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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
seed→fan-out(3)→all-buy
rejected: only 1.9x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 62% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
+16.2%
n=47 out-of-sample
Hit rate
62%
21 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+20.1% → +18.9%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.000
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+14.1% … +26.1%
Support21
OOS support47
MDL bits20
Case / control92173 / 89939
Motif size5n · 5e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 213
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | 95625f434303f5139f0e112bf9da0acc3488446483b81b63e2c1166eedd93cdb | 97% | 66 |
Other crews running this exact shape
31 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 10521 | 48 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 8 | 15 | +25.7% | — | view → |
| crew 987 | 38 | +25.4% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 88 | 77 | +24.4% | — | view → |
| crew 226 | 15 | +24.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3029 | 16 | +23.2% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 36 | +23.1% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 4519 | 20 | +21.5% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 20 | 23 | +20.0% | — | view → |
| crew 6436 | 45 | +17.6% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 178 | +15.5% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 55 | +15.0% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 260 | +14.9% | — | view → |
| crew 15 | 91 | +14.5% | — | view → |
| all | 115975 | +14.2% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 2308 | +14.1% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 53 | +13.5% | — | view → |
| crew 56 | 15 | +13.3% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 64 | +10.7% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 62 | +10.2% | — | view → |
| crew 1049 | 55 | +9.5% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 243 | +8.2% | — | view → |
| crew 2702 | 116 | +7.8% | — | view → |
| crew 306 | 17 | +2.3% | — | view → |
| crew 314 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3123 | 26 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 6494 | 23 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 12477 | 29 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 15215 | 15 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 19519 | 20 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 19 | -20.0% | — | view → |
Crew 213
200 resolved wallets
f2cd3…f27e3db166…5758895625…93cdbec89f…b68551d850…a6de7efc5f…6aebf09dea…5f4a8f55f4…2284020942…184d95fc1e…51272aed45…909a318791…39576c382b…1c16bcbdf5…73f62bdd29…06d963cdc2…d3f316eec9…b01e539a74…78def30a96…50fc52a904…79a592570e…3b67badc10…b0edc76a44…6f185d29ea…0cc2cbc810…8a0d3b52a5…d7ed3ab68b…288356b687…299af1e66b…400f85dbb5…5a5dbef5ed…fd3d7dedca…bf925a88a1…dd94d831d1…d285359800…ef03b783c7…9db3df9d15…a3e9c047de…42355e5f4a…c02bdb4d5a…a4d593a05b…76ec72351b…77e0af3df5…280cfabcdf…65d30375a4…b9cb27631d…68be14f0f0…0501214af8…9606582295…af6c2b0f59…4f5b77d554…b8fee0e234…20192ae911…11bd78c40f…a7913923ac…c9d4026a23…330e311b7e…a59f0b86a0…35796781ac…83912fc2a0…cc9beccabe…6a8d742bcb…02266cdfd2…7e7e764342…d0ee018b72…c1e2b44ace…df03b9b5de…f5d90f4aa2…e2471fdcd4…fb9021fc7c…d4ec71b907…60dad8dbcf…89c1f03435…a6738b37b2…48171a61b6…a5a017a3f0…46443a831a…5980ed3bec…cec0296936…44f681a22d…d692a+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f16…785f | 426,226,096 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 6f72…6a4f | 425,921,579 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 3b3b…32af | 420,749,696 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 3b50…57ff | 426,904,416 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 5cda…5f4f | 423,358,190 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 3b5d…9d5f | 417,589,884 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 3f91…d14f | 423,693,301 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| b2cb…b4df | 424,547,900 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 7501…9eff | 422,487,064 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 2958…ed4f | 422,214,351 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 45e0…f75f | 425,817,826 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 46d4…ad2f | 418,692,287 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 1d9f…7e0f | 417,790,187 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 3e6c…f03f | 423,703,272 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| b94f…319f | 419,288,477 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 9599…728f | 424,923,177 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| b77c…3c2f | 423,716,114 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 8bac…af7f | 426,472,945 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 2f01…ac7f | 427,447,712 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 2c48…56ef | 422,538,260 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 844b…e76f | 419,948,126 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 84a6…caff | 418,675,135 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 8eda…c77f | 426,036,194 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 6fd3…372f | 422,384,531 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 2d9b…3b1f | 426,047,354 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| cfec…d92f | 426,156,188 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| d57b…fc8f | 424,934,522 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 2ca7…6b07 | 423,325,891 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 8f69…8a4f | 425,834,560 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 4660…e80f | 418,275,274 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 4662…503f | 427,531,612 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 8699…e34f | 427,589,728 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 7bca…1a8f | 422,631,643 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 2268…3e8f | 427,542,369 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 9a66…2fef | 414,736,692 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 93e5…d16f | 424,317,277 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| bc59…ec5f | 426,443,832 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 47b5…2c1f | 426,952,667 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| d799…825f | 427,354,721 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 3109…6acf | 427,350,466 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 23f1…9aaf | 418,097,416 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 941e…fdef | 415,140,923 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 4546…59af | 422,226,696 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 60bf…644f | 427,593,632 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| c010…ca8f | 419,986,665 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 901d…280f | 426,041,405 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 45e8…9eef | 419,781,709 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 9355…f20f | 424,924,139 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 3356…2951 | 419,826,528 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 5115…bbaf | 418,061,081 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| bbfc…326f | 426,878,520 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 9519…0d3f | 417,172,248 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 8529…ec8f | 417,767,823 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 90ae…0586 | 420,392,675 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| d4e9…81bf | 423,531,751 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 94bc…50bf | 423,938,358 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 5378…209f | 424,321,788 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 870d…caef | 422,433,061 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 36b6…6f6f | 422,404,984 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 95c0…b48f | 426,089,326 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |