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Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
seed→fan-out(4)→all-buy
rejected: only 1.0x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 31% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
+20.8%
n=12 out-of-sample
Hit rate
31%
32 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+10.7% → +10.6%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.001
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+4.3% … +17.2%
Support32
OOS support12
MDL bits20
Case / control58422 / 57148
Motif size7n · 7e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 59
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | b8357745246170f938f0bac6918c4c77c726d8754cc326d703450cfd09ac89bc | 100% | 44 |
Other crews running this exact shape
16 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 10521 | 21 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 35 | +26.3% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 88 | 95 | +23.7% | — | view → |
| crew 15 | 83 | +18.1% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 213 | 21 | +17.2% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 270 | +16.0% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 47 | +15.0% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 152 | +14.8% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 2182 | +14.7% | — | view → |
| all | 70707 | +14.5% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 35 | +13.9% | — | view → |
| crew 6436 | 46 | +13.5% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 280 | +11.2% | — | view → |
| crew 314 | 28 | +7.9% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 47 | +5.2% | — | view → |
| crew 19519 | 25 | +0.0% | — | view → |
Crew 59
200 resolved wallets
b41f7…15a92b8357…c89bcf25d6…3b4fabd614…be7bc48577…d0fbde52fe…2255aa2faf…aede2281e2…b27bb761be…2491ffdd72…60833e6c66…386eade219…8ec6d08c68…7663838eea…0686296898…9715524506…73c503b09c…06bcd0e4f6…36ee141666…8a7ce1a1eb…863b24c5dc…c2a3c2916d…2d72762049…cb4613da11…cd368c2545…acba3d971d…417aae55d3…e981301d4a…a216404225…6c81c1b323…8cdfc0470a…ce877e47ff…c9e4289cd9…d3ef5c1ccf…23fd1fb3c3…f48b13714e…fafd1e5477…374f1d9158…8b1ca05ad6…a78616f677…e707b0ab42…79c5e5b2c6…6f72b35873…683a40d3a6…1fd632368d…4eb5e9ab90…f07376cfe2…1b7b44b260…aac506b234…d638cf5d25…bf7ead620d…0329699d44…d34156bbc3…fd02b77ff0…b16038c784…50a99582a4…0721933fa7…b91adbf682…a33f75c672…caad754bbe…8028872fff…4351ae39fe…717b0d99e9…9d42d1bd9c…8d51706ca6…8c496fed01…16ff7227e2…e9e5b9ce47…77add80f3d…332977d990…59e52b3da0…eaf6352b63…cc0b2e3832…e18d45edc2…b616be6c12…90f84ff55e…91433b5e99…39b4f9fde2…bb7e9a4efe…3eeb5062e6…73493+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7631…805f | 417,631,476 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| b400…125f | 411,185,595 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 7e12…d29f | 418,730,568 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| d3d7…af5f | 421,032,843 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 4433…fdef | 425,162,214 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 9147…beff | 420,240,085 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 9049…6a47 | 415,687,300 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 7a85…309f | 427,283,502 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 4646…9e7f | 418,860,152 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| dfee…931f | 418,000,365 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 3133…f12f | 419,875,610 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 7d3c…33af | 417,145,688 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 2d96…239f | 420,998,164 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 7edf…a43f | 410,578,777 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 7c9a…c24f | 419,310,881 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| e7c4…2a4f | 421,215,749 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 4bd8…448f | 418,568,890 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 8640…40cf | 417,488,002 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 963f…4c9f | 418,956,614 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| bffd…a70f | 413,613,485 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| c3fd…71cf | 419,752,975 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 2abd…08ff | 419,345,285 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 370f…628f | 416,487,584 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 34fb…cc9f | 425,392,970 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 2ffc…4daf | 417,374,238 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 9bb4…c53f | 420,485,085 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| cca7…d76f | 425,865,318 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 8dd4…7bff | 417,033,836 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 8f31…fb9f | 422,365,346 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 419d…af4f | 426,759,848 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| ac1e…349f | 411,043,029 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 89ad…a88f | 412,112,909 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 76b5…9fff | 410,475,051 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 4524…e09f | 411,132,471 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 8b18…7e2f | 411,068,271 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 6958…782f | 416,500,987 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 8c69…5a5f | 416,493,272 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| b767…b98f | 410,185,129 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| c3ba…041f | 421,441,467 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| b7b6…91af | 416,482,948 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 2838…15cf | 419,236,403 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 9b15…509f | 419,771,265 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 73f9…493f | 421,929,725 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| b974…881f | 411,071,984 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 7a14…e0b9 | 421,188,139 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 74e9…e2af | 411,054,021 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 85b0…564f | 416,515,979 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| a456…90ff | 421,447,256 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 65d5…32af | 420,999,249 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 7026…123f | 420,641,781 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 2f76…3cef | 420,119,718 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 7ceb…7b6e | 416,478,078 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 66a4…43df | 415,645,270 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 9989…bfdf | 418,533,285 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| d138…62bf | 414,264,171 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 1925…d6bf | 409,853,185 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 67da…8bcf | 424,032,993 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 0c56…ab8f | 412,247,259 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| cb56…643f | 419,142,713 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |
| 2b36…d1bf | 421,929,327 | +30.0% | ✓ | 59 | replay |