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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
seed→fan-out(4)→all-buy
rejected: only 1.5x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 49% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
+15.0%
n=49 out-of-sample
Hit rate
49%
47 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+14.3% → +13.8%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.000
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+9.1% … +19.5%
Support47
OOS support49
MDL bits20
Case / control58422 / 57148
Motif size7n · 7e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 40
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | 9feaf8fd3e9e933b7330e1c7479fd2d162e2bb4cc8ce3cae9807301809bf55e5 | 98% | 94 |
Other crews running this exact shape
16 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 10521 | 21 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 35 | +26.3% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 88 | 95 | +23.7% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 32 | +20.8% | — | view → |
| crew 15 | 83 | +18.1% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 213 | 21 | +17.2% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 270 | +16.0% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 152 | +14.8% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 2182 | +14.7% | — | view → |
| all | 70707 | +14.5% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 35 | +13.9% | — | view → |
| crew 6436 | 46 | +13.5% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 280 | +11.2% | — | view → |
| crew 314 | 28 | +7.9% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 47 | +5.2% | — | view → |
| crew 19519 | 25 | +0.0% | — | view → |
Crew 40
200 resolved wallets
9feaf…f55e5a19bc…3146ef9819…a1ee9365a1…633df20edf…6cb20f840d…ab28a9818b…9a33029915…c6c641c229…0c59063d09…d4da3ab992…8602e2ac26…c2b2d2da31…eab9badb91…53041747ec…72b7997854…6e09af2c14…0b4f6f3114…db1b015090…ebaff08370…7b1b8c8edd…bf14643662…52dee27092…72f66fd6db…0676de2471…7b11095ee2…b87d3d4c6c…8014080d6d…cd237a58ef…bd0d1122a3…5c0ff6b298…492fcd1284…b8f54ec994…8050e54820…a4bf90a761…1dc7e469c4…5295c686a0…75b6647e09…2a8b28e1af…44142861d7…0e3515bbeb…f62f990cde…40fe55720f…14b1f70a92…aef6b2c5e7…d7520caeab…087a68ed7f…dcff204fe3…2bd75a84d8…72917bfdcb…3fb0779267…46c89aa97b…26a030a1d0…995cadc616…e4d9ac9c59…884dcf22ca…cd24e7ab75…3898e5f2d5…4206fa716f…1d9bc31d71…18afbb841d…dfb00fbfc1…388f86c1d4…9b840759f6…dd3e6a4dcf…7d6f296c81…54212949ec…a9cb338edc…aef5848331…c04eab886d…ea08fcf8ec…c2352bd48f…cd932ea4c0…b55fa982fe…58adf37316…a59d32fc57…06fc626ea5…59d5107787…de8d216387…8559330ff8…a5842+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| b30f…130f | 416,362,163 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| b379…5ddf | 421,967,198 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 4674…662f | 424,608,404 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| d3df…3edf | 414,533,175 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 6aa9…651f | 424,602,776 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 87c4…b4ff | 419,761,648 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 3bce…7ddf | 418,238,793 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 3bcf…b93f | 419,945,525 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| b421…6aaf | 424,739,679 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 8ac7…198f | 426,013,912 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| b37c…7d7f | 418,428,046 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| dfd0…7a3f | 426,948,846 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 878f…61af | 426,919,619 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 81ba…199f | 425,132,615 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| da11…b8ef | 418,383,925 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 1dfd…e79f | 425,882,144 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| b96e…753f | 427,165,827 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 8960…7baf | 413,459,020 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 9442…6e3f | 426,894,636 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 8e30…eb1f | 416,875,115 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 4b6b…459f | 427,446,142 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| dcb4…939f | 423,500,470 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| b56e…d02f | 426,679,362 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 7421…3bdf | 426,639,804 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 6d92…67af | 427,236,719 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 2fd1…5e6f | 417,898,263 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 030b…200f | 425,084,540 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 6f7c…88af | 427,431,458 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 9754…fadf | 416,751,987 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| b94b…287f | 425,059,177 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 8ffd…103f | 424,439,784 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 2204…b4cf | 420,623,408 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 1563…277f | 427,066,946 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 636b…b5ef | 425,935,616 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 5eb0…a61f | 421,028,820 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 0556…068f | 423,869,115 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 92cb…017f | 427,356,444 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 4e9d…d57f | 426,038,991 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 052f…067f | 427,617,848 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 9fa3…e7af | 424,893,162 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| f30a…ea0f | 419,562,546 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 2915…fb1f | 420,397,417 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 8dc0…0e1f | 419,382,899 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 0a02…e46f | 423,653,615 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 0aa2…598f | 424,099,968 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 725a…d87f | 422,344,981 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 049c…a3ff | 409,894,418 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 50d6…866f | 418,899,522 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| f085…a46f | 422,199,843 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| f0c5…20af | 419,659,994 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| a140…34af | 426,314,325 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| a17d…45ff | 426,932,654 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 0675…c2cf | 420,164,131 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 0481…770f | 425,889,346 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| a24e…333f | 418,860,344 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 06fa…d17f | 424,604,985 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 5b51…26df | 425,136,478 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 05c8…3c4f | 422,981,397 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 0cf3…0cdf | 427,516,908 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 0648…ce8f | 418,584,582 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |