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Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
co-buy(2)
rejected: only 1.3x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 41% vs base 32%)
OOS effect
+8.2%
n=128595 out-of-sample
Hit rate
41%
276055 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+8.0% → +8.0%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.000
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
fixed motif
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+7.9% … +8.1%
Support276,055
OOS support128,595
MDL bits0
Case / control169527 / 235206
Motif size5n · 4e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingall
Other crews running this exact shape
38 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 13183 | 23 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 24623 | 30 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 27577 | 16 | +28.6% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 15 | 22 | +19.9% | — | view → |
| crew 25399 | 18 | +16.0% | — | view → |
| crew 16 | 47 | +14.1% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 61 | +13.9% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 36 | +12.6% | — | view → |
| crew 94 | 34 | +10.9% | — | view → |
| crew 373 | 17 | +10.7% | — | view → |
| crew 4519 | 24 | +10.5% | — | view → |
| crew 171 | 39 | +10.2% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 257 | +9.5% | — | view → |
| crew 19 | 27 | +8.9% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 31 | +8.6% | — | view → |
| crew 140 | 140 | +7.2% | — | view → |
| crew 5 | 33 | +7.1% | — | view → |
| crew 145 | 25 | +6.9% | — | view → |
| crew 2702 | 44 | +6.7% | — | view → |
| crew 88 | 28 | +5.1% | — | view → |
| crew 5075 | 15 | +5.0% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 16 | +4.7% | — | view → |
| crew 336 | 20 | +3.2% | — | view → |
| crew 36 | 17 | +3.0% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 16 | +0.7% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 15 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 153 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 834 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 2978 | 23 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 10521 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 25 | -0.2% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 37 | -0.7% | — | view → |
| crew 20 | 77 | -1.4% | — | view → |
| crew 31 | 28 | -3.3% | — | view → |
| crew 47 | 24 | -6.1% | — | view → |
| crew 306 | 15 | -6.1% | — | view → |
| crew 22031 | 15 | -18.6% | — | view → |
| crew 23183 | 22 | -20.0% | — | view → |
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3b0b…9b6f | 418,603,548 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 3b0c…019f | 419,133,893 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 3b13…f37f | 418,859,241 | +30.0% | ✓ | 23632 | replay |
| 3b2e…0b1f | 413,187,137 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1968 | replay |
| 3b3c…36df | 421,428,336 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 3b43…5f0f | 413,724,539 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3b45…c15f | 426,060,358 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| 3b50…57ff | 426,904,416 | +30.0% | ✓ | 213 | replay |
| 3b52…ee0f | 417,127,047 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3b5c…039f | 410,715,494 | +30.0% | ✓ | — | replay |
| 3b63…8a5f | 423,623,766 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3ba7…64ff | 411,483,020 | +30.0% | ✓ | 47422 | replay |
| 3bc5…854f | 415,159,036 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| 69d8…594f | 413,203,689 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 3be1…a0af | 414,899,176 | +30.0% | ✓ | 24623 | replay |
| 3be9…8881 | 421,238,521 | +30.0% | ✓ | 9 | replay |
| 3c0a…366f | 417,599,198 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 3c1b…c11f | 420,627,643 | +30.0% | ✓ | 10 | replay |
| 3c20…2bcf | 419,697,968 | +30.0% | ✓ | 4102 | replay |
| 3c43…e1cf | 426,117,347 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 3c51…426f | 417,150,599 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 3c52…8cc9 | 421,234,672 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13247 | replay |
| 3c5a…774f | 416,337,748 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6966 | replay |
| 3c62…bdff | 422,075,881 | +30.0% | ✓ | 43 | replay |
| 0eaa…e92f | 418,062,432 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 0ec4…949f | 413,757,874 | +30.0% | ✓ | 84 | replay |
| 0ee0…969f | 423,160,072 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1573 | replay |
| 0ee1…eeaf | 423,270,245 | +30.0% | ✓ | 7664 | replay |
| 0ee1…79bf | 423,288,672 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1573 | replay |
| 0ee2…19cf | 423,341,836 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 0ee2…d30f | 423,356,498 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1573 | replay |
| 0ee2…bc8f | 423,367,792 | +30.0% | ✓ | 889 | replay |
| 0ee4…4fdf | 423,510,994 | +30.0% | ✓ | 56 | replay |
| 0ee4…3b5f | 423,513,815 | +30.0% | ✓ | 373 | replay |
| 0ee6…46cf | 424,196,803 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1573 | replay |
| 0ee9…6cbf | 425,199,591 | +30.0% | ✓ | 17032 | replay |
| 0eea…fa6f | 421,227,036 | +30.0% | ✓ | 26779 | replay |
| 3bce…b9cf | 425,010,097 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 0eeb…7c2f | 425,375,865 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 69bd…c12f | 420,029,379 | +30.0% | ✓ | 140 | replay |
| 69bb…ef7f | 425,998,228 | +30.0% | ✓ | 4102 | replay |
| 69b4…b1cf | 413,928,745 | +30.0% | ✓ | 21 | replay |
| 69a6…8f1f | 421,963,926 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 6999…0f4f | 410,347,923 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1989 | replay |
| 6987…0eef | 417,601,424 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |
| 695f…bfef | 424,668,729 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 0f0d…01ef | 427,418,420 | +30.0% | ✓ | 3 | replay |
| 0f09…39ff | 427,180,996 | +30.0% | ✓ | 85 | replay |
| 0f08…c9af | 427,164,993 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1573 | replay |
| 0f08…175f | 427,163,705 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1573 | replay |
| 0f07…f94f | 414,312,237 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 0eef…a01f | 425,630,123 | +30.0% | ✓ | 68 | replay |
| 0f00…708f | 421,034,485 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6 | replay |
| 0f00…fd5f | 426,687,700 | +30.0% | ✓ | 19 | replay |
| 0efc…788f | 426,498,129 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 0ef8…fb2f | 426,323,047 | +30.0% | ✓ | 54 | replay |
| 0f02…04df | 426,804,109 | +30.0% | ✓ | 1573 | replay |
| 0ef3…d5ef | 425,790,860 | +30.0% | ✓ | 94 | replay |
| 0ef6…68df | 426,091,240 | +30.0% | ✓ | 13 | replay |
| 0ef3…b40f | 425,791,578 | +30.0% | ✓ | 34 | replay |