│
Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
seed→fan-out(4)→all-buy
rejected: only 2.0x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 63% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
+23.7%
n=33 out-of-sample
Hit rate
63%
95 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+16.3% → +15.9%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.000
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+12.3% … +20.2%
Support95
OOS support33
MDL bits20
Case / control58422 / 57148
Motif size7n · 7e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 88
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | 4f4b8721e96712037d28250a3978e58bda25d552919328a660d0a1c7eda1a68c | 95% | 121 |
Other crews running this exact shape
16 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 10521 | 21 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 35 | +26.3% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 59 | 32 | +20.8% | — | view → |
| crew 15 | 83 | +18.1% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 213 | 21 | +17.2% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 270 | +16.0% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 47 | +15.0% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 152 | +14.8% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 2182 | +14.7% | — | view → |
| all | 70707 | +14.5% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 35 | +13.9% | — | view → |
| crew 6436 | 46 | +13.5% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 280 | +11.2% | — | view → |
| crew 314 | 28 | +7.9% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 47 | +5.2% | — | view → |
| crew 19519 | 25 | +0.0% | — | view → |
Crew 88
200 resolved wallets
acd19…1aabbe4b6d…bc0884f4b8…1a68c22cd0…03bf73742f…87f78f2b7d…41ed1707cb…b949fd8e0e…d6e0b4ca30…6011fc0531…742de1b34b…b46d6b9fc9…929ea64afc…a81153d256…9157af5a83…4a8a1ef626…9c1bcdbc8e…45fded9cad…4df88005fe…8229d50e4d…f1bc49f477…3eb5e771ff…6f84e83b44…f50f1b5528…eb42ea36eb…e31569807c…9f2a3d7adf…4dc5a585dc…da1bd1a9ef…a4edda8f42…8fdccab0b9…e0d8f74477…9cb61d3d9b…f97b1ec85d…4038fe1766…bf8d14b534…7683ad0537…c6473ab9cb…cac37d0e98…86b6793fb7…c5fce71873…718575a7c0…556e93d9af…0be70f604e…fb03440014…ee96a5420a…e2fcc68cbf…c63059fa6f…31b24d729f…c4ec65e211…fb1466613d…7008a113cf…8f499d4c18…502d429d4a…50f15a69d8…8398e5392f…190daf8dd8…907481ea50…f05091e1e6…6f68ec0f1e…9296cd21f4…cbca7f009a…fbee63c3f7…f1403d9803…889d2c4dcb…2f7ab10c65…8b7b0aa15d…87aaaaf6f1…2fdaca8af3…d86b63a46d…506460fb9c…43fae2c585…61b32e5895…1aa84b77b9…f78485fab1…ee1737b08b…01ee3c5b45…4bd3cc9d61…50d0f46d60…a0380aa3d3…65273+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2652…9ebf | 420,407,116 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 268e…3aef | 419,654,313 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 468e…cdaf | 423,226,958 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 72cf…c4df | 420,766,549 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| dc15…75bf | 422,243,676 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 7305…9dcf | 426,202,914 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 8814…7c1f | 416,214,511 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| b736…47ef | 416,776,703 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| b49f…d29f | 424,954,029 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 401a…054f | 414,658,016 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 275f…7c8f | 420,965,533 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 4773…4d5f | 422,987,379 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 7fd8…2def | 422,505,252 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 8060…edff | 427,305,431 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 2412…0ddf | 424,952,049 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 41b4…3a2f | 420,179,563 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 5edc…4bef | 427,260,398 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 5ede…597f | 419,287,602 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 3d54…dddf | 425,990,931 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 3d97…ad3f | 424,277,300 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 8ce0…2f0f | 427,334,979 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 41ad…c61f | 420,562,874 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 28ed…0fdf | 418,383,600 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 48ee…b2af | 413,990,939 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 268c…a15f | 416,261,522 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| d5bd…919f | 418,002,791 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 7515…eb3f | 416,494,349 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 2a77…2a8f | 424,952,797 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 5f72…aa3f | 418,396,373 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 5fe8…bb9f | 418,174,048 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 8a28…129f | 415,165,236 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 2dfa…b5cf | 418,834,377 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 3ec4…a6bf | 420,728,584 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| b786…e0af | 416,492,901 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 2a9f…e38f | 416,683,840 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 2b2b…02cf | 420,730,114 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 7418…f21f | 423,799,499 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 3f60…26ff | 418,188,664 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 2b98…62bf | 420,374,145 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 2bc2…e55f | 420,565,844 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| b844…cb8f | 421,027,108 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 4422…06ff | 413,683,580 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 2052…062f | 421,019,620 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| e1fa…d70f | 418,455,756 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 8cb9…45af | 420,365,641 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 4a67…f71f | 426,978,388 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 9149…b0df | 425,829,032 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 03c3…4e5f | 426,141,862 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 0459…546f | 424,943,364 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 44ea…861f | 418,633,243 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 7a58…279f | 426,285,896 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 9081…e8ef | 419,911,717 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 2e8f…f16f | 420,774,234 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 6436…530f | 419,234,780 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| f61a…003f | 420,981,300 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| d69d…b89f | 423,377,586 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| e371…830f | 420,819,565 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 64aa…8f3f | 423,778,223 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| 9022…988f | 413,988,501 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |
| bc5d…a31f | 424,894,757 | +30.0% | ✓ | 88 | replay |