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Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
seed→fan-out(4)→all-buy
rejected: only 1.2x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 39% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
+13.5%
n=27 out-of-sample
Hit rate
39%
46 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+6.3% → +6.7%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.047
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-0.2% … +12.8%
Support46
OOS support27
MDL bits20
Case / control58422 / 57148
Motif size7n · 7e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 6436
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | 0a23daf1c19d7ec4af404aa6cd3896d71d5fac2623065f5964ea75462ce5d52c | 100% | 73 |
Other crews running this exact shape
16 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 10521 | 21 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 35 | +26.3% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 88 | 95 | +23.7% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 32 | +20.8% | — | view → |
| crew 15 | 83 | +18.1% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 213 | 21 | +17.2% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 270 | +16.0% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 47 | +15.0% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 152 | +14.8% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 2182 | +14.7% | — | view → |
| all | 70707 | +14.5% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 35 | +13.9% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 280 | +11.2% | — | view → |
| crew 314 | 28 | +7.9% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 47 | +5.2% | — | view → |
| crew 19519 | 25 | +0.0% | — | view → |
Crew 6436
12 resolved wallets
0a23d…5d52c6ea31…86b8455285…52b3604ae0…86ae3e8aac…45d90095f3…170dc1eb9f…61842b783e…c2e9abec28…518601bda2…ad09d67c4f…0e656126f4…72578
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| fe42…facf | 418,860,084 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 3f24…642f | 422,609,004 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 3b23…f2ff | 418,406,234 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 5d4b…9fbf | 418,403,218 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| cf4f…8f9f | 421,137,284 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| b635…04df | 423,892,262 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| b463…3fff | 420,470,318 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 950f…2f1f | 415,522,642 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 8e6d…d4af | 418,132,741 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 42de…9d7f | 423,124,016 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 8283…2c0f | 418,116,120 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 7717…f00f | 427,672,531 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| c6dd…e74f | 423,352,048 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| d3f6…cedf | 423,910,413 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 7526…213f | 422,015,850 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 5cc8…804f | 420,506,737 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| ba09…cd3f | 414,295,469 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 21e2…599f | 423,827,535 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 76a1…395f | 423,553,169 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| e28b…f05f | 410,738,484 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 634b…799f | 425,695,991 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| bdaa…e7cf | 415,304,497 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 054c…8e4f | 425,578,359 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 4f34…3c6f | 427,235,656 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| d297…ffdf | 423,349,280 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 449c…e23f | 420,720,693 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 9259…791f | 418,525,559 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 79c7…72cf | 420,964,308 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 30c9…9bdf | 417,459,962 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| c00c…8b2f | 414,821,786 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| c22b…c46f | 416,602,030 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| d559…33df | 419,042,143 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 9cf4…23ff | 427,037,822 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| bfa3…5bbf | 419,030,347 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 637f…c95f | 421,994,118 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 9f03…16df | 418,394,086 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| c119…280f | 418,394,453 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 4a46…a51f | 422,655,016 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| a436…cf8f | 427,192,806 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 6ad4…451f | 422,150,741 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 846b…bb2f | 425,581,466 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| cbd9…481f | 418,860,942 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| a3a6…38bf | 414,558,196 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 5e8b…9ddf | 411,367,622 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 6f21…f4ef | 417,753,032 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 6042…596f | 423,521,995 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 7048…ab6f | 419,698,153 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 61ec…cf9f | 421,924,598 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| a121…afaf | 417,943,361 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 9190…fb8f | 418,860,826 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 65e2…797f | 423,131,459 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| f8bc…5b7f | 417,492,127 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 926e…cb0f | 411,804,444 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| b186…f9af | 417,697,331 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| d554…01cf | 427,199,841 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 787e…2e4f | 413,634,737 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| b510…b1af | 423,318,929 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 7250…4c3f | 423,357,555 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| faec…59bf | 422,669,822 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 27fd…afaf | 416,602,096 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |