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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
seed→fan-out(4)→all-buy
rejected: only 0.7x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 24% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
+11.2%
n=73 out-of-sample
Hit rate
24%
280 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
-2.4% → -2.2%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
1.000
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-4.8% … -0.1%
Support280
OOS support73
MDL bits20
Case / control58422 / 57148
Motif size7n · 7e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 68
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | 0ab973e44b3ba676ba475be6d05ab62c41d437a1710930e2c6a9602a333cb564 | 98% | 347 |
Other crews running this exact shape
16 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 10521 | 21 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 35 | +26.3% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 88 | 95 | +23.7% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 32 | +20.8% | — | view → |
| crew 15 | 83 | +18.1% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 213 | 21 | +17.2% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 270 | +16.0% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 47 | +15.0% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 152 | +14.8% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 2182 | +14.7% | — | view → |
| all | 70707 | +14.5% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 35 | +13.9% | — | view → |
| crew 6436 | 46 | +13.5% | — | view → |
| crew 314 | 28 | +7.9% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 47 | +5.2% | — | view → |
| crew 19519 | 25 | +0.0% | — | view → |
Crew 68
200 resolved wallets
087de…58d1e16237…1b2930ab97…cb564b3dae…48191e9e8c…c062cad500…44be39becf…5b44af18c1…0e0406b757…2439fdcac7…929aa7758b…8e3108af89…5568ba01e7…6dddce194b…91128f6f54…77b3584bac…5cd6bcffd9…c8b8c4e49b…a02662ee8d…8fb8b2122a…1780903337…4eaf05338d…27e56fadf7…7656958160…8c0a9cbf0a…850f462789…10eec7e22c…2cece46ec4…2013d08de3…4fdddebb3a…49f5fb20c5…81d869304a…e40a497c23…4ffdf66432…2d4d0e632a…9aa9050dd4…cab1110d65…4e23410748…4f6a5f472d…3745a53092…3fd2bddce1…037e6002cc…198fe15bb2…03252d38d1…1ecf3f15d2…ecf5b391fa…2d93a45003…a7e7146732…4df27c80f0…5bdf23d44c…691a5675f7…093a2180b8…dff942678f…b23cffffab…cd90c2b9d0…4692e38e94…766596c03b…9e064399dc…a854da0564…086b6ee47a…e14ab5cee9…d12a9f9a1a…b0c3767e70…e70151c138…8a4b3355bd…ab5b65d7ca…a668196a06…32be4c6e35…8683961e17…b587758e3d…73c2bab785…f3a64683fe…0ae66e6a03…10e928b9cc…cfac2fec09…c7ed9583f5…a69bee2632…73ba195bf5…f5b0ff0397…3f4b232e17…51bc0+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88b8…81bf | 414,613,987 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 58cd…a4bf | 419,627,779 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| ddd1…849f | 418,646,628 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 3fc7…95ef | 424,737,818 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 3f7a…c96f | 416,835,187 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| d7ca…5caf | 424,383,940 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 7365…cf3f | 418,532,244 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| dfd3…de1f | 419,674,254 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 27cd…605f | 426,589,795 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 8c61…34df | 418,982,759 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| d928…024f | 426,553,158 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 0ffd…49ff | 427,019,584 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| ff0e…80bf | 419,062,444 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 59b1…d30f | 422,888,127 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 7f93…720f | 421,400,479 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 5e8a…be1f | 419,770,655 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 240b…dfff | 411,657,274 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 4b97…723f | 421,763,167 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 8ef7…470f | 421,336,001 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 223a…d2df | 427,558,440 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 71b9…8a5f | 411,327,000 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 8d22…4b1f | 425,682,111 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| e611…7b5f | 420,140,860 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 483c…59df | 425,375,840 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 93a4…76ef | 414,607,486 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 94cc…f21f | 411,695,473 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 45e5…f33f | 426,381,990 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| bd39…f3af | 412,640,732 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 61db…fbff | 414,856,702 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 315c…ff4f | 423,169,935 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 88b3…6a9f | 410,452,467 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 7327…9a17 | 419,503,459 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 311e…3bcf | 411,018,346 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 789c…f43f | 419,180,476 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| d8ed…25ef | 423,937,598 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 8952…663f | 426,109,110 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| bc2d…088f | 409,746,271 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| fabf…6cdf | 417,988,147 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 9c78…a37f | 415,932,127 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 31de…53ef | 420,898,519 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| c1ef…0af6 | 421,473,542 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| c79e…2a5f | 425,407,585 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 97bb…fbaf | 422,693,621 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 855f…30ef | 420,977,130 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 863b…bd3f | 412,193,331 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 5b29…271f | 424,447,661 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 0e2d…430f | 425,721,304 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 7ff7…e38f | 415,266,787 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 6b1f…0f4f | 421,551,815 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 9b67…b72f | 410,451,632 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| c920…54f9 | 410,540,901 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| a277…e15f | 426,254,235 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| cc98…ad6f | 409,779,656 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 89af…12cf | 423,756,858 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 85ad…da6f | 425,681,479 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 7db8…e81f | 419,852,142 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 1267…096f | 409,590,065 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 9cf0…80ff | 425,534,085 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| a45e…3dcf | 419,408,503 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 832e…d01f | 426,352,246 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |