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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
seed→fan-out(3)→all-buy
rejected: only 0.8x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 25% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
+8.2%
n=56 out-of-sample
Hit rate
25%
243 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
-1.6% → -1.3%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.940
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-4.1% … +1.0%
Support243
OOS support56
MDL bits20
Case / control92173 / 89939
Motif size5n · 5e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 68
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | 0ab973e44b3ba676ba475be6d05ab62c41d437a1710930e2c6a9602a333cb564 | 100% | 299 |
Other crews running this exact shape
31 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 10521 | 48 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 8 | 15 | +25.7% | — | view → |
| crew 987 | 38 | +25.4% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 88 | 77 | +24.4% | — | view → |
| crew 226 | 15 | +24.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3029 | 16 | +23.2% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 36 | +23.1% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 4519 | 20 | +21.5% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 20 | 23 | +20.0% | — | view → |
| crew 6436 | 45 | +17.6% | — | view → |
| crew 213 | 21 | +16.2% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 178 | +15.5% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 55 | +15.0% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 260 | +14.9% | — | view → |
| crew 15 | 91 | +14.5% | — | view → |
| all | 115975 | +14.2% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 2308 | +14.1% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 53 | +13.5% | — | view → |
| crew 56 | 15 | +13.3% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 64 | +10.7% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 62 | +10.2% | — | view → |
| crew 1049 | 55 | +9.5% | — | view → |
| crew 2702 | 116 | +7.8% | — | view → |
| crew 306 | 17 | +2.3% | — | view → |
| crew 314 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3123 | 26 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 6494 | 23 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 12477 | 29 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 15215 | 15 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 19519 | 20 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 19 | -20.0% | — | view → |
Crew 68
200 resolved wallets
087de…58d1e16237…1b2930ab97…cb564b3dae…48191e9e8c…c062cad500…44be39becf…5b44af18c1…0e0406b757…2439fdcac7…929aa7758b…8e3108af89…5568ba01e7…6dddce194b…91128f6f54…77b3584bac…5cd6bcffd9…c8b8c4e49b…a02662ee8d…8fb8b2122a…1780903337…4eaf05338d…27e56fadf7…7656958160…8c0a9cbf0a…850f462789…10eec7e22c…2cece46ec4…2013d08de3…4fdddebb3a…49f5fb20c5…81d869304a…e40a497c23…4ffdf66432…2d4d0e632a…9aa9050dd4…cab1110d65…4e23410748…4f6a5f472d…3745a53092…3fd2bddce1…037e6002cc…198fe15bb2…03252d38d1…1ecf3f15d2…ecf5b391fa…2d93a45003…a7e7146732…4df27c80f0…5bdf23d44c…691a5675f7…093a2180b8…dff942678f…b23cffffab…cd90c2b9d0…4692e38e94…766596c03b…9e064399dc…a854da0564…086b6ee47a…e14ab5cee9…d12a9f9a1a…b0c3767e70…e70151c138…8a4b3355bd…ab5b65d7ca…a668196a06…32be4c6e35…8683961e17…b587758e3d…73c2bab785…f3a64683fe…0ae66e6a03…10e928b9cc…cfac2fec09…c7ed9583f5…a69bee2632…73ba195bf5…f5b0ff0397…3f4b232e17…51bc0+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88b8…81bf | 414,613,987 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 90cd…029f | 411,439,919 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 58cd…a4bf | 419,627,779 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| d2d1…601f | 419,888,526 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| ddd1…849f | 418,646,628 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 3fc7…95ef | 424,737,818 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 3f7a…c96f | 416,835,187 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| d7ca…5caf | 424,383,940 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 7365…cf3f | 418,532,244 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 483c…59df | 425,375,840 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 223a…d2df | 427,558,440 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 4b97…723f | 421,763,167 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| e3cf…8e0f | 410,355,835 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| e611…7b5f | 420,140,860 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 92bb…22af | 410,802,678 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 8d22…4b1f | 425,682,111 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 7c42…863f | 427,307,855 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 71b9…8a5f | 411,327,000 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 4731…3d3f | 422,463,916 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 8ef7…470f | 421,336,001 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 863b…bd3f | 412,193,331 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 0a34…744f | 410,125,243 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 5b29…271f | 424,447,661 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| c79e…2a5f | 425,407,585 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 9a14…abef | 413,586,375 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 97bb…fbaf | 422,693,621 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 09f1…1a3f | 427,561,555 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 855f…30ef | 420,977,130 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| f409…3f3f | 412,316,723 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 11fa…a00f | 411,982,397 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| e7e6…eabf | 419,181,638 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| c0a4…453f | 425,144,268 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 963e…8d3f | 427,019,597 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 7165…6d6f | 423,929,004 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 242f…6c1f | 427,121,432 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 4918…a03f | 418,525,916 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| c2d0…2b8f | 419,107,114 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 6dc9…9695 | 410,373,717 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 99fc…156f | 416,582,984 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 1215…372f | 419,939,840 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 5a1c…3e6f | 419,257,346 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 55ec…385f | 421,334,039 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 35fb…52af | 410,923,756 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| bd91…19cf | 410,403,865 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 4518…1fdf | 409,893,553 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| eebc…51bf | 426,723,112 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| a415…381f | 426,596,024 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| c9ff…183f | 424,514,672 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 2939…a0ff | 418,863,971 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 0bf0…0ebf | 425,635,678 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| c61f…097f | 412,023,565 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 4a9d…42bf | 424,800,112 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 7a03…526f | 410,571,368 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 3be2…8bcf | 426,595,907 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 1c34…dcbf | 418,510,863 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 3512…9a4f | 424,449,631 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| d1db…529f | 419,441,745 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 4309…999f | 425,911,602 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 5592…d8af | 425,647,402 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 9aa7…796f | 416,582,294 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |