co-buy(2)

rejected: only 0.5x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 16% vs base 32%)

rulesrejectedcrew 34

OOS effect

-0.2%

n=23 out-of-sample

Hit rate

16%

25 occurrences

Raw → shrunk

-3.9% → -1.8%

empirical-Bayes

FDR q

0.907

not significant

Exact rule

Expressive-Patterns DSL

Motif

fixed motif

Statistics

effect, confidence & description length

95% CI-11.3% … +3.5%

Support25

OOS support23

MDL bits20

Case / control169527 / 235206

Motif size5n · 4e

Shape ide00000000000…

Groundingcrew 34

Other crews running this exact shape

38 related groundings

Crew	Support	OOS	Kept?
crew 13183	23	+30.0%	—	view →
crew 24623	30	+30.0%	—	view →
crew 27577	16	+28.6%	✓	view →
crew 15	22	+19.9%	—	view →
crew 25399	18	+16.0%	—	view →
crew 16	47	+14.1%	—	view →
crew 6	61	+13.9%	—	view →
crew 59	36	+12.6%	—	view →
crew 94	34	+10.9%	—	view →
crew 373	17	+10.7%	—	view →
crew 4519	24	+10.5%	—	view →
crew 171	39	+10.2%	—	view →
crew 13	257	+9.5%	—	view →
crew 19	27	+8.9%	—	view →
crew 21	31	+8.6%	—	view →
all	276055	+8.2%	—	view →
crew 140	140	+7.2%	—	view →
crew 5	33	+7.1%	—	view →
crew 145	25	+6.9%	—	view →
crew 2702	44	+6.7%	—	view →
crew 88	28	+5.1%	—	view →
crew 5075	15	+5.0%	—	view →
crew 55	16	+4.7%	—	view →
crew 336	20	+3.2%	—	view →
crew 36	17	+3.0%	—	view →
crew 113	16	+0.7%	—	view →
crew 12	15	+0.0%	—	view →
crew 153	17	+0.0%	—	view →
crew 834	16	+0.0%	—	view →
crew 2978	23	+0.0%	—	view →
crew 10521	17	+0.0%	—	view →
crew 68	37	-0.7%	—	view →
crew 20	77	-1.4%	—	view →
crew 31	28	-3.3%	—	view →
crew 47	24	-6.1%	—	view →
crew 306	15	-6.1%	—	view →
crew 22031	15	-18.6%	—	view →
crew 23183	22	-20.0%	—	view →

Crew 34

200 resolved wallets

ac6ad…23859009ac…9e1409cf18…6758195d16…72be217c3a…7360b7431c…222d3bf4ea…e1b15562aa…a07bd10e3a…21e4445057…c1f7ac3afe…62d02f4a27…19bd830466…936d2da002…f881a9ac23…fdc8114910…908885c177…045477541e…efc3c55a2e…e053894d9d…6daf3de8a6…520e72216d…46f7f43283…86a48a7cb2…9541c84333…89487ec30f…ad91c534e1…0d5a8f548e…9cdb1fd76b…16701ad747…50b0aecb91…1cadd854a0…cab967aa4c…97b9d0255b…85dd180b67…4c20051ea6…ca896932f7…b361cdc914…78b7727105…dc4e63521b…d846644a0a…168c55e8af…c3f6e0e0f4…a188e39c7d…721a181115…fb9f2c44a9…f7eba2a026…436ff6c378…42713ef678…f6efcebccf…4f7a9cf6fa…41ea23673a…ef539b98ca…98a60bda66…1f39eceb4c…2812f516a0…25688df4ed…93419fa1c3…7b3be15552…dc1ef9a684…f7003d3765…a23b0b21f4…2dff37e238…61f5c7ea13…f42b60629a…6c13f9d75f…29bd881bfe…5f698553c5…9ac45b0992…afa83cdd87…8ccfeda148…8f37b851d9…867fb81f84…7ba1f87ba2…866dc2002c…a93ba34df9…03c1e34190…2472277d61…5bae8ee492…46e98435f1…48829+120 more

Supporting episodes

60 occurrences that induced this rule

Token	Slot	Return	Pump?	Crew
79fe…7faf	421,052,163	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
2ba2…520f	416,633,403	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
2ac6…60ff	426,475,577	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
1c62…13af	412,455,086	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
39d2…194f	426,933,517	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
ee20…ae2f	418,902,157	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
ee43…d80f	411,134,775	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
b67f…690f	419,073,663	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
b347…a14f	427,643,539	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
87df…937f	416,650,966	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
b3f8…c94f	419,500,289	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
3f30…37bf	416,510,558	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
58e0…1daf	421,624,447	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
5d80…9cff	416,891,249	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
470a…db3f	416,313,722	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
8996…90ef	427,228,430	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
731a…ca3f	421,344,638	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
470f…667f	418,920,874	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
2831…295f	417,390,179	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
d851…bb4f	420,892,101	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
3f50…d95f	421,285,106	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
3f58…abff	416,910,334	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
3f78…69ef	419,842,610	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
27d6…d42f	422,858,814	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
6a81…0a8f	424,593,956	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
c2c5…f58f	427,636,168	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
b68a…37ff	416,932,471	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
4345…92cf	419,607,051	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
4042…a949	421,923,583	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
de1c…1a8f	422,043,175	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
ddc2…cfff	427,538,928	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
69a6…8f1f	421,963,926	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
6987…0eef	417,601,424	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
8a98…7edf	416,515,878	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
735d…8e5f	422,217,256	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
0ef3…b40f	425,791,578	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
3c0a…366f	417,599,198	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
73f2…87ef	427,110,655	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
3b0b…9b6f	418,603,548	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
dd9c…4f1f	416,354,623	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
1c3b…7ccf	423,075,067	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
2c46…6b2f	424,196,148	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
890d…6adf	424,095,494	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
5935…910f	415,527,830	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
590e…94ff	423,074,286	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
5ea9…f31f	422,644,179	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
2948…d42f	425,196,313	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
6b85…e41f	427,100,011	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
6b06…602f	425,274,291	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
6aeb…a03f	411,592,309	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
101f…b63f	416,629,536	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
0f5d…c13f	423,270,579	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
747c…c7df	409,697,653	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
744d…235f	427,085,522	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
73d6…01af	426,867,090	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
40e0…96af	421,011,541	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
ddcc…0c9f	419,355,899	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
dda5…68af	417,936,052	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
dd54…e564	425,014,628	+30.0%	✓	34	replay
dca5…d4ff	427,557,274	+30.0%	✓	34	replay