│
Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0
rule detail

seed→fan-out(3)→all-buy

rejected: only 1.5x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 48% vs base 32%)

rulesrejectedall
OOS effect
+14.1%
n=47182 out-of-sample
Hit rate
48%
73179 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+11.4% → +11.4%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.000
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
transfertransferbuy@pumpfunpumpfbuy@pumpfunpumpftransferbuy@pumpfunpumpfwwwwwT
recursive family
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+11.3% … +11.6%
Support73,179
OOS support47,182
MDL bits0
Case / control59398 / 60973
Motif size6n · 6e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingall
Other crews running this exact shape
18 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
crew 1052120+30.0%—view →
crew 11335+26.3%✓view →
crew 8892+26.2%—view →
crew 5933+20.8%—view →
crew 1582+17.9%✓view →
crew 21319+17.1%—view →
crew 4045+15.9%—view →
crew 6257+15.6%—view →
crew 21150+15.4%—view →
crew 3431+14.5%—view →
crew 132096+14.2%—view →
crew 643650+13.8%—view →
crew 68271+9.9%—view →
crew 31429+7.9%—view →
crew 5548+5.2%—view →
crew 1580616+0.0%—view →
crew 1951923+0.0%—view →
crew 270217-4.1%—view →
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
d3eb…f6af427,555,691+30.0%✓6 replay
d406…7a3f423,180,257+30.0%✓13 replay
724a…887f420,516,906+30.0%✓13 replay
7253…dd5f427,348,216+30.0%✓6 replay
727a…701f423,640,610+30.0%✓13 replay
72ac…59ff425,780,386+30.0%✓13 replay
72ca…9cbf427,142,176+30.0%✓13 replay
72ef…6d6f426,881,276+30.0%✓15 replay
7305…9dcf426,202,914+30.0%✓88 replay
733c…c39f422,395,347+30.0%✓306 replay
3b23…f2ff418,406,234+30.0%✓6436 replay
3b31…caef423,365,951+30.0%✓43 replay
3b50…57ff426,904,416+30.0%✓213 replay
3b94…f49f427,218,268+30.0%✓34 replay
3bb2…52ef414,290,350+30.0%✓13 replay
3bc9…e4df425,107,949+30.0%✓13 replay
3bca…0b5f426,117,766+30.0%✓113 replay
3bd2…cfef412,570,522+30.0%✓13 replay
3c2f…5aff424,075,671+30.0%✓13 replay
3c33…078f417,396,595+30.0%✓6 replay
3c43…e1cf426,117,347+30.0%✓43 replay
0e95…7ddf426,721,072+30.0%✓460 replay
0ea1…fcbf416,999,645+30.0%✓13 replay
0ed9…f4df412,132,971+30.0%✓13 replay
0eea…fa6f421,227,036+30.0%✓26779 replay
0eeb…8e0f426,966,623+30.0%✓113 replay
0ef8…c99f423,237,693+30.0%✓13 replay
0f00…b45f426,693,290+30.0%✓13 replay
0f07…f94f414,312,237+30.0%✓13 replay
695f…4d95418,966,319+30.0%✓13 replay
69b4…b1cf413,928,745+30.0%✓21 replay
6a29…b70f420,525,079+30.0%✓13 replay
6a2f…61ff423,930,990+30.0%✓13 replay
6a4f…cf0f410,338,193+30.0%✓13 replay
6a79…58af412,265,276+30.0%✓13 replay
6a8c…18df422,048,454+30.0%✓13 replay
6aa9…651f424,602,776+30.0%✓40 replay
2758…42a3414,530,232+30.0%✓13 replay
2b3c…655f417,381,859+30.0%✓13 replay
2767…4ddf427,292,766+30.0%✓13 replay
2771…c0bf427,309,638+30.0%✓15 replay
2783…8def417,768,081+30.0%✓13 replay
279e…bcef420,897,403+30.0%✓13 replay
27c5…8b4f417,113,784+30.0%✓13 replay
27eb…255f412,426,956+30.0%✓13 replay
27f0…62df416,426,666+30.0%✓13 replay
27f7…543f423,477,771+30.0%✓15 replay
2804…008f422,384,039+30.0%✓6 replay
280f…7dcf413,192,958+30.0%✓13 replay
2764…c0ff427,219,480+30.0%✓13 replay
8843…e47f420,637,940+30.0%✓15 replay
8843…34c1427,083,918+30.0%✓13 replay
8754…a02f425,588,639+30.0%✓13 replay
881b…a0af415,443,691+30.0%✓21 replay
8815…c1af412,320,689+30.0%✓12605 replay
8814…7c1f416,214,511+30.0%✓88 replay
8826…d10f425,223,510+30.0%✓13 replay
87cd…503f426,643,575+30.0%✓3908 replay
878a…9b2f418,915,277+30.0%✓13 replay
87cb…b0cf427,654,064+30.0%✓13 replay