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Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
seed→fan-out(3)→all-buy
rejected: OOS n=8 < floor 10 (too few out-of-sample occurrences) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
+24.0%
n=8 out-of-sample
Hit rate
80%
15 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+22.6% → +20.3%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.000
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+14.8% … +30.4%
Support15
OOS support8
MDL bits20
Case / control92173 / 89939
Motif size5n · 5e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 226
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | 8749c49afc0faa1a7d22c4fe52af0970ae477b16d2e118bfc0ee55633a91d3fa | 100% | 23 |
Other crews running this exact shape
31 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 10521 | 48 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 8 | 15 | +25.7% | — | view → |
| crew 987 | 38 | +25.4% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 88 | 77 | +24.4% | — | view → |
| crew 3029 | 16 | +23.2% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 36 | +23.1% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 4519 | 20 | +21.5% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 20 | 23 | +20.0% | — | view → |
| crew 6436 | 45 | +17.6% | — | view → |
| crew 213 | 21 | +16.2% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 178 | +15.5% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 55 | +15.0% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 260 | +14.9% | — | view → |
| crew 15 | 91 | +14.5% | — | view → |
| all | 115975 | +14.2% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 2308 | +14.1% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 53 | +13.5% | — | view → |
| crew 56 | 15 | +13.3% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 64 | +10.7% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 62 | +10.2% | — | view → |
| crew 1049 | 55 | +9.5% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 243 | +8.2% | — | view → |
| crew 2702 | 116 | +7.8% | — | view → |
| crew 306 | 17 | +2.3% | — | view → |
| crew 314 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 3123 | 26 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 6494 | 23 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 12477 | 29 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 15215 | 15 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 19519 | 20 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 19 | -20.0% | — | view → |
Crew 226
200 resolved wallets
be3fe…eab4b8749c…1d3faefac7…25b0cc08f3…b5852f5a16…2aab847253…52fe7641c2…660b616e4f…fe2ac7d0ee…d36a03e6e8…79e7c32a6b…a9d034168a…590caac83b…beee5784a3…fdc2c0f244…634058788c…4691142604…dd38429127…2c67e6538e…85bcdb7489…052be70179…6a590e869c…6ea9006483…08cfa70891…1d3868738b…b3fe2cf5fb…1c90ac0347…e5dd37fe5c…c06a52ec31…8733026836…c7cce4feeb…f8d8024e94…a0b4c28ac8…2ad16334fd…65e4041f4e…dd6184177f…153f189cd6…477ff79997…41bf6361f9…4c0e54fe98…b3ff76216e…f5c922e618…55e3de6507…e8ebb4e789…033a0befa3…3b4b12bb8e…f22044b909…a7d06a108a…7c69ce212a…cb96e599de…2734b5ecfe…707385440e…20730bbc73…608b4fef55…51a6f7f98e…5616f078c3…ad439a2d90…725f548451…758fc3ea3b…583827b880…57e7c143a8…ff57e6eaf0…086903aec8…a8ea6d054f…5436d39f24…aee0f1b1cd…1ac21cef9e…3a6d7f0da2…934360452d…997a1613e8…fa790f009c…f012cd1832…32e4fbd9ff…b243ab6131…92c5e19e13…aedd7c76f3…88de100666…b70f1811cb…8f3cfd6e7a…dd4ebc3690…2b320+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 900d…654f | 427,376,306 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 2381…0d0f | 422,577,795 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| deb7…48ef | 415,781,825 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| dcff…d12f | 425,688,895 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 2cf2…4a8f | 427,442,744 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 8d9c…638f | 416,065,648 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| dbe7…fb1f | 415,274,467 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 7e94…6e3f | 427,189,000 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 40ce…e65f | 412,524,066 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| bb17…9d4f | 421,578,308 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 8781…063f | 415,592,095 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 22c6…596f | 426,837,140 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 16b4…8f7f | 412,683,660 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 936c…760f | 424,267,027 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 802a…af4f | 413,266,987 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| fe1f…4b9f | 427,591,635 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 9a06…bc7f | 420,682,357 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 87a3…a9df | 425,016,174 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 8a05…59ef | 426,690,858 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 3365…9d1f | 412,687,398 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 145f…d54f | 419,112,102 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 14da…d57f | 419,030,745 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 44ff…474f | 426,654,005 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 7a58…10df | 426,323,817 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| f34d…e9ff | 423,562,734 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 23e1…892f | 423,985,713 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 30ad…013f | 416,412,184 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| e8f3…039f | 418,579,444 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 7497…251f | 427,401,803 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 286e…132f | 426,009,862 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 5d3b…f49f | 425,569,052 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| c8b2…e9ff | 417,539,608 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| a563…4bff | 411,771,029 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 44c3…7c6f | 419,961,785 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 9f7e…da7f | 426,844,055 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 7d32…69af | 427,061,341 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 57b2…75ff | 424,100,465 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 8268…aaff | 412,002,968 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| c9da…cc3f | 420,142,060 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| ed45…a03f | 419,208,762 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 631b…597f | 414,126,684 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| cd08…01bf | 410,656,084 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 33cf…4e6f | 412,687,862 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 79a6…e65f | 425,117,459 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| d350…ce2f | 426,356,000 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 7dd3…baff | 425,420,931 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 4066…4b3f | 413,969,396 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 6cbe…889f | 425,160,121 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 373f…4d5f | 427,505,387 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| da6b…c68f | 426,694,904 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| d69f…daff | 424,997,692 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 570c…ddcf | 413,454,180 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| f78f…6bff | 422,696,589 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 13a0…353f | 410,366,418 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 9c63…af8f | 420,689,686 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 5bcb…65cf | 418,047,141 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 7ee5…3eef | 421,550,426 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 6ae9…084f | 425,253,046 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| 5e83…331f | 412,689,140 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |
| adab…bc9f | 426,642,676 | +30.0% | ✓ | 226 | replay |