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Offline
│Paper P&L+0.00 ◎│Open0│Trades0rule detail
seed→fan-out(4)→all-buy
rejected: only 1.6x base-rate lift (need 2x; hit 50% vs base 32%) · non-executable: anchor on a non-buyer node (needs the structural matcher)
OOS effect
+16.1%
n=26 out-of-sample
Hit rate
50%
44 occurrences
Raw → shrunk
+11.1% → +10.9%
empirical-Bayes
FDR q
0.001
significant
Exact rule
Expressive-Patterns DSL
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Motif
recursive family
◇ gold ring = frozen constant
Statistics
effect, confidence & description length
95% CI+4.5% … +17.6%
Support44
OOS support26
MDL bits20
Case / control89607 / 81615
Motif size6n · 6e
Shape ide00000000000…
Groundingcrew 6436
Anchors
frozen constants — this crew's fingerprint
| Node | Role | Address | Invariance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| w0 | wallet | 0a23daf1c19d7ec4af404aa6cd3896d71d5fac2623065f5964ea75462ce5d52c | 100% | 70 |
Other crews running this exact shape
23 related groundings
| Crew | Support | OOS | Kept? | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| crew 3029 | 16 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 10521 | 49 | +30.0% | — | view → |
| crew 113 | 32 | +27.9% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 88 | 78 | +25.6% | — | view → |
| crew 59 | 26 | +22.9% | — | view → |
| crew 4519 | 18 | +20.3% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 213 | 16 | +19.5% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 15 | 82 | +15.3% | ✓ | view → |
| crew 40 | 40 | +15.0% | — | view → |
| all | 109993 | +14.8% | — | view → |
| crew 13 | 1988 | +14.6% | — | view → |
| crew 6 | 230 | +14.5% | — | view → |
| crew 34 | 34 | +14.0% | — | view → |
| crew 21 | 143 | +12.7% | — | view → |
| crew 2702 | 111 | +9.7% | — | view → |
| crew 68 | 245 | +8.0% | — | view → |
| crew 55 | 47 | +5.2% | — | view → |
| crew 12 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 314 | 20 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 6494 | 24 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 12477 | 17 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 15215 | 16 | +0.0% | — | view → |
| crew 19519 | 20 | +0.0% | — | view → |
Crew 6436
12 resolved wallets
0a23d…5d52c6ea31…86b8455285…52b3604ae0…86ae3e8aac…45d90095f3…170dc1eb9f…61842b783e…c2e9abec28…518601bda2…ad09d67c4f…0e656126f4…72578
Supporting episodes
60 occurrences that induced this rule
| Token | Slot | Return | Pump? | Crew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| fe42…facf | 418,860,084 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 3f24…642f | 422,609,004 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 3b23…f2ff | 418,406,234 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 5d4b…9fbf | 418,403,218 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| cf4f…8f9f | 421,137,284 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| b635…04df | 423,892,262 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| b463…3fff | 420,470,318 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 8cde…1faf | 423,536,314 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 72b6…7aff | 416,604,808 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 3dd7…c5ff | 421,542,742 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 950f…2f1f | 415,522,642 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 8e6d…d4af | 418,132,741 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 42de…9d7f | 423,124,016 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 8283…2c0f | 418,116,120 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 7717…f00f | 427,672,531 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 438f…c06f | 417,948,783 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| c6dd…e74f | 423,352,048 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| d3f6…cedf | 423,910,413 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 7526…213f | 422,015,850 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 5cc8…804f | 420,506,737 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| ba09…cd3f | 414,295,469 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 4648…da5f | 410,709,352 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 21e2…599f | 423,827,535 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 76a1…395f | 423,553,169 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| e28b…f05f | 410,738,484 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| e30f…a08f | 421,564,077 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 2e60…c1ff | 417,281,717 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 634b…799f | 425,695,991 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| bdaa…e7cf | 415,304,497 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 5b29…48cf | 418,121,744 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 0dae…3b7f | 413,413,931 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 5e03…ecdf | 421,992,846 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 388f…5c1f | 421,968,500 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| b5c2…03bf | 417,734,680 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 054c…8e4f | 425,578,359 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 4f34…3c6f | 427,235,656 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 7791…148f | 411,797,988 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 8f01…771f | 417,265,512 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| d297…ffdf | 423,349,280 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 449c…e23f | 420,720,693 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 9259…791f | 418,525,559 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 79c7…72cf | 420,964,308 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 30c9…9bdf | 417,459,962 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| c00c…8b2f | 414,821,786 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 3208…acef | 418,348,335 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 629e…ea5f | 420,296,668 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| c22b…c46f | 416,602,030 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| d559…33df | 419,042,143 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 9cf4…23ff | 427,037,822 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| bfa3…5bbf | 419,030,347 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 94ee…482f | 422,486,193 | +30.0% | ✓ | 6436 | replay |
| 6724…773f | 410,708,476 | +27.6% | 6436 | replay | |
| 9d15…770f | 416,188,272 | +26.1% | 6436 | replay | |
| 085f…6c4f | 421,810,931 | +24.4% | 6436 | replay | |
| 4fad…43bf | 422,861,163 | +23.8% | 6436 | replay | |
| 82b3…963f | 423,775,537 | +23.8% | 6436 | replay | |
| 45b5…6b0f | 420,136,797 | +22.9% | 6436 | replay | |
| 2a30…de2f | 423,130,136 | +12.0% | 6436 | replay | |
| 5802…00cf | 423,962,249 | +0.0% | 6436 | replay | |
| 4f9d…d3df | 425,696,996 | -1.5% | 6436 | replay |