│
Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
seed→fan-out(4)→all-buy
rejected: only 1.5x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 49% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
+14.5%
n=44853 out-of-sample
Hit rate
49%
70707 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+11.6% → +11.6%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.000
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
Loading...
Motif
recursive family
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+11.4% … +11.7%
Support70,707
OOS support44,853
MDL bits0
Case / control58422 / 57148
Motif size7n · 7e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingall
Other crews running this exact shape
16 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 10521 | 21 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 35 | +26.3% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 88 | 95 | +23.7% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 32 | +20.8% | — | view → |
| crew 15 | 83 | +18.1% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 213 | 21 | +17.2% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 270 | +16.0% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 47 | +15.0% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 152 | +14.8% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 2182 | +14.7% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 35 | +13.9% | — | view → |
| crew 6436 | 46 | +13.5% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 280 | +11.2% | — | view → |
| crew 314 | 28 | +7.9% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 47 | +5.2% | — | view → |
| crew 19519 | 25 | +0.0% | — | view → |
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 724a…887f | 420,516,906 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 7253…dd5f | 427,348,216 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 727a…701f | 423,640,610 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 72ac…59ff | 425,780,386 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 72ca…9cbf | 427,142,176 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 72ef…6d6f | 426,881,276 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 7305…9dcf | 426,202,914 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 733c…c39f | 422,395,347 | +30.0% | ✓ | 306 | replay |
| 3b23…f2ff | 418,406,234 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 3b31…caef | 423,365,951 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 3b50…57ff | 426,904,416 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 3b94…f49f | 427,218,268 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 3bb2…52ef | 414,290,350 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3bc9…e4df | 425,107,949 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3bca…0b5f | 426,117,766 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 3bd2…cfef | 412,570,522 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3c2f…5aff | 424,075,671 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3c33…078f | 417,396,595 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 3c43…e1cf | 426,117,347 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 0e95…7ddf | 426,721,072 | +30.0% | ✓ | 460 | replay |
| 0ea1…fcbf | 416,999,645 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 0ed9…f4df | 412,132,971 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 0eea…fa6f | 421,227,036 | +30.0% | ✓ | 26779 | replay |
| 0eeb…8e0f | 426,966,623 | +30.0% | ✓ | 113 | replay |
| 0ef8…c99f | 423,237,693 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 0f00…b45f | 426,693,290 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 0f07…f94f | 414,312,237 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 695f…4d95 | 418,966,319 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 69b4…b1cf | 413,928,745 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 6a29…b70f | 420,525,079 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 6a2f…61ff | 423,930,990 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 6a4f…cf0f | 410,338,193 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 6a79…58af | 412,265,276 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 6a8c…18df | 422,048,454 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 6aa9…651f | 424,602,776 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 2758…42a3 | 414,530,232 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 2b6e…e7ff | 422,063,472 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 2767…4ddf | 427,292,766 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 2771…c0bf | 427,309,638 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 2783…8def | 417,768,081 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 279e…bcef | 420,897,403 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 27c5…8b4f | 417,113,784 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 27eb…255f | 412,426,956 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 27f0…62df | 416,426,666 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 27f7…543f | 423,477,771 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 2804…008f | 422,384,039 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 280f…7dcf | 413,192,958 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 2823…808f | 424,301,358 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 2764…c0ff | 427,219,480 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| b687…e04f | 424,905,614 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 878a…9b2f | 418,915,277 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 8843…34c1 | 427,083,918 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 8826…d10f | 425,223,510 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 881b…a0af | 415,443,691 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 8815…c1af | 412,320,689 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12605 | replay |
| 8843…e47f | 420,637,940 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15 | replay |
| 8814…7c1f | 416,214,511 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 87cd…503f | 426,643,575 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3908 | replay |
| 87c4…b4ff | 419,761,648 | +30.0% | ✓ | 40 | replay |
| 87a8…267f | 419,493,704 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |