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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
seed→fan-out(3)→all-buy
rejected: only 0.8x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 27% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
+13.3%
n=12 out-of-sample
Hit rate
27%
15 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
-3.0% → +0.9%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.759
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-14.5% … +8.6%
Support15
OOS support12
MDL bits20
Case / control92173 / 89939
Motif size5n · 5e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 56
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | 9f52cfc2fe433ed2ed0ebb691a160ebc6cf18d38338c390b7daef75ebede8311 | 100% | 27 |
Other crews running this exact shape
31 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 10521 | 48 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 8 | 15 | +25.7% | — | view → |
| crew 987 | 38 | +25.4% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 88 | 77 | +24.4% | — | view → |
| crew 226 | 15 | +24.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3029 | 16 | +23.2% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 36 | +23.1% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 4519 | 20 | +21.5% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 20 | 23 | +20.0% | — | view → |
| crew 6436 | 45 | +17.6% | — | view → |
| crew 213 | 21 | +16.2% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 178 | +15.5% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 55 | +15.0% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 260 | +14.9% | — | view → |
| crew 15 | 91 | +14.5% | — | view → |
| all | 115975 | +14.2% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 2308 | +14.1% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 53 | +13.5% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 64 | +10.7% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 62 | +10.2% | — | view → |
| crew 1049 | 55 | +9.5% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 243 | +8.2% | — | view → |
| crew 2702 | 116 | +7.8% | — | view → |
| crew 306 | 17 | +2.3% | — | view → |
| crew 314 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3123 | 26 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 6494 | 23 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 12477 | 29 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 15215 | 15 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 19519 | 20 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 19 | -20.0% | — | view → |
Crew 56
200 resolved wallets
9f52c…e8311b9c18…6ca6a7a5fc…2bb3d4b045…1a1783c916…ededefdcf7…c201f178b5…90ba552e20…f7bb6bc556…4161cf27c4…c32173a876…56faaa5af4…59594f48ed…7f8c85c3fa…2e4bb1a06c…6c25ae26fa…a5b81f1499…2ccc04e014…8418115100…12f2a051ee…4ee076e281…36ab5bfb4a…f266ab50a1…1dda13394c…3a7d6f03d9…3175eae3d3…e31fa49a80…b4a5f5e9a0…13aced175b…d8effdde26…005e98a279…28b5bbde50…5e09b90799…5ba34dfdc1…ef5199643b…8fce272310…8232ac0a9e…e34eb8de9a…c6835cfd3c…df644a99c1…6ea6428fa9…d93f3254ab…6995f18598…3bd04b34de…83e143fd39…6a28feac15…6f9a90d5f8…2d254a373d…6edcb3e39a…a559c39136…027a0573e0…88d588b0ea…ea70b67cdd…775e373964…4776610522…779393b526…2f2ef647b6…bc00d5a072…a2b14842fa…7325866bd5…5cc3e4e087…2db56777ce…0868c8771b…1710050f21…81f6ac6bd3…fcfd884173…9cd4940524…0f172d675e…2412ade0ec…c62a82e689…0052748b06…ad6d7c6309…caa0019a8f…239306ecb1…9ea7caf1d7…caa63b5d9a…53387fec11…64a3f060ea…df44d0f163…0432d30d01…edd20+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ce58…8e0f | 418,482,920 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| fc13…ebef | 426,022,996 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| ca96…486f | 421,614,765 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| da2d…2f8f | 424,144,143 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 29cf…75ef | 422,529,184 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 9841…d12f | 424,940,518 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 23a4…a7bf | 417,378,224 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| f7e4…e7bf | 425,080,162 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| bd35…6fef | 417,083,789 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 9252…eddf | 417,374,644 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| e3d8…9eaf | 426,380,506 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 480b…a41f | 423,339,190 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 983b…ebff | 416,212,196 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| ea82…498f | 427,160,868 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 805f…090f | 424,350,282 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 0ae2…661f | 426,920,520 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 9987…cd1f | 416,079,287 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| a30b…1f9f | 423,694,491 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 8235…413f | 426,017,417 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 9d9e…5fff | 427,118,382 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 8a9b…e65f | 424,273,082 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| a358…a51f | 425,072,935 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 64c6…858f | 425,004,203 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 90d0…0a1f | 423,361,763 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 159d…e33f | 416,968,644 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 950f…858f | 420,345,964 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| b6bc…d6bf | 425,135,355 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 11f3…72cf | 425,061,790 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 2359…fecf | 424,473,595 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| c43b…86ff | 423,426,015 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 988c…35cf | 424,508,586 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 859b…b1ef | 423,600,296 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 5e6d…591f | 426,021,058 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 97b4…baff | 423,426,130 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 9e03…7dcf | 419,450,949 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 2fb9…74ef | 418,388,965 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 09ee…897f | 410,409,977 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 7cd3…e8ff | 425,326,133 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| b7de…eccf | 418,221,492 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 2e5d…be7f | 424,963,318 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 4d43…eb1f | 423,900,701 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| cf4b…c11f | 419,656,560 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| a879…6bef | 423,615,784 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 196d…e51f | 424,723,485 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 3011…be3f | 421,937,608 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 3b49…896f | 418,816,424 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 0398…81bf | 423,686,060 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| edb5…07bf | 425,138,270 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| ee3f…8a8f | 427,320,896 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| c379…d9ff | 423,282,782 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 3bfd…87df | 427,313,860 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| b9fd…f1af | 419,681,810 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 1fce…5b5f | 420,356,358 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 741f…4f7f | 427,238,124 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 081d…460f | 422,318,670 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| a6fd…ddaf | 419,935,211 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 0aff…11ec | 427,134,594 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| be48…dddf | 425,203,711 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| bfa7…b75f | 425,570,567 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 3dcc…846f | 417,027,081 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |