│
Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
seed→fan-out(3)→all-buy
rejected: only 0.0x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 0% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
-4.1%
n=11 out-of-sample
Hit rate
0%
17 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+2.4% → +3.5%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.326
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
Loading...
Motif
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-5.0% … +9.8%
Support17
OOS support11
MDL bits20
Case / control59398 / 60973
Motif size6n · 6e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 2702
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | 137531766853f05bf736dcb2c9f319c0374734ff0b5b55192bf72992217a910e | 86% | 24 |
Other crews running this exact shape
18 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 10521 | 20 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 35 | +26.3% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 88 | 92 | +26.2% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 33 | +20.8% | — | view → |
| crew 15 | 82 | +17.9% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 213 | 19 | +17.1% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 45 | +15.9% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 257 | +15.6% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 150 | +15.4% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 31 | +14.5% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 2096 | +14.2% | — | view → |
| all | 73179 | +14.1% | — | view → |
| crew 6436 | 50 | +13.8% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 271 | +9.9% | — | view → |
| crew 314 | 29 | +7.9% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 48 | +5.2% | — | view → |
| crew 15806 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 19519 | 23 | +0.0% | — | view → |
Crew 2702
6 resolved wallets
f6c13…a68a80c927…6208ca6449…89ccc20210…57f8713753…a910ea389e…bf543
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42df…600f | 416,228,945 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2702 | replay |
| 895c…56ef | 425,994,698 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2702 | replay |
| 5fbe…768f | 419,070,120 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2702 | replay |
| 82d3…56ff | 419,497,277 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2702 | replay |
| 2c88…0bbf | 426,833,572 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2702 | replay |
| 2e03…a7ef | 424,465,304 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2702 | replay |
| 0ba5…243f | 426,228,270 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2702 | replay |
| 9893…c1ff | 418,405,415 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2702 | replay |
| 1729…90af | 410,563,590 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2702 | replay |
| a7cd…164f | 417,941,073 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2702 | replay |
| c36b…373f | 426,916,077 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2702 | replay |
| 262e…2a9f | 426,859,895 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2702 | replay |
| c79d…fc5f | 410,780,368 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2702 | replay |
| e2fd…943f | 421,042,784 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2702 | replay |
| 5d87…c70f | 422,284,156 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2702 | replay |
| cccf…86af | 418,862,968 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2702 | replay |
| 78ed…3a3f | 426,692,822 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2702 | replay |
| d550…c9ff | 426,431,036 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2702 | replay |
| 707f…2eaf | 411,436,728 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2702 | replay |
| ae7a…c0ef | 418,804,235 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2702 | replay |
| 6868…5ecf | 426,661,629 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2702 | replay |
| 7a1c…d6ff | 426,914,799 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2702 | replay |
| 7697…9b6f | 423,625,220 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2702 | replay |
| 0a21…6faf | 417,571,489 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2702 | replay |
| 743f…5e0f | 418,800,312 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2702 | replay |
| 0c9b…548f | 418,841,711 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2702 | replay |
| fdd8…cd6f | 422,300,441 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2702 | replay |
| 6788…f3bf | 413,127,339 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2702 | replay |
| 078c…862f | 426,649,651 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2702 | replay |
| 73fc…ca8f | 420,553,559 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2702 | replay |
| 189b…3e9f | 426,884,725 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2702 | replay |
| b1e0…eb0f | 424,436,498 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2702 | replay |
| 8603…57ff | 421,894,928 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2702 | replay |
| 1efb…206f | 426,894,069 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2702 | replay |
| 0a68…4f8f | 419,005,696 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2702 | replay |
| 6c7f…f75f | 423,659,019 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2702 | replay |
| c8bf…d08f | 426,658,974 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2702 | replay |
| a89c…59ef | 426,892,965 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2702 | replay |
| f482…cd4f | 426,875,272 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2702 | replay |
| b265…dbff | 420,794,386 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2702 | replay |
| 4d30…41ff | 426,872,417 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2702 | replay |
| fe6a…113f | 416,424,927 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2702 | replay |
| 02eb…710f | 424,447,688 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2702 | replay |
| 0fcc…0e6f | 425,555,245 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2702 | replay |
| f2c8…cf7f | 426,892,488 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2702 | replay |
| 0e22…1e5f | 423,668,232 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2702 | replay |
| bee6…edbf | 411,439,728 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2702 | replay |
| 1710…0e4f | 421,899,328 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2702 | replay |
| c1f1…5e2f | 427,339,771 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2702 | replay |
| 5f79…765f | 411,621,125 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2702 | replay |
| c591…22df | 426,914,430 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2702 | replay |
| c5b2…d15f | 416,222,156 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2702 | replay |
| 78e6…769f | 411,902,875 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2702 | replay |
| 5fdc…92ff | 426,872,624 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2702 | replay |
| 3e3b…6b6f | 410,780,202 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2702 | replay |
| d03a…101f | 411,617,762 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2702 | replay |
| ec69…169f | 426,894,436 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2702 | replay |
| f8f4…887f | 426,893,859 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2702 | replay |
| 3258…dd3f | 422,113,532 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2702 | replay |
| db6a…b06f | 427,044,839 | +30.0% | ✓ | 2702 | replay |