│
Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
seed→fan-out(3)→all-buy
rejected: only 1.2x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 38% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
+0.0%
n=0 out-of-sample
Hit rate
38%
29 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+2.4% → +3.6%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.354
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-5.8% … +10.5%
Support29
OOS support0
MDL bits20
Case / control92173 / 89939
Motif size5n · 5e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 12477
Other crews running this exact shape
31 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 10521 | 48 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 8 | 15 | +25.7% | — | view → |
| crew 987 | 38 | +25.4% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 88 | 77 | +24.4% | — | view → |
| crew 226 | 15 | +24.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3029 | 16 | +23.2% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 36 | +23.1% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 4519 | 20 | +21.5% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 20 | 23 | +20.0% | — | view → |
| crew 6436 | 45 | +17.6% | — | view → |
| crew 213 | 21 | +16.2% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 178 | +15.5% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 55 | +15.0% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 260 | +14.9% | — | view → |
| crew 15 | 91 | +14.5% | — | view → |
| all | 115975 | +14.2% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 2308 | +14.1% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 53 | +13.5% | — | view → |
| crew 56 | 15 | +13.3% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 64 | +10.7% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 62 | +10.2% | — | view → |
| crew 1049 | 55 | +9.5% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 243 | +8.2% | — | view → |
| crew 2702 | 116 | +7.8% | — | view → |
| crew 306 | 17 | +2.3% | — | view → |
| crew 314 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3123 | 26 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 6494 | 23 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 15215 | 15 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 19519 | 20 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 19 | -20.0% | — | view → |
Crew 12477
4 resolved wallets
9d0b5…c8e53aac6c…e7474b3673…52dac20590…1cf75
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2354…7f9f | 410,636,581 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| fc80…feef | 411,838,965 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| b8d7…b18f | 412,300,837 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 421d…f70f | 416,284,533 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| b757…efcf | 413,151,604 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 29f3…64cf | 411,071,944 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 2b20…e6af | 412,985,205 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| e203…766f | 415,881,890 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 0010…0fdf | 413,160,192 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 4a0c…53df | 414,984,988 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| d034…2fbf | 415,153,469 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 86e4…b4ef | 416,881,451 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 7d89…2c2f | 416,259,333 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 34e8…abe6 | 411,364,570 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 9303…70af | 412,081,732 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 7de7…64af | 412,999,211 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| c50b…b03f | 416,065,136 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| c522…2e8f | 416,270,968 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 36cb…8f6f | 410,582,174 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 2fe1…9f4f | 416,943,599 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 7076…0515 | 411,241,628 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 13ea…9c4f | 410,365,289 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 41f4…967f | 410,819,758 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| a648…57ff | 411,285,064 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 668e…03df | 412,480,443 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 939a…2c2f | 411,004,691 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 892a…23df | 411,016,601 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 493b…fa5f | 416,908,565 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 4ae0…7fdf | 412,327,117 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 76cf…626f | 416,290,557 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 7332…772f | 412,305,273 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 2748…0b9f | 416,279,601 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| bf2c…afa3 | 411,256,283 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| b572…1c3f | 413,001,225 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 5b82…925f | 416,039,695 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 9fa1…6e80 | 411,364,010 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 629b…0aaf | 413,795,847 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 8092…690f | 414,039,118 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 7dfa…fcef | 413,365,552 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| d547…072f | 411,480,967 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| a879…e0cf | 411,070,680 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| a0ff…d32f | 412,757,451 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 7c3f…bdff | 411,713,108 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 1068…1c5f | 412,766,125 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 81ab…bc1f | 411,022,345 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 116f…c0df | 416,730,535 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 9265…622f | 416,247,108 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 2222…3bcf | 411,019,048 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| ab9c…21bf | 413,152,157 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 3766…281f | 411,480,593 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| b0bf…52ef | 410,579,502 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 3cdb…d68f | 413,377,745 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 2040…726f | 416,460,800 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| f4f8…c04f | 416,722,001 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 80c5…1c0f | 411,718,265 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| aec0…ccbf | 412,726,569 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| c90d…03df | 412,721,619 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 2a6a…023f | 416,094,835 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| a0ee…8edf | 411,027,797 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |
| 097c…3ddf | 410,851,825 | +30.0% | ✓ | 12477 | replay |