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Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0
rule detail

seed→fan-out(3)→all-buy

rejected: only 1.3x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 42% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)

rulesrejectedcrew 341 anchor
OOS effect
+14.5%
n=65 out-of-sample
Hit rate
42%
31 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+1.7% → +3.2%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.425
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
transfertransferbuy@pumpfunpumpfbuy@pumpfunpumpftransferbuy@pumpfunpumpfwwwwwT
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-7.1% … +10.4%
Support31
OOS support65
MDL bits20
Case / control59398 / 60973
Motif size6n · 6e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 34
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
NodeRoleAddressInvarianceSupport
w0walletac6ad31db0a14378a0e63f99f790b711c6406e5b0e6b7a18583971e93d72385999%95
Other crews running this exact shape
18 related groundings
CrewSupportOOSKept?
crew 1052120+30.0%—view →
crew 11335+26.3%✓view →
crew 8892+26.2%—view →
crew 5933+20.8%—view →
crew 1582+17.9%✓view →
crew 21319+17.1%—view →
crew 4045+15.9%—view →
crew 6257+15.6%—view →
crew 21150+15.4%—view →
crew 132096+14.2%—view →
all73179+14.1%—view →
crew 643650+13.8%—view →
crew 68271+9.9%—view →
crew 31429+7.9%—view →
crew 5548+5.2%—view →
crew 1580616+0.0%—view →
crew 1951923+0.0%—view →
crew 270217-4.1%—view →
Crew 34
200 resolved wallets
ac6ad…23859009ac…9e1409cf18…6758195d16…72be217c3a…7360b7431c…222d3bf4ea…e1b15562aa…a07bd10e3a…21e4445057…c1f7ac3afe…62d02f4a27…19bd830466…936d2da002…f881a9ac23…fdc8114910…908885c177…045477541e…efc3c55a2e…e053894d9d…6daf3de8a6…520e72216d…46f7f43283…86a48a7cb2…9541c84333…89487ec30f…ad91c534e1…0d5a8f548e…9cdb1fd76b…16701ad747…50b0aecb91…1cadd854a0…cab967aa4c…97b9d0255b…85dd180b67…4c20051ea6…ca896932f7…b361cdc914…78b7727105…dc4e63521b…d846644a0a…168c55e8af…c3f6e0e0f4…a188e39c7d…721a181115…fb9f2c44a9…f7eba2a026…436ff6c378…42713ef678…f6efcebccf…4f7a9cf6fa…41ea23673a…ef539b98ca…98a60bda66…1f39eceb4c…2812f516a0…25688df4ed…93419fa1c3…7b3be15552…dc1ef9a684…f7003d3765…a23b0b21f4…2dff37e238…61f5c7ea13…f42b60629a…6c13f9d75f…29bd881bfe…5f698553c5…9ac45b0992…afa83cdd87…8ccfeda148…8f37b851d9…867fb81f84…7ba1f87ba2…866dc2002c…a93ba34df9…03c1e34190…2472277d61…5bae8ee492…46e98435f1…48829+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
TokenSlotReturnPump?Crew
c93d…9e0f422,550,048+30.0%✓34 replay
463d…531f427,653,300+30.0%✓34 replay
73c8…b22f426,130,880+30.0%✓34 replay
2350…7a3f424,899,492+30.0%✓34 replay
6f4c…b42f427,653,861+30.0%✓34 replay
3b94…f49f427,218,268+30.0%✓34 replay
79fe…7faf421,052,163+30.0%✓34 replay
7a0b…b90f425,507,635+30.0%✓34 replay
455c…d16f424,862,473+30.0%✓34 replay
3b84…a28f427,602,357+30.0%✓34 replay
3b8c…073f426,158,402+30.0%✓34 replay
ef9d…8bff424,592,533+30.0%✓34 replay
cf4b…63bf427,637,044+30.0%✓34 replay
b53f…374f414,382,280+30.0%✓34 replay
debf…b78f426,827,937+30.0%✓34 replay
d4e7…ed7f417,607,601+30.0%✓34 replay
6ab9…2eff425,506,658+30.0%✓34 replay
3d9c…4e5f422,393,943+30.0%✓34 replay
f1be…1faf417,686,184+30.0%✓34 replay
4139…47af421,259,341+30.0%✓34 replay
8b7b…953f425,838,975+30.0%✓34 replay
4299…1f4f423,534,936+30.0%✓34 replay
4823…162f422,209,944+30.0%✓34 replay
b75c…c30f425,878,823+30.0%✓34 replay
8db0…ca8f422,169,374+30.0%✓34 replay
7706…d41f425,637,955+30.0%✓34 replay
e09b…1aaf425,035,043+30.0%✓34 replay
d6f1…963f419,306,304+30.0%✓34 replay
5cc7…688f422,689,338+30.0%✓34 replay
8b1c…cfff420,714,144+30.0%✓34 replay
8bec…594f417,643,476+30.0%✓34 replay
8c24…da2f423,182,652+30.0%✓34 replay
7e75…4cdf416,883,574+30.0%✓34 replay
488e…630f423,485,962+30.0%✓34 replay
4436…633f425,030,302+30.0%✓34 replay
4c89…6fff424,717,289+30.0%✓34 replay
1382…b40f418,219,635+30.0%✓34 replay
62d7…69af418,250,247+30.0%✓34 replay
cfb9…32ef426,102,508+30.0%✓34 replay
416c…5bbf421,714,825+30.0%✓34 replay
4e0a…99af417,792,742+30.0%✓34 replay
9105…24ef425,672,305+30.0%✓34 replay
7a6f…8dcf419,716,088+30.0%✓34 replay
2a40…90cf420,147,478+30.0%✓34 replay
e458…44bf426,540,211+30.0%✓34 replay
31ba…6dff422,969,133+30.0%✓34 replay
98cf…fbbf426,776,863+30.0%✓34 replay
9247…7e9f417,653,968+30.0%✓34 replay
04af…cc4f424,821,084+30.0%✓34 replay
e0b4…19df427,006,225+30.0%✓34 replay
46c4…ab7f424,793,917+30.0%✓34 replay
7805…3d5f424,557,861+30.0%✓34 replay
163c…8d4f427,441,767+30.0%✓34 replay
5f65…85cf425,877,066+30.0%✓34 replay
6017…ecff424,048,567+30.0%✓34 replay
9a2c…4fdf424,438,773+30.0%✓34 replay
f789…5e4f426,108,470+30.0%✓34 replay
93a4…66df424,908,092+30.0%✓34 replay
0641…255f422,394,118+30.0%✓34 replay
47a1…f63f424,358,754+30.0%✓34 replay