│
Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0
rule detail

seed→fan-out(4)→all-buy

rejected: only 1.5x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 49% vs base 32%)

rulesrejectedall
OOS effect
+14.5%
n=44853 out-of-sample
Hit rate
49%
70707 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+11.6% → +11.6%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.000
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
transfertransferbuy@pumpfunpumpfbuy@pumpfunpumpftransferbuy@pumpfunpumpfbuy@pumpfunpumpfwwwwwwT
recursive family
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+11.4% … +11.7%
Support70,707
OOS support44,853
MDL bits0
Case / control58422 / 57148
Motif size7n · 7e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingall
Other crews running this exact shape
16 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
crew 1052121+30.0%—view →
crew 11335+26.3%✓view →
crew 8895+23.7%—view →
crew 5932+20.8%—view →
crew 1583+18.1%✓view →
crew 21321+17.2%—view →
crew 6270+16.0%—view →
crew 4047+15.0%—view →
crew 21152+14.8%—view →
crew 132182+14.7%—view →
crew 3435+13.9%—view →
crew 643646+13.5%—view →
crew 68280+11.2%—view →
crew 31428+7.9%—view →
crew 5547+5.2%—view →
crew 1951925+0.0%—view →
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
724a…887f420,516,906+30.0%✓13 replay
7253…dd5f427,348,216+30.0%✓6 replay
727a…701f423,640,610+30.0%✓13 replay
72ac…59ff425,780,386+30.0%✓13 replay
72ca…9cbf427,142,176+30.0%✓13 replay
72ef…6d6f426,881,276+30.0%✓15 replay
7305…9dcf426,202,914+30.0%✓88 replay
733c…c39f422,395,347+30.0%✓306 replay
3b23…f2ff418,406,234+30.0%✓6436 replay
3b31…caef423,365,951+30.0%✓43 replay
3b50…57ff426,904,416+30.0%✓213 replay
3b94…f49f427,218,268+30.0%✓34 replay
3bb2…52ef414,290,350+30.0%✓13 replay
3bc9…e4df425,107,949+30.0%✓13 replay
3bca…0b5f426,117,766+30.0%✓113 replay
3bd2…cfef412,570,522+30.0%✓13 replay
3c2f…5aff424,075,671+30.0%✓13 replay
3c33…078f417,396,595+30.0%✓6 replay
3c43…e1cf426,117,347+30.0%✓43 replay
0e95…7ddf426,721,072+30.0%✓460 replay
0ea1…fcbf416,999,645+30.0%✓13 replay
0ed9…f4df412,132,971+30.0%✓13 replay
0eea…fa6f421,227,036+30.0%✓26779 replay
0eeb…8e0f426,966,623+30.0%✓113 replay
0ef8…c99f423,237,693+30.0%✓13 replay
0f00…b45f426,693,290+30.0%✓13 replay
0f07…f94f414,312,237+30.0%✓13 replay
695f…4d95418,966,319+30.0%✓13 replay
69b4…b1cf413,928,745+30.0%✓21 replay
6a29…b70f420,525,079+30.0%✓13 replay
6a2f…61ff423,930,990+30.0%✓13 replay
6a4f…cf0f410,338,193+30.0%✓13 replay
6a79…58af412,265,276+30.0%✓13 replay
6a8c…18df422,048,454+30.0%✓13 replay
6aa9…651f424,602,776+30.0%✓40 replay
2758…42a3414,530,232+30.0%✓13 replay
2b6e…e7ff422,063,472+30.0%✓13 replay
2767…4ddf427,292,766+30.0%✓13 replay
2771…c0bf427,309,638+30.0%✓15 replay
2783…8def417,768,081+30.0%✓13 replay
279e…bcef420,897,403+30.0%✓13 replay
27c5…8b4f417,113,784+30.0%✓13 replay
27eb…255f412,426,956+30.0%✓13 replay
27f0…62df416,426,666+30.0%✓13 replay
27f7…543f423,477,771+30.0%✓15 replay
2804…008f422,384,039+30.0%✓6 replay
280f…7dcf413,192,958+30.0%✓13 replay
2823…808f424,301,358+30.0%✓13 replay
2764…c0ff427,219,480+30.0%✓13 replay
b687…e04f424,905,614+30.0%✓15 replay
878a…9b2f418,915,277+30.0%✓13 replay
8843…34c1427,083,918+30.0%✓13 replay
8826…d10f425,223,510+30.0%✓13 replay
881b…a0af415,443,691+30.0%✓21 replay
8815…c1af412,320,689+30.0%✓12605 replay
8843…e47f420,637,940+30.0%✓15 replay
8814…7c1f416,214,511+30.0%✓88 replay
87cd…503f426,643,575+30.0%✓3908 replay
87c4…b4ff419,761,648+30.0%✓40 replay
87a8…267f419,493,704+30.0%✓13 replay