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│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
co-buy(2)
rejected: only 1.0x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 33% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
+8.9%
n=22 out-of-sample
Hit rate
33%
27 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+1.4% → +3.0%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.441
not significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
fixed motif
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI-7.0% … +9.9%
Support27
OOS support22
MDL bits20
Case / control169527 / 235206
Motif size5n · 4e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 19
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | 1144a35a744f7b4b341de7123fe9ef5849f4e6d58f2a907548068a2d8d3db47e | 90% | 44 |
Other crews running this exact shape
38 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 13183 | 23 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 24623 | 30 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 27577 | 16 | +28.6% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 15 | 22 | +19.9% | — | view → |
| crew 25399 | 18 | +16.0% | — | view → |
| crew 16 | 47 | +14.1% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 61 | +13.9% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 36 | +12.6% | — | view → |
| crew 94 | 34 | +10.9% | — | view → |
| crew 373 | 17 | +10.7% | — | view → |
| crew 4519 | 24 | +10.5% | — | view → |
| crew 171 | 39 | +10.2% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 257 | +9.5% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 31 | +8.6% | — | view → |
| all | 276055 | +8.2% | — | view → |
| crew 140 | 140 | +7.2% | — | view → |
| crew 5 | 33 | +7.1% | — | view → |
| crew 145 | 25 | +6.9% | — | view → |
| crew 2702 | 44 | +6.7% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 28 | +5.1% | — | view → |
| crew 5075 | 15 | +5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 16 | +4.7% | — | view → |
| crew 336 | 20 | +3.2% | — | view → |
| crew 36 | 17 | +3.0% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 16 | +0.7% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 15 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 153 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 834 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 23 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 10521 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 25 | -0.2% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 37 | -0.7% | — | view → |
| crew 20 | 77 | -1.4% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 28 | -3.3% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 24 | -6.1% | — | view → |
| crew 306 | 15 | -6.1% | — | view → |
| crew 22031 | 15 | -18.6% | — | view → |
| crew 23183 | 22 | -20.0% | — | view → |
Crew 19
200 resolved wallets
1144a…db47e5b13f…1cf0b59243…1e2319cffe…15ec219c80…9a5ef6611d…351831d296…a0c1b1ce4f…53160304b2…e910b306f7…8e1522577e…5e4d0e00bd…5d5d6f1ff5…0cb515141e…9f237a8f46…247647f382…9672fae517…fb011eae35…f48b72c6fd…bb89a4c711…9e6db45560…4989e15c63…3d7d060f54…2521d5859d…8b73187ace…e6387baf3a…68ca71c6e0…7e84e05e7b…76c8ea7e11…3d82521dc5…2dbe8ad871…3a85b7ba6b…88278d6e9c…87b62b634e…2234a70595…deb7b1445d…52d5b67c1d…713b534e98…665dbade3b…85bb01c6f8…8a016f0d51…0c2faed68f…65f7906f33…28126435ec…9eee8d42d2…de0160f172…6421df9bde…6386ab1987…abff4e9f49…183ec1ba6c…d2e4f27e55…a48e6ce735…b503c7320e…bda08f8512…29d493e654…8759f657d0…b4b93a7a55…1b56a2f33f…5ddce0e17e…c57095172d…95658794ee…72435b3ccb…f1e2cf31f2…de140ff36b…eccd569939…e2316bed4b…7637d0b297…e00c7ecc52…59072017aa…b8846e13db…bf6411b38a…d61de10942…cf7afabf14…bb9c0737f0…38175ea32b…20b8241593…dbd344be1e…a39c4c719e…70c2a7b745…ec4c01f423…6036b+120 more
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42e6…d8bf | 422,497,486 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| ef21…026f | 417,199,683 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 8ac5…f96f | 422,217,094 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 5ca3…0cff | 425,317,995 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 0f00…fd5f | 426,687,700 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 2735…116f | 424,985,567 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 3a1d…d5ff | 421,648,522 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 4685…637f | 418,689,188 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 4729…3220 | 416,412,514 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| b74c…1abf | 426,070,564 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 3f13…71ef | 424,401,719 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 3f2d…843f | 421,511,421 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 2255…d65f | 412,583,096 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 22e7…592f | 415,354,683 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 1c20…25bf | 426,647,225 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| b822…02bf | 426,606,588 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 7a2e…645f | 424,944,539 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 8667…e0cf | 424,959,308 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 86b7…e50f | 423,385,102 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 8706…983f | 422,883,104 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 2983…28af | 418,275,162 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 0f6a…9a5f | 412,556,868 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 925d…176f | 426,954,418 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 3c88…2c9f | 418,764,943 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| ef6e…045f | 422,453,004 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 7443…f31f | 424,354,575 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 8c7e…aeaf | 422,618,691 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 41c0…94cf | 416,904,750 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 411e…aa4f | 420,048,857 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| b47a…82ef | 412,528,061 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 70ed…fcff | 425,315,815 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 3fce…22ef | 420,515,529 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 750a…3f0f | 426,355,768 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 4080…5a8f | 423,115,924 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 2448…4ecf | 422,223,611 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| ff0f…fa0f | 423,286,188 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 2d03…473f | 424,856,333 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| da80…3caf | 420,497,345 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 5fbf…33ef | 421,916,148 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 4606…f98f | 417,001,057 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 5fae…eb6f | 417,965,360 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 46cc…5bcf | 412,571,073 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 7512…828f | 422,460,211 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| d680…247f | 425,643,238 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| d67e…9aef | 422,222,025 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 8af1…9e6f | 411,685,178 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| e151…c92f | 424,755,634 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 7692…83cf | 423,209,613 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 496f…9bdf | 425,317,881 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 8ce4…7fef | 422,446,457 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| d102…711f | 423,998,348 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 81c9…e1ff | 427,245,115 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 1d3b…115f | 427,086,469 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| d577…a16f | 426,363,807 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| d242…a8cf | 414,395,057 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 7bed…7bef | 422,232,574 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 16f6…0ecf | 414,699,848 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 8f25…dbbf | 424,529,986 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 04c2…501f | 417,062,201 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| bee6…5c08 | 421,392,064 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |