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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
seed→fan-out(3)→all-buy
rejected: only 1.5x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 47% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
+17.6%
n=30 out-of-sample
Hit rate
47%
45 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+10.3% → +10.2%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.002
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+4.0% … +16.7%
Support45
OOS support30
MDL bits20
Case / control92173 / 89939
Motif size5n · 5e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 6436
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | 0a23daf1c19d7ec4af404aa6cd3896d71d5fac2623065f5964ea75462ce5d52c | 100% | 75 |
Other crews running this exact shape
31 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 10521 | 48 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 8 | 15 | +25.7% | — | view → |
| crew 987 | 38 | +25.4% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 88 | 77 | +24.4% | — | view → |
| crew 226 | 15 | +24.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3029 | 16 | +23.2% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 36 | +23.1% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 4519 | 20 | +21.5% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 20 | 23 | +20.0% | — | view → |
| crew 213 | 21 | +16.2% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 178 | +15.5% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 55 | +15.0% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 260 | +14.9% | — | view → |
| crew 15 | 91 | +14.5% | — | view → |
| all | 115975 | +14.2% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 2308 | +14.1% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 53 | +13.5% | — | view → |
| crew 56 | 15 | +13.3% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 64 | +10.7% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 62 | +10.2% | — | view → |
| crew 1049 | 55 | +9.5% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 243 | +8.2% | — | view → |
| crew 2702 | 116 | +7.8% | — | view → |
| crew 306 | 17 | +2.3% | — | view → |
| crew 314 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3123 | 26 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 6494 | 23 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 12477 | 29 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 15215 | 15 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 19519 | 20 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 19 | -20.0% | — | view → |
Crew 6436
12 resolved wallets
0a23d…5d52c6ea31…86b8455285…52b3604ae0…86ae3e8aac…45d90095f3…170dc1eb9f…61842b783e…c2e9abec28…518601bda2…ad09d67c4f…0e656126f4…72578
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| fe42…facf | 418,860,084 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 3f24…642f | 422,609,004 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 3b23…f2ff | 418,406,234 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 5d4b…9fbf | 418,403,218 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| cf4f…8f9f | 421,137,284 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| b635…04df | 423,892,262 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| b463…3fff | 420,470,318 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 8cde…1faf | 423,536,314 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 72b6…7aff | 416,604,808 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 3dd7…c5ff | 421,542,742 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 950f…2f1f | 415,522,642 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 8e6d…d4af | 418,132,741 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 42de…9d7f | 423,124,016 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 8283…2c0f | 418,116,120 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 7717…f00f | 427,672,531 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 438f…c06f | 417,948,783 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| c6dd…e74f | 423,352,048 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| d3f6…cedf | 423,910,413 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 8438…1f5f | 426,494,015 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 7526…213f | 422,015,850 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 5cc8…804f | 420,506,737 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| ba09…cd3f | 414,295,469 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 4648…da5f | 410,709,352 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 21e2…599f | 423,827,535 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 76a1…395f | 423,553,169 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| e28b…f05f | 410,738,484 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| e30f…a08f | 421,564,077 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 2e60…c1ff | 417,281,717 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 634b…799f | 425,695,991 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| bdaa…e7cf | 415,304,497 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 054c…8e4f | 425,578,359 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 4f34…3c6f | 427,235,656 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 7791…148f | 411,797,988 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 821e…4d9f | 423,124,955 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 8f01…771f | 417,265,512 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| d297…ffdf | 423,349,280 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 449c…e23f | 420,720,693 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 2fec…e26f | 423,061,503 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 9259…791f | 418,525,559 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 79c7…72cf | 420,964,308 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 30c9…9bdf | 417,459,962 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| c00c…8b2f | 414,821,786 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 3208…acef | 418,348,335 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 629e…ea5f | 420,296,668 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| c22b…c46f | 416,602,030 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| d559…33df | 419,042,143 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 9cf4…23ff | 427,037,822 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| bfa3…5bbf | 419,030,347 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 94ee…482f | 422,486,193 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 637f…c95f | 421,994,118 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 9f03…16df | 418,394,086 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| fc58…d8df | 410,690,637 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 099b…f22f | 420,968,184 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 96c8…267f | 416,199,425 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 8d52…1fef | 427,248,971 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| c119…280f | 418,394,453 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 9977…6aef | 418,330,785 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 80d9…f12f | 409,855,289 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 4a46…a51f | 422,655,016 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 9dc3…ffaf | 421,959,690 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |