 | +14.7% | — | view → |
| all | 70707 | +14.5% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 35 | +13.9% | — | view → |
| crew 6436 | 46 | +13.5% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 280 | +11.2% | — | view → |
| crew 314 | 28 | +7.9% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 47 | +5.2% | — | view → |
| crew 19519 | 25 | +0.0% | — | view → |
Crew 113
200 resolved wallets
9c89c…360b9954c0…dbcfd2f8c7…3d98c35548…f1c98ec5f1…9c26c24810…9d20e492ff…db97e53ccb…17eb591e1e…eaf51a86fc…11bf241710…eb5d9aecb9…285886b25e…65f787ff37…333970171e…20dea87bb0…7f451dabdb…9ac557be32…db415aecf6…cd62c7ea06…91353baabf…ff7acd8300…b1dd46189f…7bfa0f3579…117aae35f4…f414be8c92…fe05d333df…29dbc58149…4c54c436c3…646a993b50…084f0344e0…284eb07169…c536ac8933…80ee0ee8c5…8ef5f460ea…2f8c3ed876…92901ce353…b16f527665…1db60e2064…1f90f15e16…e4d8930842…8c418fb940…247e300a8d…1f2bb9f75f…550fbeaea2…242f0663ab…a7af4cb1bb…edeb2d6952…585df02cf2…f15c07ba07…59e6e28dbe…364de05ad9…153e69f6bb…8f0feb41dd…47dd20a886…fb90004ea7…07a78a5691…f81dcd37f7…99c1f98f12…25498433d0…d7abffb8cf…640fe81893…f705f3c6cc…e1bac86704…33367840ea…1f41d5073b…0cecf93890…e74ee7efe1…23ac6d88c1…7156e465c8…689121f795…559ff2611a…9a194f0818…4aab98b851…9f1211df05…9c5cb7ba28…63d0daeae4…2a5c426067…90dbe85aa1…02128ce965…bf48b+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8961…170f | 418,332,608 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 4670…17bf | 423,606,971 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 467d…e3df | 419,573,528 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 1c30…71df | 418,630,165 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| c3ad…4d9f | 419,334,613 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 3bca…0b5f | 426,117,766 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 0eeb…8e0f | 426,966,623 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 2838…9bcf | 420,411,901 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 740a…16af | 419,927,670 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 2492…b71f | 416,273,537 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 8b9d…df6f | 426,966,241 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 8bb0…770f | 422,982,145 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 6b34…50df | 421,027,623 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 92e8…24af | 417,354,397 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| d0bc…e2df | 420,806,158 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 8215…d3ff | 420,642,771 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 720b…23ef | 419,525,805 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 720d…368f | 423,627,734 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 3eff…380f | 419,735,886 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| b92f…7edf | 421,159,728 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 7d06…d69f | 422,750,346 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| d74c…0aff | 419,735,396 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| f440…e2cf | 422,549,049 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 43e7…c90f | 426,654,601 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| d400…dadf | 419,538,841 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 2c71…c85f | 420,832,245 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| defb…3fef | 419,368,957 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 465a…2b7f | 409,923,312 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 70d4…e90f | 420,838,667 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 8d58…755f | 422,334,252 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 4b5d…b39f | 418,843,005 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 9341…917f | 417,365,824 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| b97c…efaf | 418,400,172 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 4739…08ff | 409,879,808 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 7bd7…33cf | 423,195,024 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 1609…b2af | 423,394,670 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 302e…668f | 419,722,881 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 823b…c67f | 424,032,777 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 246c…f10f | 420,159,167 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 7ae0…c4bf | 426,088,569 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 44e3…1cbf | 421,858,541 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 7373…a49f | 424,307,520 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| f981…b93f | 424,080,841 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 9579…0c7f | 424,494,631 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| be70…749f | 423,433,521 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 94f1…301f | 424,056,306 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 7dbf…8a3f | 417,212,869 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 04ae…2c7f | 424,488,272 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| c1d2…79cf | 420,830,587 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| be19…023f | 424,915,196 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 4bc0…286f | 423,876,592 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 7554…1dcf | 422,534,438 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 3703…f38f | 419,912,852 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 4836…db1f | 418,457,440 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 089f…572f | 423,197,887 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 7f9b…ba0f | 423,473,334 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 7fce…c5af | 420,591,062 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 28ca…3fff | 419,728,375 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| c493…153f | 424,488,176 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| fe09…5d4f | 419,590,143 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |