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Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
seed→fan-out(3)→all-buy
rejected: only 1.4x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 44% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
+15.6%
n=191 out-of-sample
Hit rate
44%
257 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+13.0% → +13.0%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.000
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+10.7% … +15.4%
Support257
OOS support191
MDL bits20
Case / control59398 / 60973
Motif size6n · 6e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 6
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | 0a927afef89beff31b41b602d16ad38160fc0c37a2f0473cf420b282f11e7438 | 97% | 433 |
Other crews running this exact shape
18 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 10521 | 20 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 35 | +26.3% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 88 | 92 | +26.2% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 33 | +20.8% | — | view → |
| crew 15 | 82 | +17.9% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 213 | 19 | +17.1% | — | view → |
| crew 40 | 45 | +15.9% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 150 | +15.4% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 31 | +14.5% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 2096 | +14.2% | — | view → |
| all | 73179 | +14.1% | — | view → |
| crew 6436 | 50 | +13.8% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 271 | +9.9% | — | view → |
| crew 314 | 29 | +7.9% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 48 | +5.2% | — | view → |
| crew 15806 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 19519 | 23 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2702 | 17 | -4.1% | — | view → |
Crew 6
200 resolved wallets
0a927…e743818571…9b62a5bcf0…c05a96a554…0d4c9915e1…3809bdea56…6e025343ac…216bf85241…b496d002d2…d3c2acd7d6…7efc150561…d0762a4355…b035b54eef…4752cc6160…0ac40b9b43…1274affc65…cfc512a12f…63a5fdd7bd…0d2fdb7ada…f38ed87f14…45441db689…c1385c8f11…e8524869c0…cdf5dc69bd…55c9b7abf7…4247eb2182…7177ca98c8…2b149a824e…4288ba5137…701a87d8b2…bd6e6c43b8…7fba08e023…caeea0dd2c…0a9cd46a68…35f318623f…82f8e2495b…fa32b995e0…f2c7e10a08…d2681268d1…82cf087b2b…dac18fc57a…228682628a…eeb4fa06fb…d77c40b9bb…d945c91d1f…edbe3a5582…c1643f7d6e…051cdaedc3…1babe4cb83…fd4644f3ce…efbb10f898…ee5da121d6…c4e1a4e774…c118d623cb…70abde2d85…5052799335…740900f05d…ce096076da…bc3f10a589…9a9268583d…58cb220e2f…cc6c6f2590…59c6bec5df…be6c2b001a…1d5335cbdd…d564429b25…406951b5d8…93f557cf4b…048dfdfddf…f223abf8c3…2a089392be…d70e95008e…7854c383f2…2e97fc3f51…9565f5537c…8f26bc7753…42cb066b1b…21f72a7812…30b00079cd…0c47d0bfd4…da223+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6fa2…a80f | 423,877,493 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| fced…148f | 417,268,991 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| c8fd…fb0f | 424,255,228 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 908b…771f | 427,268,522 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 7327…0b4f | 426,240,435 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 3a94…000f | 420,748,467 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 3b02…c42f | 423,250,688 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| ef4f…69bf | 422,576,649 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 6f53…bd2f | 417,294,608 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 5ca3…d0ef | 424,740,062 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 4327…03ef | 417,130,352 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 2639…903b | 418,379,424 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 3c33…078f | 417,396,595 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 1b90…7c2f | 424,888,880 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 471d…fb0f | 413,234,526 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 7253…dd5f | 427,348,216 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 733b…ea4f | 426,025,518 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| d782…62cf | 425,795,532 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| d3eb…f6af | 427,555,691 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| d3ba…4a3f | 423,006,224 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 402d…a5af | 422,090,383 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 3ef5…efff | 409,913,291 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 3f98…956f | 425,982,078 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 2316…2c1f | 416,136,403 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 3f95…05ef | 424,359,508 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 8a26…06ff | 423,651,328 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 8afd…662f | 421,861,222 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| fd18…448f | 426,613,894 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 72fb…09ff | 424,307,049 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 2b8e…30af | 426,644,156 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 6fbe…77ff | 421,874,805 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| ddb1…072f | 426,114,542 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 73fd…6def | 417,477,320 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| fcc6…4eab | 416,090,427 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 2804…008f | 422,384,039 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 7a1f…7c9f | 421,003,405 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 74c3…7def | 419,073,571 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 868d…3d6f | 418,541,714 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 86cf…f46f | 420,151,564 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 73da…92bf | 414,929,349 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| cac8…7e7f | 417,577,798 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 916c…363f | 427,563,227 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 3b6a…aa2f | 417,337,802 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 3c5c…b1ef | 419,049,979 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| efc5…918f | 426,014,698 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| b80d…fbcf | 416,465,924 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 8c51…47df | 418,793,856 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 7a47…900f | 417,702,630 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| b532…a2df | 422,581,499 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 5975…deaf | 417,366,888 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 2814…68ef | 415,602,919 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 596c…5e2f | 415,224,987 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 47e9…3acf | 415,585,378 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 4822…212f | 418,062,173 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 6b7f…96cf | 427,330,156 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 8a0e…d44f | 426,696,621 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 6af5…1f8f | 420,740,225 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 47ef…42af | 427,296,578 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| d8ca…611f | 427,568,142 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| b7a4…599f | 422,548,940 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |