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Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0
rule detail

seed→fan-out(3)→all-buy

rejected: only 1.9x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 60% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)

rulesrejectedcrew 151 anchor
OOS effect
+14.5%
n=43 out-of-sample
Hit rate
60%
91 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+15.5% → +15.1%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.000
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
transfertransferbuy@pumpfunpumpfbuy@pumpfunpumpfbuy@pumpfunpumpfwwwwT
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+11.4% … +19.5%
Support91
OOS support43
MDL bits20
Case / control92173 / 89939
Motif size5n · 5e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 15
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
NodeRoleAddressInvarianceSupport
w0wallet0d584a4cbbfd9a4878d816512894e65918e54fae13df39a6f520fc90caea2fb099%132
Other crews running this exact shape
31 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
crew 1052148+30.0%—view →
crew 815+25.7%—view →
crew 98738+25.4%✓view →
crew 8877+24.4%—view →
crew 22615+24.0%—view →
crew 302916+23.2%—view →
crew 11336+23.1%✓view →
crew 451920+21.5%✓view →
crew 2023+20.0%—view →
crew 643645+17.6%—view →
crew 21321+16.2%—view →
crew 21178+15.5%—view →
crew 5955+15.0%—view →
crew 6260+14.9%—view →
all115975+14.2%—view →
crew 132308+14.1%—view →
crew 4053+13.5%—view →
crew 5615+13.3%—view →
crew 3464+10.7%—view →
crew 5562+10.2%—view →
crew 104955+9.5%—view →
crew 68243+8.2%—view →
crew 2702116+7.8%—view →
crew 30617+2.3%—view →
crew 31417+0.0%—view →
crew 312326+0.0%—view →
crew 649423+0.0%—view →
crew 1247729+0.0%—view →
crew 1521515+0.0%—view →
crew 1951920+0.0%—view →
crew 1219-20.0%—view →
Crew 15
200 resolved wallets
0d584…a2fb092fa6…0df53ad007…c84a7cb3a9…fff3d64b27…d5671c00b2…0b750912ab…031362c1a7…698efdbd4a…dede75129b…15484147ad…f9a05692b8…04d5a021c5…a3698e828e…63cccef344…0e66103d9c…97ca238cab…e3252a3586…ad1cc40788…0d98add49c…4ecd757d5c…9129138e45…4bf71303ef…cee9d7f39b…6002cab50b…54358f60ef…824679b3c3…584684149c…b4adc71380…3b5b2051fb…640c873678…8ce1b6ec63…460e9d4a52…a77626f16f…fc67519344…2b6d6486a2…c161258383…34c99cb4ac…cf051f7690…20576bd1f5…52c3c21cb1…e542c8753f…4a10f71514…177e6d1ab7…639959a860…950101768a…2b5ec64381…0c184713cb…6edc1bcb49…47e3a5f840…93fb5d1c5d…bceefb7a0f…94bff677f0…b8bf9b7f47…19652ffa9a…1e0a1ee5c5…e93b93cebc…83da6c0834…b34d9b3ec7…deedbca259…cac3e7107c…4a81135e64…bbacfe1b21…d6ffefdf23…72fb93ed83…d052862b63…cceb8d7e37…e6356516a3…f148f6c08a…222ac1b237…e26e702f8e…6517500e20…04e9ec1b3b…7ac361a5d1…21b407a920…c30851b0bc…420a5eb534…6648308765…1477241614…5266420aa1…94368+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
c8fc…4b2f421,265,714+30.0%✓15 replay
fde6…610f426,012,434+30.0%✓15 replay
ceba…823f421,714,164+30.0%✓15 replay
b702…536f412,799,949+30.0%✓15 replay
dc6f…c75f416,487,273+30.0%✓15 replay
3f88…ab4f418,374,922+30.0%✓15 replay
4049…06df423,910,341+30.0%✓15 replay
d2cb…980f419,124,377+30.0%✓15 replay
72ef…6d6f426,881,276+30.0%✓15 replay
2771…c0bf427,309,638+30.0%✓15 replay
27f7…543f423,477,771+30.0%✓15 replay
8843…e47f420,637,940+30.0%✓15 replay
b687…e04f424,905,614+30.0%✓15 replay
b692…aa4f416,246,119+30.0%✓15 replay
7a13…e0af413,901,820+30.0%✓15 replay
c9fd…ccff416,290,831+30.0%✓15 replay
283a…903f413,658,202+30.0%✓15 replay
482e…070f414,711,250+30.0%✓15 replay
89f7…e3af418,684,477+30.0%✓15 replay
74f9…f44f426,556,584+30.0%✓15 replay
252e…8abf417,949,029+30.0%✓15 replay
c465…8fef424,264,165+30.0%✓15 replay
f1d5…f6df425,150,251+30.0%✓15 replay
b5fb…745f425,199,873+30.0%✓15 replay
b61d…302f416,766,030+30.0%✓15 replay
40fc…140f427,302,048+30.0%✓15 replay
4a20…824f423,582,056+30.0%✓15 replay
de51…c60f412,765,783+30.0%✓15 replay
de53…075f413,394,511+30.0%✓15 replay
3e66…de1f419,460,343+30.0%✓15 replay
29e5…de9f412,564,018+30.0%✓15 replay
471d…e79f425,080,596+30.0%✓15 replay
e1eb…453f414,361,920+30.0%✓15 replay
2c68…713f415,657,262+30.0%✓15 replay
0219…2bff413,669,564+30.0%✓15 replay
b71e…367f412,684,570+30.0%✓15 replay
b78e…38ef420,089,140+30.0%✓15 replay
4276…e18f416,746,054+30.0%✓15 replay
3f08…d0ff413,355,984+30.0%✓15 replay
6e09…d4af423,854,867+30.0%✓15 replay
d7d0…a74f419,575,722+30.0%✓15 replay
4b92…ff7f410,126,298+30.0%✓15 replay
4bcd…a2cf413,198,909+30.0%✓15 replay
8c7c…9ccf419,364,895+30.0%✓15 replay
4369…b36f415,393,229+30.0%✓15 replay
bad2…f73f413,890,016+30.0%✓15 replay
c731…4fff416,315,026+30.0%✓15 replay
d782…173f416,282,956+30.0%✓15 replay
9874…638f416,591,143+30.0%✓15 replay
993a…7ccf414,629,804+30.0%✓15 replay
9302…7b4f416,931,146+30.0%✓15 replay
930c…863f426,114,586+30.0%✓15 replay
4e86…7a6f410,832,714+30.0%✓15 replay
e039…5c8f425,570,273+30.0%✓15 replay
488c…d78f422,061,283+30.0%✓15 replay
1613…e3ae413,817,374+30.0%✓15 replay
163d…7f1f425,569,741+30.0%✓15 replay
71fd…131f420,593,252+30.0%✓15 replay
6011…217f421,716,949+30.0%✓15 replay
8fc1…6ccf425,584,560+30.0%✓15 replay