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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
seed→fan-out(3)→all-buy
rejected: only 0.2x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 6% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
+0.0%
n=0 out-of-sample
Hit rate
6%
16 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+5.8% → +6.0%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.008
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+1.6% … +10.1%
Support16
OOS support0
MDL bits20
Case / control59398 / 60973
Motif size6n · 6e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 15806
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | b7e52978589b57686f54fed362a9693277f339527be69aeb48de4594a8af7099 | 100% | 16 |
Other crews running this exact shape
18 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 10521 | 20 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 35 | +26.3% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 88 | 92 | +26.2% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 33 | +20.8% | — | view → |
| crew 15 | 82 | +17.9% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 213 | 19 | +17.1% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 45 | +15.9% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 257 | +15.6% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 150 | +15.4% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 31 | +14.5% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 2096 | +14.2% | — | view → |
| all | 73179 | +14.1% | — | view → |
| crew 6436 | 50 | +13.8% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 271 | +9.9% | — | view → |
| crew 314 | 29 | +7.9% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 48 | +5.2% | — | view → |
| crew 19519 | 23 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2702 | 17 | -4.1% | — | view → |
Crew 15806
4 resolved wallets
b7e52…f7099bf846…2bc91e299f…54f84cd638…cbc70
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| c47a…be2f | 412,462,924 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15806 | replay |
| 9cd3…80ff | 412,818,604 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15806 | replay |
| 7aae…3d2f | 410,834,393 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15806 | replay |
| 818b…5adf | 411,283,357 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15806 | replay |
| 0585…9b0f | 410,879,563 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15806 | replay |
| 85d9…000f | 410,137,726 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15806 | replay |
| 1cfb…ce9f | 418,548,316 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15806 | replay |
| bbab…7c9f | 416,766,114 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15806 | replay |
| 3e2d…d14f | 414,341,075 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15806 | replay |
| 2d51…9d25 | 411,278,014 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15806 | replay |
| 5866…dfaf | 411,041,356 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15806 | replay |
| b860…725f | 418,288,813 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15806 | replay |
| ac1d…d45f | 410,878,951 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15806 | replay |
| aff1…f37f | 416,158,315 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15806 | replay |
| b119…a28f | 412,126,049 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15806 | replay |
| 13cc…1dbf | 410,624,847 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15806 | replay |
| dddc…a3df | 416,157,883 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15806 | replay |
| 8fc4…015f | 416,148,814 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15806 | replay |
| 136c…9b1f | 417,470,276 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15806 | replay |
| 1592…e1df | 414,180,860 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15806 | replay |
| 826e…c27f | 415,507,568 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15806 | replay |
| 9d4e…955f | 416,151,560 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15806 | replay |
| eb6a…f58f | 414,304,512 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15806 | replay |
| a18e…dfcf | 417,460,761 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15806 | replay |
| 00cd…9d3f | 410,878,445 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15806 | replay |
| 2172…834f | 410,877,288 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15806 | replay |
| e888…a099 | 411,274,742 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15806 | replay |
| 1f48…cc8f | 410,013,223 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15806 | replay |
| 5452…5a2f | 410,880,444 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15806 | replay |
| fdf4…cf99 | 411,282,826 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15806 | replay |
| 7d34…9b3f | 410,181,046 | +30.0% | ✓ | 15806 | replay |
| 829a…e63f | 418,309,186 | +21.8% | 15806 | replay | |
| 4863…b56f | 410,462,121 | +20.7% | 15806 | replay | |
| 8218…97ef | 418,067,712 | +20.5% | 15806 | replay | |
| c5ee…896f | 418,342,924 | +20.3% | 15806 | replay | |
| 0358…143f | 417,462,383 | +19.8% | 15806 | replay | |
| dec8…c7e8 | 411,300,886 | +19.4% | 15806 | replay | |
| 75ed…e30f | 417,909,192 | +18.1% | 15806 | replay | |
| da6a…c42f | 417,617,913 | +17.5% | 15806 | replay | |
| 6766…c67f | 418,290,564 | +17.4% | 15806 | replay | |
| ec4c…acdf | 410,827,260 | +16.8% | 15806 | replay | |
| 0bbb…412f | 411,525,997 | +16.7% | 15806 | replay | |
| 3232…997f | 417,475,015 | +16.6% | 15806 | replay | |
| 098e…236f | 410,206,037 | +15.2% | 15806 | replay | |
| 3a07…c2cf | 416,541,538 | +14.5% | 15806 | replay | |
| e3d7…118f | 410,625,490 | +14.5% | 15806 | replay | |
| e5df…b3cf | 410,166,414 | +14.4% | 15806 | replay | |
| 6cff…14cf | 412,126,454 | +14.2% | 15806 | replay | |
| d7ae…b06f | 410,390,908 | +14.1% | 15806 | replay | |
| f1a2…769f | 410,172,883 | +14.1% | 15806 | replay | |
| e664…e3cf | 410,197,427 | +13.8% | 15806 | replay | |
| 8525…fa7f | 410,196,919 | +13.8% | 15806 | replay | |
| 51af…244f | 410,197,213 | +13.8% | 15806 | replay | |
| 137a…3acf | 410,138,306 | +13.8% | 15806 | replay | |
| 553b…bd0f | 410,166,715 | +13.7% | 15806 | replay | |
| cf0e…d86f | 410,195,204 | +13.7% | 15806 | replay | |
| 5e9a…a02f | 411,497,707 | +13.7% | 15806 | replay | |
| aa4f…edaf | 411,543,580 | +13.7% | 15806 | replay | |
| 542c…ffc7 | 411,290,701 | +13.5% | 15806 | replay | |
| 1864…612f | 417,421,154 | +13.3% | 15806 | replay |