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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
co-buy(2)
rejected: only 0.6x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 18% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
-1.4%
n=7 out-of-sample
Hit rate
18%
77 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
-2.2% → -1.6%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.914
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
fixed motif
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-6.2% … +1.8%
Support77
OOS support7
MDL bits20
Case / control169527 / 235206
Motif size5n · 4e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 20
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w2 | wallet | e3564a560c10f41096e09ddfaed8e4f13c64c6a5ffc6d928604133cbeec94047 | 92% | 77 |
Other crews running this exact shape
38 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 13183 | 23 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 24623 | 30 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 27577 | 16 | +28.6% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 15 | 22 | +19.9% | — | view → |
| crew 25399 | 18 | +16.0% | — | view → |
| crew 16 | 47 | +14.1% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 61 | +13.9% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 36 | +12.6% | — | view → |
| crew 94 | 34 | +10.9% | — | view → |
| crew 373 | 17 | +10.7% | — | view → |
| crew 4519 | 24 | +10.5% | — | view → |
| crew 171 | 39 | +10.2% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 257 | +9.5% | — | view → |
| crew 19 | 27 | +8.9% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 31 | +8.6% | — | view → |
| all | 276055 | +8.2% | — | view → |
| crew 140 | 140 | +7.2% | — | view → |
| crew 5 | 33 | +7.1% | — | view → |
| crew 145 | 25 | +6.9% | — | view → |
| crew 2702 | 44 | +6.7% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 28 | +5.1% | — | view → |
| crew 5075 | 15 | +5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 16 | +4.7% | — | view → |
| crew 336 | 20 | +3.2% | — | view → |
| crew 36 | 17 | +3.0% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 16 | +0.7% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 15 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 153 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 834 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 23 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 10521 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 25 | -0.2% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 37 | -0.7% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 28 | -3.3% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 24 | -6.1% | — | view → |
| crew 306 | 15 | -6.1% | — | view → |
| crew 22031 | 15 | -18.6% | — | view → |
| crew 23183 | 22 | -20.0% | — | view → |
Crew 20
200 resolved wallets
e3564…940474edff…48a0d3b11d…75d73cbeff…411f4cff8c…48a59ed783…776ba64e1d…a2a42108cd…9aa89451cd…05a116663b…f9c5b5dc3c…6519fe4294…e5711b6f08…bd80c717dc…c12775e39a…27b98da908…5fdfffb8ff…fbdd293c2f…752e276c9e…2ecc22676a…b579b7333d…9691e711b9…24aa9f5683…52940c15fb…a09c323961…72eace900b…598ce32d55…48f84e90d9…340a88176f…5011cdf7a0…2f2cc45cbc…f15986d1ce…957aea7b43…4ac73829ce…8957bdb185…1b3da0f35c…9e2ed1774f…9f97a04007…e83aa672cb…3df356c109…e641be59a1…164456ef35…4983ee8be6…a34af0c208…ae304723bc…427019f299…acf69954ec…e958e3f320…dd1aaec5dc…d40816dbf0…4422afc968…56a56fcc3f…6afcde7c52…cc0d97fc5b…3ec332466d…9ca18c68b7…8d364e47d2…77371323ac…792ac272ea…ccfd4f54f4…1e62821b58…5d714ddc0e…f4965abe06…863480909d…b8c1e9e671…3d80e15ba9…e78ed45e61…aa77094ebc…0fef2acf51…897acb4a6a…b1042c7a8f…1993092827…89058866c9…d2501ffe20…4b652f7d89…35d9e005e9…572e5c787f…8c746d3e68…d38ba704b6…9b9ba29182…1f212+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5803…eabf | 417,037,692 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 5dba…e3bf | 417,201,056 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 72af…4d3f | 417,134,679 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 72af…963f | 415,219,562 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| d2f4…914f | 420,477,476 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| dd6d…48cf | 426,006,210 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| b68c…edbf | 414,370,347 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| d849…6e2f | 417,104,301 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 73dd…609f | 416,573,593 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 88ec…b70f | 417,228,194 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 4752…842f | 424,314,457 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| ce2e…886f | 417,089,166 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| cdca…5f4f | 421,159,599 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 871a…ad9f | 417,898,030 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 3f02…605f | 423,022,469 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 3f5e…adbf | 415,945,063 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 90a6…764f | 417,152,008 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 3e77…065f | 421,058,339 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| cae8…880f | 417,072,075 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 297e…769f | 417,090,489 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 6ab3…36bf | 420,998,492 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 40e6…d33f | 424,800,189 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 25c2…807f | 423,790,245 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 47b8…b73f | 417,435,688 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| d1bd…89af | 416,817,282 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| f728…93ef | 424,923,920 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 46da…860f | 422,444,621 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 1652…b4df | 417,734,194 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 2e7c…414f | 417,031,986 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 7bda…851f | 417,196,880 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 91cb…e77f | 413,021,296 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 9587…955f | 415,648,776 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 2cf4…e1cf | 417,194,946 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 443e…c28f | 422,291,168 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 8329…93ef | 411,027,652 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 0389…093f | 421,417,186 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| d7c7…033f | 422,444,181 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 7b5d…6f2f | 409,733,414 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 2fbf…284f | 422,295,998 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 9a12…3aef | 419,965,116 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| e5b2…899f | 417,399,577 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 5077…500f | 415,672,392 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| e545…a23f | 427,433,467 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| bb87…fb2f | 417,069,360 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 7949…a7ef | 415,653,352 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 9a18…615f | 417,437,080 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 38dc…a7af | 412,443,294 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 390f…16ff | 426,371,142 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| c828…660f | 413,140,384 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 36b2…8ecf | 417,435,948 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| a4a1…f90f | 417,088,617 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| a0b4…61df | 416,699,764 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 7be0…daaf | 421,420,027 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 3a35…b25f | 419,819,039 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 3a3b…67bf | 423,068,118 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 9c38…7b3f | 420,476,462 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 3b25…b63f | 417,030,134 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 0e6b…c60f | 420,125,696 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| 9c4c…23ef | 424,653,144 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |
| cb4c…fb8f | 427,401,215 | +30.0% | ✓ | 20 | replay |